Match Info

SM-sarja U20

Date: 21 November 2025, Friday


	KalPa U20		SaiPa U20

	1	X	2
	1.65	3.8	3.6
	1.69	3.97	3.36
	1.71	4.44	3.63	Watch
	1.45	4.95	4.83
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.63 ↓ (1.71)	4.29 ↓ (4.44)	3.86 ↑ (3.63)

The most likely Over/Under: 6.50

The best margin for this event is 8.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

KalPa U20
55.5%

Draw
21%

SaiPa U20
23.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

53.9%

20.7%

25.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53.9%

20.7%

25.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

KalPa U20 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.6%)

SaiPa U20 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for KalPa U20 than the current prediction. (-1.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for SaiPa U20 than the current prediction. (+2%)

KalPa U20 - SaiPa U20 Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 5:2

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Key Events of the Match

1st Period (3 - 0)
01:11, 1 - 0, Kekarainen S. (G), Korkiakoski T. (A), Pakarinen R. (A2)
06:16, 2 - 0, Sundgren M. (G), Vetelainen T. (A), Timofejev D. (A2)
10:42, 3 - 0, Korkiakoski T. (G),
2nd Period (4 - 1)
01:51, 3 - 1, Zemlicka R. (G), Mikhlin D. (A), Nummi L. (A2)
04:05, 4 - 1, Hirvonen D. (G), Pakarinen R. (A), Hintikka J. (A2)
07:21, 5 - 1, Hirvonen D. (G), Heikkinen O. (A),
12:50, 6 - 1, Timofejev D. (G), Pulkkanen A. (A), Happonen E. (A2)
13:08, 7 - 1, Timofejev D. (G), Niskanen M. (A), Hirvonen D. (A2)
3rd Period (5 - 1)
06:52, 7 - 2, Svensk S. (G), Moilanen V. (A), Zezelj A. (A2)
12:47, 8 - 2, Miilunpohja R. (G), Pakarinen R. (A), Hirvonen D. (A2)
14:05, 9 - 2, Miilunpohja R. (G), Hirvonen D. (A), Pulkkanen A. (A2)
14:10, 10 - 2, Hirvonen D. (G),
16:41, 11 - 2, Pulkkanen A. (G), Hirvonen D. (A), Pakarinen R. (A2)
18:43, 12 - 2, Miilunpohja R. (G), Pakarinen R. (A), Vetelainen T. (A2)

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, KalPa U20 won 4.

Both teams are currently in poor form.

KalPa U20 may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, the opponents have had a series of home games.

In this match, KalPa U20 is the team to beat.

In the last 16 head-to-head matches, KalPa U20 won 11 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 69:52. (average 4.3:3.3).

Including home matches between the teams, KalPa U20 won 7 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 38:22. (average 4.8:2.8).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- KalPa U20
Finnish SM-sarja U20
14.11.25	KalPa U20 - Mikkelin Jukurit U20	4:5 ✺
01.11.25	KalPa U20 - Lukko U20	1:6 ✺
31.10.25	KalPa U20 - SaiPa U20	8:3 ✺
25.10.25	KalPa U20 - Ilves U20	1:5 ✺
24.10.25	HPK U20 - KalPa U20	5:4 penalties ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.8 LLWLL
- SaiPa U20
Finnish SM-sarja U20
15.11.25	SaiPa U20 - Pelicans U20	1:5 ✺
14.11.25	SaiPa U20 - Vaasan Sport U20	1:6 ✺
31.10.25	KalPa U20 - SaiPa U20	8:3 ✺
26.10.25	SaiPa U20 - Pelicans U20	1:4 ✺
25.10.25	SaiPa U20 - Kiekko-Espoo U20	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.1 LLLLW

Latest Head to Head

Finnish SM-sarja U20
31.10.25	KalPa U20 - SaiPa U20	8:3
13.09.25	SaiPa U20 - KalPa U20	6:4
21.12.24	KalPa U20 - SaiPa U20	5:3
24.11.24	SaiPa U20 - KalPa U20	2:7
26.01.24	SaiPa U20 - KalPa U20	3:4
23.10.22	KalPa U20 - SaiPa U20	4:1
04.09.21	KalPa U20 - SaiPa U20	4:3 penalties

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