Match Info

KHL

Date: 18 March 2026, Wednesday

Location: Traktor Arena (Chelyabinsk)


	Traktor Chelyabinsk		Metallurg Magnitogorsk

	1	X	2
	1.5	5	5.4
	1.53	5.18	5.48	Watch
	2.3	4	2.47
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.78 ↓ (2.8)	4.73 ↑ (4.38)	4.45 ↑ (2.24)

The most likely Over/Under: 5.50

The best margin for this event is 2.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Traktor Chelyabinsk
56.3%

Draw
21.2%

Metallurg Magnitogorsk
22.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

34.6%

22.1%

43.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33.1%

21.1%

45.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Traktor Chelyabinsk has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+21.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Traktor Chelyabinsk's performance.

Metallurg Magnitogorsk has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-20.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Metallurg Magnitogorsk might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Traktor Chelyabinsk than the current prediction. (-23.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Traktor Chelyabinsk that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Metallurg Magnitogorsk than the current prediction. (+22.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Metallurg Magnitogorsk could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	50%	0%

Traktor Chelyabinsk - Metallurg Magnitogorsk Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Traktor will win (votes: 2 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 4:1

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Lineups

Line 1
40. Sherstnev S. (G)	30. Nabokov I. (G)
26. Day L.	74. Siryatsky A.
67. Cajkovsky M.	4. Zhukov K.
74. Kravtsov V.	84. Fyodorov M.
94. Grigorenko M. (A)	93. Nechayev I.
90. Leivo J.	19. Tkachev V. (C)
Line 2
79. Gross J.	32. Shetle E.
42. Yusupov V.	51. Poltavchuk N.
97. Glotov V. (A)	94. Korobkin Y. (A)
87. Svetlakov A.	18. Tyutnev P.
7. Dzhioshvili M.	12. Gushchin M.
Line 3
82. Pribylsky A.	5. Mukhranov Y.
89. Fedoseyev Y.	81. Rubin A.
71. Kisakov A.	95. Osipovich B.
78. Kadeykin A. (C)	15. Grass M.
96. Korshkov Y.	97. Galenyuk M.
Line 4
25. Zharkov V.	43. Isakov Y.
19. Nikonov A.	77. Kuzyakin A.
33. Rykmanov A.	13. Zimin N. (A)
	90. Rybin I.
Substitutes
83. Gorbunov S.	50. Kramzin Y. (G)
70. Nikolayev D. (G)	16. Mukhotyanov E.
12. Rykov A.
Coaches
. Koreshkov Y.	. Razin A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Period (2 - 2)
11:08, 1 - 0, Glotov V. (G), Cajkovsky M. (A), Svetlakov A. (A2)
13:17, 1 - 1, Tkachev V. (G), Fyodorov M. (A), Nechayev I. (A2)
13:31, 2 - 1, Svetlakov A. (G), Dzhioshvili M. (A),
15:22, 2 - 2, Mukhranov Y. (G), Poltavchuk N. (A), Rybin I. (A2)
16:18, Siryatsky A. (2 min),
18:00, Gross J. (2 min),
18:00, Tyutnev P. (2 min),
2nd Period (2 - 0)
02:18, (2 min),
14:38, 3 - 2, Cajkovsky M. (G), Grigorenko M. (A), Leivo J. (A2)
15:48, 4 - 2, Korshkov Y. (G), Kadeykin A. (A), Kisakov A. (A2)
19:47, Dzhioshvili M. (2 min),
3rd Period (2 - 0)
07:18, 5 - 2, Grigorenko M. (G), Kravtsov V. (A), Leivo J. (A2)
14:35, Tkachev V. (2 min),
19:09, 6 - 2, Leivo J. (G), Grigorenko M. (A), Kravtsov V. (A2)

Preview

Traktor is Qualified for KHL (Play Offs 1/8~finals)

Metallurg M is Qualified for KHL (Play Offs 1/8~finals)

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Traktor won 0.

Traktor has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Metallurg M is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Traktor may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Traktor is seen as the favorite.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Traktor won 8 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 12 matches, and goals 62:63. (average 3.1:3.2).

Including home matches between the teams, Traktor won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 30:28. (average 3:2.8).

Outrights of KHL for now

Tractor Chelyabinsk: 1.07%

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Traktor Chelyabinsk
KHL
16.03.26	Traktor Chelyabinsk - SKA Saint Petersburg	2:1 ✺
13.03.26	Traktor Chelyabinsk - Torpedo Nizhny Novgorod	3:2 OT ✺
10.03.26	Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk - Traktor Chelyabinsk	2:1 OT ✺
08.03.26	Metallurg Magnitogorsk - Traktor Chelyabinsk	3:2 penalties ✺
06.03.26	HC CSKA Moscow - Traktor Chelyabinsk	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.7 WWLLL
- Metallurg Magnitogorsk
KHL
16.03.26	Metallurg Magnitogorsk - Avtomobilist Yekaterinburg	4:3 ✺
13.03.26	Sibir Novosibirsk - Metallurg Magnitogorsk	1:2 OT ✺
11.03.26	Salavat Yulaev Ufa - Metallurg Magnitogorsk	1:2 OT ✺
08.03.26	Metallurg Magnitogorsk - Traktor Chelyabinsk	3:2 penalties ✺
06.03.26	Metallurg Magnitogorsk - Avtomobilist Yekaterinburg	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.3 WWWWL

Latest Head to Head

KHL
08.03.26	Metallurg Magnitogorsk - Traktor Chelyabinsk	3:2 penalties
27.01.26	Metallurg Magnitogorsk - Traktor Chelyabinsk	3:2
29.12.25	Metallurg Magnitogorsk - Traktor Chelyabinsk	5:4 OT
19.12.25	Traktor Chelyabinsk - Metallurg Magnitogorsk	4:7
18.11.25	Traktor Chelyabinsk - Metallurg Magnitogorsk	3:4
12.02.25	Traktor Chelyabinsk - Metallurg Magnitogorsk	1:3
05.02.25	Traktor Chelyabinsk - Metallurg Magnitogorsk	5:2

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