Match Info

RUSSIA: KHL

Date: 5 March 2025, Wednesday 🏁 Finished

Location: Megasport Arena (Moscow) 🌤️ ...


	Spartak Moscow		Kunlun

	1	X	2
	1.43	4.76	5.71
	1.41	5.4	7.2	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.42 ↓ (1.62)	5.08 ↑ (4.8)	6.46 ↑ (4.23)

The most likely Over/Under: 6.00

The best margin for this event is 3.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Spartak Moscow
66.7%

Draw
18.6%

Kunlun
14.7%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

58.1%

19.6%

22.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

59.4%

19%

21.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Spartak Moscow has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Spartak Moscow's performance.

Kunlun has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Kunlun might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Spartak Moscow than the current prediction. (-7.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Spartak Moscow that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Kunlun than the current prediction. (+6.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Kunlun could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	50%	50%

Spartak Moscow - Kunlun Predictions

Users Predictions: 2 users predict this event. Kunlun will win (votes: 1 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 4:1

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Lineups

Line 1
70. Nikolayev D. (G)	45. Smith J. (G)
89. Korolyov V.	40. Lefebvre M.
94. Mironov A. (C)	44. Clendening A.
99. Filin Y.	92. Jurco T.
21. Ruzicka A.	9. Halbgewachs J.
24. Poryadin P. (A)	74. Graovac T. (A)
Line 2
55. Vishnevsky D. (A)	12. McCoshen I.
3. Ivanov D.	13. Duszak J.
76. Lukyantsev S.	71. Campbell C.
95. Rubtsov G.	15. Shuai Fu (C)
28. Pashin A.	42. Rau K.
Line 3
79. Yefremov N.	27. Somerby D. (A)
86. Zaitsev Y.	84. Paigin Z.
25. Galimov A.	32. Likhachyov Y.
13. Maltsev M.	20. Lockhart L.
98. Belyayev A.	21. O'Regan D.
Line 4
10. Tkachenko P.	94. Drozg J.
65. Mansurov D.	24. Sharov A.
59. Korbit P.	77. Zvyagin S.
Substitutes
35. Kuzmenko Y. (G)	29. Rybar P. (G)
Coaches
. Zhamnov A.	. Kravets M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Period (1 - 2)
01:47, 1 - 0, Pashin A. (G), Ivanov D. (A), Vishnevsky D. (A2)
08:08, Pashin A. (2 min),
08:11, Graovac T. (2 min),
10:17, Somerby D. (2 min),
10:28, 1 - 1, Lockhart L. (G), Lefebvre M. (A),
17:03, Duszak J. (2 min),
17:53, 1 - 2, Campbell C. (G), McCoshen I. (A),
2nd Period (1 - 0)
01:24, 2 - 2, Pashin A. (G), Rubtsov G. (A), Vishnevsky D. (A2)
06:55, Korbit P. (2 min),
11:16, Rau K. (2 min),
16:16, Clendening A. (2 min),
3rd Period (0 - 0)
14:46, Likhachyov Y. (2 min),
Overtime (0 - 0)
05:00, Ruzicka A. (5 min),
Penalties (3 - 4)
1, Rubtsov G. (Penalty Shot),
1, Drozg J. (Penalty Shot),
2, Poryadin P. (Penalty Shot),
2, Likhachyov Y. (Penalty Shot),
3, Tkachenko P. (Penalty Shot),
3, Lockhart L. (Penalty Shot),
4, Belyayev A. (Penalty Shot),
4, O'Regan D. (Penalty Shot),
5, Lukyantsev S. (Penalty Shot),
5, Jurco T. (Penalty Shot),
6, Halbgewachs J. (Penalty Shot),
6, Lukyantsev S. (Penalty Shot),
7, Graovac T. (Penalty Shot),
7, Lukyantsev S. (Penalty Shot),

Preview

Spartak is Qualified for KHL (Play Offs 1/8~finals)

Last 5 head-to-head matches Spartak won 3.

Both teams are now playing unstable.

Kunlun could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Recently Kunlun have a series of guest games.

In this match Spartak is indisputable favorite.

There will not play in Kunlun: Fu Jiang (Injury)

Last 20 head-to-head matches Spartak won 11 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 9 matches and goals 68:64 (average 3.4:3.2).

Including matches at home between the teams Spartak won 7 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 41:38 (average 3.4:3.2).

Last Results with these Odds

Kunlun - the odds 4.23 are the expected chance of winning is 22.26%, but this team recently wins 13% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- HC Spartak Moscow
KHL
02.03.25	Spartak Moscow - Avangard Omsk	1:5 ✺
27.02.25	Dinamo Minsk - Spartak Moscow	2:1 ✺
25.02.25	SKA Saint Petersburg - Spartak Moscow	2:7 ✺
23.02.25	Spartak Moscow - Dinamo Minsk	0:3 ✺
20.02.25	Spartak Moscow - Sibir Novosibirsk	6:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.1 LLWLW
- Kunlun Red Star
KHL
03.03.25	Dinamo Minsk - Kunlun	6:2 ✺
01.03.25	Dynamo Moscow - Kunlun	6:3 ✺
27.02.25	HC CSKA Moscow - Kunlun	6:0 ✺
24.02.25	Sochi - Kunlun	2:5 ✺
22.02.25	SKA Saint Petersburg - Kunlun	4:6 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.7 LLLWW

Latest Head to Head

KHL
17.01.25	Spartak Moscow - Kunlun	2:0
27.12.24	Kunlun - Spartak Moscow	4:2
10.11.24	Kunlun - Spartak Moscow	1:5
Club Friendly Ice Hockey
14.08.24	Spartak Moscow - Kunlun	1:4
KHL
24.12.23	Spartak Moscow - Kunlun	5:2
30.11.23	Kunlun - Spartak Moscow	5:3
07.10.23	Kunlun - Spartak Moscow	3:4

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