Match Info

KHL

Date: 1 December 2025, Monday

Location: Ice Palace (Cherepovets)


	Severstal Cherepovets		Traktor Chelyabinsk

	1	X	2
	2.35	4.3	2.6
	2.31	4.32	2.61	Watch
	2.3	4	2.65
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.32 ↑ (2.28)	4.21 ↑ (4.2)	2.62 ↓ (2.66)

The most likely Over/Under: 5.50

The best margin for this event is 4.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Severstal Cherepovets
41%

Draw
22.6%

Traktor Chelyabinsk
36.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41.7%

22.6%

35.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.6%

22.1%

34.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Severstal Cherepovets has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)

Traktor Chelyabinsk has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Severstal Cherepovets than the current prediction. (+1.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Traktor Chelyabinsk than the current prediction. (-1.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
86.7%	6.7%	6.7%

Severstal Cherepovets - Traktor Chelyabinsk Predictions

Users Predictions: 15 users predict this event. Severstal will win (votes: 13 - 86.7%). Traktor will win (votes: 1 - 6.7%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 6.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Severstal: 69.5% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Severstal Cherepovets will win (8 of 8 users predict this - 100%) 🥇 Gold Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:2

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Lineups

Line 1
29. Samoilov A. (G)	40. Sherstnev S. (G)
32. Gregoire T.	26. Day L.
8. Kaldis Y.	2. Dronov G.
88. Dumbadze D. (A)	45. Goryunov-Rolgizer M.
66. Podshivalov I.	78. Kadeykin A. (C)
18. Veryayev D.	96. Korshkov Y.
Line 2
2. Grudinin V.	79. Gross J.
75. Davydov T.	72. Telegin S. (A)
23. Liska A. (C)	74. Kravtsov V.
17. Abrosimov R. (A)	94. Grigorenko M. (A)
37. Reingardt I.	90. Leivo J.
Line 3
16. Vashchenko G.	82. Pribylsky A.
21. Kamalov N.	48. Koromyslov A.
13. Pilipenko K.	85. Der-Arguchintsev S.
53. Aimurzin D.	97. Glotov V.
99. Ilyin M.	12. Rykov A.
Line 4
7. Burenov N.	55. Kroshchinsky F.
97. Chebykin N.	25. Zharkov V.
6. Ivantsov I.	19. Nikonov A.
12. Skorenov A.	95. Aglamzyanov R.
Substitutes
1. Shostak K. (G)	93. Mosharov D. (G)
Coaches
. Kozyrev A.	. Richer R.

Key Events of the Match

1st Period (0 - 0)
2nd Period (2 - 0)
06:04, 1 - 0, Davydov T. (G),
11:42, 2 - 0, Chebykin N. (G), Ivantsov I. (A), Skorenov A. (A2)
16:03, Davydov T. (2 min),
3rd Period (1 - 2)
00:32, 3 - 0, Chebykin N. (G), Davydov T. (A),
02:36, 3 - 1, Kravtsov V. (G), Grigorenko M. (A), Day L. (A2)
18:33, 3 - 2, Grigorenko M. (G), Kravtsov V. (A), Dronov G. (A2)

Preview

This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ KHL (Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ KHL (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Severstal won 3.

Severstal is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Traktor's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Severstal may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Recently, the opponents have had a series of home games.

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

We predict that Severstal will win today's game, with odds of 2.33.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Severstal won 10 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 42:48. (average 2.1:2.4).

Including home matches between the teams, Severstal won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 20:21. (average 2.5:2.6).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Severstal Cherepovets
KHL
28.11.25	Severstal Cherepovets - Lokomotiv Yaroslavl	2:0 ✺
26.11.25	Severstal Cherepovets - SKA Saint Petersburg	4:6 ✺
23.11.25	Severstal Cherepovets - Lada Togliatti	2:0 ✺
20.11.25	Severstal Cherepovets - Admiral Vladivostok	3:2 OT ✺
18.11.25	Severstal Cherepovets - Dinamo Minsk	4:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.7 WLWWW
- Traktor Chelyabinsk
KHL
28.11.25	Traktor Chelyabinsk - Sochi	6:1 ✺
26.11.25	Traktor Chelyabinsk - Shanghai Dragons	9:0 ✺
20.11.25	Traktor Chelyabinsk - Amur Khabarovsk	4:6 ✺
18.11.25	Traktor Chelyabinsk - Metallurg Magnitogorsk	3:4 ✺
16.11.25	Traktor Chelyabinsk - Avtomobilist Yekaterinburg	1:5 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.3 WWLLL

Latest Head to Head

KHL
08.03.25	Traktor Chelyabinsk - Severstal Cherepovets	5:1
08.12.24	Severstal Cherepovets - Traktor Chelyabinsk	2:1
17.01.24	Traktor Chelyabinsk - Severstal Cherepovets	0:1 penalties
26.12.23	Severstal Cherepovets - Traktor Chelyabinsk	3:5
09.10.22	Severstal Cherepovets - Traktor Chelyabinsk	4:3 penalties
02.09.22	Traktor Chelyabinsk - Severstal Cherepovets	2:4
23.12.21	Traktor Chelyabinsk - Severstal Cherepovets	6:1

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