Match Info

SM-sarja U20

Date: 14 November 2025, Friday


	SaiPa U20		Vaasan Sport U20

	1	X	2
	2	4.3	2.4
	2.63	3.79	2.06
	2.28	4.58	2.33	Watch
	2.65	4.1	2.1
	2.26	4.12	2.3
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.36 ↑ (2.28)	4.18 ↓ (4.58)	2.24 ↓ (2.33)

The most likely Over/Under: 6.00

The best margin for this event is 8.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

SaiPa U20
38.1%

Draw
21.6%

Vaasan Sport U20
40.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40.4%

20.1%

39.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.6%

19.5%

38.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

SaiPa U20 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.3%)

Vaasan Sport U20 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for SaiPa U20 than the current prediction. (+3.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Vaasan Sport U20 than the current prediction. (-1.9%)

SaiPa U20 - Vaasan Sport U20 Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:4

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Key Events of the Match

1st Period (1 - 2)
10:29, 0 - 1, Harma M. (G), Vanninen E. (A), Levanen E. (A2)
16:00, 1 - 1, Mikhlin D. (G), Moilanen V. (A), Kytovaara E. (A2)
17:06, 1 - 2, Harma M. (G), Levanen E. (A), Toivainen W. (A2)
2nd Period (0 - 2)
09:51, 1 - 3, Toivainen W. (G), Koivunen W. (A), Valtanen J. (A2)
15:00, 1 - 4, Toivainen W. (G), Kuusisto S. (A), Mourujarvi E. (A2)
3rd Period (0 - 2)
02:15, 1 - 5, Harma M. (G), Toivainen W. (A), Levanen E. (A2)
15:27, 1 - 6, Harma M. (G), Toivainen W. (A), Levanen E. (A2)

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, SaiPa U20 won 2.

SaiPa U20 has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Vaasan Sport U20 is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

SaiPa U20 may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, SaiPa U20 won 10 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 68:70. (average 3.4:3.5).

Including home matches between the teams, SaiPa U20 won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 36:27. (average 4:3).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- SaiPa U20
Finnish SM-sarja U20
31.10.25	KalPa U20 - SaiPa U20	8:3 ✺
26.10.25	SaiPa U20 - Pelicans U20	1:4 ✺
25.10.25	SaiPa U20 - Kiekko-Espoo U20	2:1 ✺
24.10.25	SaiPa U20 - HIFK U20	4:2 ✺
18.10.25	TPS U20 - SaiPa U20	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.2 LLWWL
- Vaasan Sport U20
Finnish SM-sarja U20
01.11.25	Vaasan Sport U20 - Tappara U20	2:3 penalties ✺
31.10.25	Vaasan Sport U20 - Kiekko-Espoo U20	4:6 ✺
26.10.25	RoKi U20 - Vaasan Sport U20	2:6 ✺
25.10.25	Kärpät U20 - Vaasan Sport U20	3:1 ✺
18.10.25	Pelicans U20 - Vaasan Sport U20	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.6 LLWLL

Latest Head to Head

Finnish SM-sarja U20
04.10.25	Vaasan Sport U20 - SaiPa U20	4:7
21.02.25	SaiPa U20 - Vaasan Sport U20	4:3 OT
06.09.24	Vaasan Sport U20 - SaiPa U20	10:3
18.11.23	SaiPa U20 - Vaasan Sport U20	2:3
09.09.23	Vaasan Sport U20 - SaiPa U20	3:2 OT
06.01.23	Vaasan Sport U20 - SaiPa U20	2:1
04.11.22	SaiPa U20 - Vaasan Sport U20	6:1

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