Match Info

KHL

Date: 28 October 2025, Tuesday

Location: Ice Palace (Cherepovets)


	Severstal Cherepovets		Amur Khabarovsk

	1	X	2
	1.69	4.51	4.61	Watch
	1.76	4.4	3.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.73 ↓ (1.86)	4.46 ↑ (4.39)	4.18 ↑ (3.78)

The most likely Over/Under: 5.00

The best margin for this event is 3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Severstal Cherepovets
55.6%

Draw
21.5%

Amur Khabarovsk
22.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

52.2%

22.1%

25.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

54.1%

21.3%

24.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Severstal Cherepovets has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.4%)

Amur Khabarovsk has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Severstal Cherepovets than the current prediction. (-1.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Amur Khabarovsk than the current prediction. (+1.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	30%	20%

Severstal Cherepovets - Amur Khabarovsk Predictions

Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Severstal will win (votes: 5 - 55.6%). Amur will win (votes: 2 - 22.2%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 22.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Severstal: 23.1% – 88.1%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -1 - Severstal (2.10) (votes: 2 - 100%) .

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Severstal Cherepovets will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 5 Selected Experts predict this event. Severstal (votes: 5 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:2

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Lineups

Line 1
30. Skotnikov V. (G)	83. Dorozhko M. (G)
32. Gregoire T.	92. Akmaldinov R.
8. Kaldis Y.	24. Solovyev A.
88. Dumbadze D. (A)	90. Li O. (A)
66. Podshivalov I. (A)	25. Broadhurst A.
18. Veryayev D.	71. Svechnikov Y.
Line 2
84. Shchuchinov A.	47. Mishchenko I. (A)
21. Kamalov N.	44. Yevseyev N.
97. Chebykin N.	10. Likhachyov Y.
17. Abrosimov R. (C)	97. Korotkikh I.
12. Skorenov A.	99. Dubakin S.
Line 3
77. Fomin M.	57. Voronkov Y.
75. Davydov T.	41. Baldayev V.
13. Pilipenko K.	29. Slepets K.
53. Aimurzin D.	26. Shvaryov A.
99. Ilyin M.	8. Zaseda M.
Line 4
47. Smirnov Y.	75. Sherstnev I.
7. Burenov N.	98. Petkov K.
37. Reingardt I.	19. Grachyov Y. (C)
51. Kvochko I.	21. Urakov K.
33. Mukhanov T.
Substitutes
29. Samoilov A. (G)	39. Shaimardanov D. (G)
Coaches
. Kozyrev A.	. Galchenyuk A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Period (1 - 1)
06:41, 0 - 1, Svechnikov Y. (G), Li O. (A), Voronkov Y. (A2)
11:10, 1 - 1, Pilipenko K. (G), Kaldis Y. (A), Ilyin M. (A2)
2nd Period (5 - 0)
01:36, 2 - 1, Skorenov A. (G), Davydov T. (A), Chebykin N. (A2)
01:55, Kaldis Y. (2 min),
04:02, 3 - 1, Kaldis Y. (G), Abrosimov R. (A), Davydov T. (A2)
04:02, Dorozhko M. ↓, Shaimardanov D. ↑,
05:32, Baldayev V. (2 min),
05:45, 4 - 1, Mukhanov T. (G), Abrosimov R. (A), Kvochko I. (A2)
06:21, Korotkikh I. (2 min),
07:45, 5 - 1, Abrosimov R. (G), Skorenov A. (A), Gregoire T. (A2)
09:13, Li O. (2 min),
11:14, Grachyov Y. (2 min),
13:21, 6 - 1, Pilipenko K. (G), Kaldis Y. (A), Aimurzin D. (A2)
13:21, Shaimardanov D. ↓, Dorozhko M. ↑,
13:39, Solovyev A. (2 min),
3rd Period (0 - 1)
05:58, 6 - 2, Li O. (G),
14:56, Voronkov Y. (2 min),

Preview

One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ KHL (Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 8 in the zone Promotion ~ KHL (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Severstal won 4.

Severstal has been on a winning streak and is in great shape (last 5 games: 5 wins).

In recent matches, Amur has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Amur may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Severstal is the team to beat.

We predict that Severstal will win today's game, with odds of 1.79.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Severstal won 11 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 49:49. (average 2.5:2.5).

Including home matches between the teams, Severstal won 8 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 30:18. (average 3:1.8).

Last Results with these Odds

Severstal Cherepovets - the odds 1.86 are the expected chance of winning is 52.2%, but this team recently wins 71% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Severstal Cherepovets
KHL
26.10.25	Severstal Cherepovets - Shanghai Dragons	4:1 ✺
23.10.25	Avangard Omsk - Severstal Cherepovets	3:4 OT ✺
21.10.25	Admiral Vladivostok - Severstal Cherepovets	1:4 ✺
19.10.25	Amur Khabarovsk - Severstal Cherepovets	2:3 penalties ✺
15.10.25	Severstal Cherepovets - Avtomobilist Yekaterinburg	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 23 WWWWW
- Amur Khabarovsk
KHL
26.10.25	HC CSKA Moscow - Amur Khabarovsk	2:1 ✺
24.10.25	Barys Astana - Amur Khabarovsk	3:1 ✺
19.10.25	Amur Khabarovsk - Severstal Cherepovets	2:3 penalties ✺
17.10.25	Amur Khabarovsk - Lada Togliatti	3:0 ✺
15.10.25	Amur Khabarovsk - Spartak Moscow	4:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.7 LLLWW

Latest Head to Head

KHL
19.10.25	Amur Khabarovsk - Severstal Cherepovets	2:3 penalties
27.10.24	Severstal Cherepovets - Amur Khabarovsk	3:0
17.10.24	Amur Khabarovsk - Severstal Cherepovets	1:2
03.01.24	Severstal Cherepovets - Amur Khabarovsk	4:2
24.11.23	Amur Khabarovsk - Severstal Cherepovets	6:2
11.02.23	Severstal Cherepovets - Amur Khabarovsk	4:3 penalties
27.10.22	Amur Khabarovsk - Severstal Cherepovets	5:2

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