Match Info

KHL

Date: 5 December 2025, Friday

Location: UMMC Arena (Yekaterinburg)


	Avtomobilist Yekaterinburg		Severstal Cherepovets

	1	X	2
	2.19	4.25	2.89
	2.1	4.4	2.9	Watch
	2.15	4	2.9
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.15 ↓ (2.16)	4.22 ↓ (4.37)	2.9 ↓ (2.95)

The most likely Over/Under: 5.50

The best margin for this event is 3.8%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Avtomobilist Yekaterinburg
44.4%

Draw
22.6%

Severstal Cherepovets
32.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44.9%

22.2%

32.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.1%

21.8%

33.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Avtomobilist Yekaterinburg has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)

The chances for Severstal Cherepovets have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Avtomobilist Yekaterinburg than the current prediction. (-0.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Severstal Cherepovets than the current prediction. (+0.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
20%	0%	80%

Avtomobilist Yekaterinburg - Severstal Cherepovets Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Avtomobilist will win (votes: 1 - 20%). Severstal will win (votes: 4 - 80%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Severstal (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

DC - Severstal (1.75) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Severstal (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:2

#ad

Lineups

Line 1
30. Novosyolov N. (G)	1. Shostak K. (G)
9. Blacker J.	32. Gregoire T.
88. Tryamkin N. (C)	8. Kaldis Y.
17. Macek B.	88. Dumbadze D. (A)
14. Valk C.	66. Podshivalov I. (A)
16. Boucher R.	18. Veryayev D.
Line 2
44. Yudin D.	2. Grudinin V.
55. Vorobyov K. (A)	75. Davydov T.
31. Khripunov S.	23. Liska A. (C)
86. Sharov A.	42. Tankov K.
97. Kizimov S.	37. Reingardt I.
Line 3
21. Osipov M.	16. Vashchenko G.
7. Busygin Y.	21. Kamalov N.
15. Golyshev A.	13. Pilipenko K.
28. Byvaltsev A. (A)	53. Aimurzin D.
92. Gorbunov R.	99. Ilyin M.
Line 4
91. Malorosiyanov D.	7. Burenov N.
76. Kashtanov A.	33. Mukhanov T.
81. Romantsev D.	6. Ivantsov I.
99. Shashkov N.	12. Skorenov A.
Substitutes
18. Alikin Y. (G)	29. Samoilov A. (G)
79. Tarasov M.
Coaches
. Zavarukhin N.	. Kozyrev A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Period (0 - 0)
13:13, Shostak K. ↓, Samoilov A. ↑,
17:22, Dumbadze D. (2 min),
18:33, Liska A. (2 min),
2nd Period (2 - 1)
03:00, Dumbadze D. (2 min),
05:29, Romantsev D. (2 min),
12:18, 1 - 0, Tryamkin N. (G),
15:29, 2 - 0, Golyshev A. (G), Sharov A. (A), Busygin Y. (A2)
17:12, Golyshev A. (2 min),
18:54, Yudin D. (2 min),
19:05, 2 - 1, Aimurzin D. (G), Kaldis Y. (A), Ilyin M. (A2)
3rd Period (2 - 0)
01:00, 3 - 1, Boucher R. (Penalty Shot),
02:09, 4 - 1, Kizimov S. (G),
03:21, Davydov T. (2 min),

Preview

One of today’s top clashes will feature two teams fighting for the top spots (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ KHL (Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ KHL (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Avtomobilist won 0.

Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.

Severstal may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Recently, Severstal has had a series of home games.

Avtomobilist could have a small edge in this match.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Avtomobilist won 9 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 11 matches, and goals 51:53. (average 2.6:2.7).

Including home matches between the teams, Avtomobilist won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 26:24. (average 2.9:2.7).

Last Results with these Odds

Avtomobilist Yekaterinburg - the odds 2.16 are the expected chance of winning is 44.91%, but this team recently wins 62% of matches with these odds.

Severstal Cherepovets - the odds 2.95 are the expected chance of winning is 32.89%, but this team recently wins 56% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Avtomobilist Yekaterinburg
KHL
03.12.25	Avtomobilist Yekaterinburg - Metallurg Magnitogorsk	5:6 ✺
29.11.25	Sibir Novosibirsk - Avtomobilist Yekaterinburg	2:4 ✺
27.11.25	Spartak Moscow - Avtomobilist Yekaterinburg	3:1 ✺
20.11.25	Avtomobilist Yekaterinburg - Metallurg Magnitogorsk	4:5 ✺
18.11.25	Avtomobilist Yekaterinburg - Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk	6:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.6 LWLLW
- Severstal Cherepovets
KHL
03.12.25	Severstal Cherepovets - Dynamo Moscow	0:1 OT ✺
01.12.25	Severstal Cherepovets - Traktor Chelyabinsk	3:2 ✺
28.11.25	Severstal Cherepovets - Lokomotiv Yaroslavl	2:0 ✺
26.11.25	Severstal Cherepovets - SKA Saint Petersburg	4:6 ✺
23.11.25	Severstal Cherepovets - Lada Togliatti	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.6 LWWLW

Latest Head to Head

KHL
15.10.25	Severstal Cherepovets - Avtomobilist Yekaterinburg	2:0
22.02.25	Avtomobilist Yekaterinburg - Severstal Cherepovets	0:4
22.12.24	Severstal Cherepovets - Avtomobilist Yekaterinburg	3:2
19.01.24	Avtomobilist Yekaterinburg - Severstal Cherepovets	0:3
29.10.23	Severstal Cherepovets - Avtomobilist Yekaterinburg	4:2
Club Friendly Ice Hockey
24.08.23	Severstal Cherepovets - Avtomobilist Yekaterinburg	5:2
KHL
08.11.22	Severstal Cherepovets - Avtomobilist Yekaterinburg	2:3 OT

Upcoming Matches