Match Info

KHL

Date: 28 December 2025, Sunday

Location: Ufa-Arena (Ufa)


	Salavat Yulaev Ufa		Severstal Cherepovets

	1	X	2
	2.54	4.38	2.44	Watch
	2.45	4.25	2.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.5 ↑ (2.43)	4.32 ↑ (3.8)	2.42 ↓ (2.65)

The most likely Over/Under: 5.00

The best margin for this event is 3.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Salavat Yulaev Ufa
38.3%

Draw
22.2%

Severstal Cherepovets
39.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39.1%

25%

35.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.5%

24.6%

36.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Salavat Yulaev Ufa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)

Severstal Cherepovets has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Salavat Yulaev Ufa than the current prediction. (+0.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Severstal Cherepovets than the current prediction. (-3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
16.7%	0%	83.3%

Salavat Yulaev Ufa - Severstal Cherepovets Predictions

Users Predictions: 12 users predict this event. Salavat Yulaev will win (votes: 2 - 16.7%). Severstal will win (votes: 10 - 83.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Severstal: 62.2% – 100%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 1, 2nd Period - under (votes: 2 - 100%) .

O/U 1, 3rd Period - under (votes: 2 - 100%) .

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Severstal Cherepovets will win (7 of 8 users predict this - 87.5%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:3

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Lineups

Line 1
35. Vyazovoy S. (G)	29. Samoilov A. (G)
52. Zorkin N.	32. Gregoire T.
18. Stewart D.	8. Kaldis Y.
77. Yan D.	42. Tankov K.
21. Rodewald J. (A)	53. Aimurzin D.
57. Brosseau D.	99. Ilyin M.
Line 2
43. Kulik Y.	2. Grudinin V.
73. Tsulygin Y.	75. Davydov T.
97. Zharovskiy A.	88. Dumbadze D. (A)
68. Pimenov A.	66. Podshivalov I.
72. Suchkov Y.	18. Veryayev D.
Line 3
93. Vasilevsky A.	7. Burenov N.
8. Komarov A.	21. Kamalov N.
25. Khokhlachev A.	23. Liska A. (C)
65. Yefremov V. (A)	17. Abrosimov R. (A)
71. Kuznetsov M.	37. Reingardt I.
Line 4
11. Panin G. (C)	67. Karimov T.
78. Butuzov V.	97. Chebykin N.
62. Khokhryakov P.	6. Ivantsov I.
13. Gorshkov A.	12. Skorenov A.
Substitutes
87. Faizov A.	30. Skotnikov V. (G)
70. Konovalov I. (G)
Coaches
. Kozlov V.	. Kozyrev A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Period (0 - 0)
05:38, Dumbadze D. (2 min),
17:19, Liska A. (2 min),
2nd Period (0 - 0)
07:50, Gregoire T. (2 min),
12:23, Ilyin M. (2 min),
3rd Period (1 - 1)
09:36, 1 - 0, Butuzov V. (G), Khokhryakov P. (A), Panin G. (A2)
15:52, 1 - 1, Liska A. (G), Abrosimov R. (A), Davydov T. (A2)
Overtime (0 - 0)
Penalties (2 - 1)
1, Skorenov A. (Penalty Shot),
1, Suchkov Y. (Penalty Shot),
2, Aimurzin D. (Penalty Shot),
2, Khokhlachev A. (Penalty Shot),
3, Ivantsov I. (Penalty Shot),
3, Zharovskiy A. (Penalty Shot),
4, Suchkov Y. (Penalty Shot),
4, Skorenov A. (Penalty Shot),
5, Butuzov V. (Penalty Shot),
5, Aimurzin D. (Penalty Shot),
6, Suchkov Y. (Penalty Shot),
6, Ilyin M. (Penalty Shot),

Preview

Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 8 in the zone Promotion ~ KHL (Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ KHL (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Salavat Yulaev won 4.

Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.

Salavat Yulaev may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Salavat Yulaev won 15 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 63:40. (average 3.2:2).

Including home matches between the teams, Salavat Yulaev won 9 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 35:18. (average 3.2:1.6).

Last Results with these Odds

Salavat Yulaev Ufa - the odds 2.43 are the expected chance of winning is 39.09%, but this team recently wins 30% of matches with these odds.

Severstal Cherepovets - the odds 2.65 are the expected chance of winning is 35.91%, but this team recently wins 44% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Salavat Yulaev Ufa
KHL
25.12.25	Salavat Yulaev Ufa - Amur Khabarovsk	4:2 ✺
23.12.25	Salavat Yulaev Ufa - Amur Khabarovsk	2:4 ✺
20.12.25	Salavat Yulaev Ufa - Ak Bars Kazan	1:2 ✺
18.12.25	Severstal Cherepovets - Salavat Yulaev Ufa	1:2 ✺
16.12.25	Ak Bars Kazan - Salavat Yulaev Ufa	6:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.2 WLLWL
- Severstal Cherepovets
KHL
25.12.25	Severstal Cherepovets - Sochi	4:3 OT ✺
23.12.25	Severstal Cherepovets - HC CSKA Moscow	3:1 ✺
18.12.25	Severstal Cherepovets - Salavat Yulaev Ufa	1:2 ✺
07.12.25	Lada Togliatti - Severstal Cherepovets	2:3 ✺
05.12.25	Avtomobilist Yekaterinburg - Severstal Cherepovets	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.8 WWLWL

Latest Head to Head

KHL
18.12.25	Severstal Cherepovets - Salavat Yulaev Ufa	1:2
28.12.24	Salavat Yulaev Ufa - Severstal Cherepovets	2:0
25.11.24	Severstal Cherepovets - Salavat Yulaev Ufa	0:2
Club Friendly Ice Hockey
15.08.24	Salavat Yulaev Ufa - Severstal Cherepovets	0:1
KHL
26.02.24	Salavat Yulaev Ufa - Severstal Cherepovets	4:3
20.10.23	Severstal Cherepovets - Salavat Yulaev Ufa	3:4
27.01.23	Salavat Yulaev Ufa - Severstal Cherepovets	4:1

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