Match Info

KHL

Date: 24 September 2026, Thursday

Location: Ice Palace (Cherepovets)


	Severstal Cherepovets		Avtomobilist Yekaterinburg

	1	X	2
	2.65	3.61	2.4
	2.6	3.55	2.35
	2.92	4.33	2.11	Watch
	2.65	4	2.21
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.71 ↓ (2.87)	3.87 ↓ (4.4)	2.27 ↑ (2.2)

The most likely Over/Under: 5.00

The best margin for this event is 4.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Severstal Cherepovets
34.6%

Draw
24.2%

Avtomobilist Yekaterinburg
41.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

33.8%

22.1%

44.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33.7%

22.1%

44.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Severstal Cherepovets has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)

Avtomobilist Yekaterinburg has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Severstal Cherepovets than the current prediction. (-0.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Avtomobilist Yekaterinburg than the current prediction. (+2.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	25%	25%

Severstal Cherepovets - Avtomobilist Yekaterinburg Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Severstal will win (votes: 2 - 50%). Avtomobilist will win (votes: 1 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 25%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Severstal (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:3

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Lineups

Line 1
29. Samoilov A. (G)	18. Alikin Y. (G)
32. Gregoire T.	10. Clague K.
8. Kaldis Y.	89. Karpukhin I.
88. Dumbadze D. (A)	21. Ruzicka A.
66. Podshivalov I.	72. Slepyshev A. (C)
18. Veryayev D.	92. Gorbunov R.
Line 2
78. Chuklinov S.	55. Vorobyov K.
75. Davydov T.	79. Gross J.
71. Popugayev N. A.	17. Barabanov A.
17. Abrosimov R. (C)	66. Gushchin D.
11. Yan D. (A)	78. Kadeykin A. (A)
Line 3
54. Churkin A.	9. Blacker J.
2. Grudinin V.	88. Tryamkin N. (A)
79. Artamonov N.	11. Sprong D.
12. Skorenov A.	15. Golyshev A.
6. Ivantsov I.	86. Sharov A.
Line 4
77. Fomin M.	7. Busygin Y.
51. Kvochko I.	24. Denezhkin M.
42. Tankov K.	76. Kashtanov A.
37. Reingardt I.	77. Tarasov M.
Substitutes
70. Graf Y.	33. Kapustin K. (G)
30. Skotnikov V. (G)
Coaches
. Kozyrev A.	. Kudashov A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Period (1 - 1)
04:17, 0 - 1, Clague K. (G), Denezhkin M. (A),
05:08, 1 - 1, Yan D. (G), Abrosimov R. (A),
11:09, Ruzicka A. (2 min),
14:12, (2 min),
15:19, Sharov A. (2 min),
2nd Period (2 - 0)
00:53, 2 - 1, Veryayev D. (G), Kaldis Y. (A), Podshivalov I. (A2)
05:06, Karpukhin I. (2 min),
09:42, Skorenov A. (2 min),
19:42, 3 - 1, Popugayev N. A. (G), Abrosimov R. (A),
3rd Period (2 - 1)
08:06, 3 - 2, Kadeykin A. (G), Slepyshev A. (A),
08:35, Skorenov A. (2 min),
16:51, 4 - 2, Popugayev N. A. (G), Davydov T. (A), Yan D. (A2)
17:13, 5 - 2, Yan D. (G), Popugayev N. A. (A),

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Severstal won 4.

Both teams have struggled for positive results in recent outings.

Both teams have recently been through a demanding run of away matches.

In this match, both teams have fairly balanced chances of victory.

In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, Severstal has recorded 10 wins, 0 draws, and 10 losses, with a goal aggregate of 50:53 (averaging 2.5:2.7 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Severstal against this opponent, the record stands at 7 wins, 0 draws, and 4 losses, with 29:25 goals (averaging 2.6:2.3 per game).

Last Results with these Odds

Severstal Cherepovets - the odds 2.87 are the expected chance of winning is 33.82%, but this team recently wins 44% of matches with these odds.

Avtomobilist Yekaterinburg - the odds 2.2 are the expected chance of winning is 44.12%, but this team recently wins 52% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Severstal Cherepovets
KHL
21.09.26	Amur Khabarovsk - Severstal Cherepovets	1:4 ✺
19.09.26	Admiral Vladivostok - Severstal Cherepovets	2:0 ✺
14.09.26	Severstal Cherepovets - Dynamo Moscow	0:2 ✺
12.09.26	Spartak Moscow - Severstal Cherepovets	8:0 ✺
10.09.26	Lokomotiv Yaroslavl - Severstal Cherepovets	2:1 OT ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.7 WLLLL
- Avtomobilist Yekaterinburg
KHL
22.09.26	Shanghai Dragons - Avtomobilist Yekaterinburg	3:2 ✺
20.09.26	Dinamo Minsk - Avtomobilist Yekaterinburg	5:3 ✺
15.09.26	Avangard Omsk - Avtomobilist Yekaterinburg	3:2 OT ✺
13.09.26	Sibir Novosibirsk - Avtomobilist Yekaterinburg	2:5 ✺
11.09.26	Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk - Avtomobilist Yekaterinburg	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.4 LLLWL

Latest Head to Head

KHL
05.12.25	Avtomobilist Yekaterinburg - Severstal Cherepovets	4:1
15.10.25	Severstal Cherepovets - Avtomobilist Yekaterinburg	2:0
22.02.25	Avtomobilist Yekaterinburg - Severstal Cherepovets	0:4
22.12.24	Severstal Cherepovets - Avtomobilist Yekaterinburg	3:2
19.01.24	Avtomobilist Yekaterinburg - Severstal Cherepovets	0:3
29.10.23	Severstal Cherepovets - Avtomobilist Yekaterinburg	4:2
Club Friendly Ice Hockey
24.08.23	Severstal Cherepovets - Avtomobilist Yekaterinburg	5:2

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