Match Info

KHL

Date: 21 October 2026, Wednesday

Location: Ice Palace (Cherepovets)


	Severstal Cherepovets		Shanghai Dragons

	1	X	2
	2.03	3.78	3.19
	1.99	3.7	3.1
	1.99	4.39	3.32	Watch
	1.93	4	3.1
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.99 (1.99)	3.97 ↓ (4.39)	3.18 ↓ (3.32)

The most likely Over/Under: 5.25

The best margin for this event is 3.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Severstal Cherepovets
47.1%

Draw
23.5%

Shanghai Dragons
29.4%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

48.7%

22.1%

29.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.4%

20.5%

27.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Severstal Cherepovets has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)

Shanghai Dragons has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Severstal Cherepovets than the current prediction. (+5.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Severstal Cherepovets, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Shanghai Dragons than the current prediction. (-2.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
88.9%	11.1%	0%

Severstal Cherepovets - Shanghai Dragons Predictions

Users Predictions: Severstal Cherepovets will win (8 of 9 users predict this - 88.89%).
Confidence interval (95%): 68.36% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Severstal Cherepovets will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:2

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Preview

This match features a clash between a top-table contender and a mid-table team (ranked 3rd in the Promotion - KHL Playoffs - 1/8 - finals and 6th in the Promotion - KHL Playoffs - 1/8 - finals).

Severstal arrives with excellent momentum after picking up several victories (last 5 matches: 5 wins).

Performances by Shanghai have been somewhat unpredictable lately (last 5 matches: 2 wins).

Shanghai may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.

Severstal is expected to hold a slight competitive edge in this match.

Our forecast points to a victory for Severstal in today's match, at odds of 1.98.

In the last 5 head-to-head meetings, Severstal has recorded 4 wins, 0 draws, and 1 loss, with a goal aggregate of 16:12 (averaging 3.2:2.4 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Severstal against this opponent, the record stands at 2 wins, 0 draws, and 1 loss, with 9:8 goals (averaging 3:2.7 per game).

Last Results with these Odds

Severstal Cherepovets - the odds 1.99 are the expected chance of winning is 48.72%, but this team recently wins 40% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Severstal Cherepovets
KHL
19.10.26	Severstal Cherepovets - Torpedo Nizhny Novgorod	4:1 ✺
15.10.26	Severstal Cherepovets - Lokomotiv Yaroslavl	5:2 ✺
13.10.26	Severstal Cherepovets - SKA Saint Petersburg	2:0 ✺
10.10.26	Ak Bars Kazan - Severstal Cherepovets	1:4 ✺
08.10.26	Torpedo Nizhny Novgorod - Severstal Cherepovets	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 23.1 WWWWW
- Shanghai Dragons
KHL
19.10.26	Sochi - Shanghai Dragons	2:5 ✺
16.10.26	Shanghai Dragons - Ak Bars Kazan	2:3 OT ✺
14.10.26	Shanghai Dragons - Traktor Chelyabinsk	2:6 ✺
12.10.26	Shanghai Dragons - Dinamo Minsk	2:3 ✺
07.10.26	Dynamo Moscow - Shanghai Dragons	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.2 WLLLW

Latest Head to Head

KHL
03.10.26	Severstal Cherepovets - Shanghai Dragons	2:1 OT
12.02.26	Shanghai Dragons - Severstal Cherepovets	2:3
08.11.25	Shanghai Dragons - Severstal Cherepovets	2:4
01.11.25	Severstal Cherepovets - Shanghai Dragons	3:6
26.10.25	Severstal Cherepovets - Shanghai Dragons	4:1

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