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Current Win Probability
Shanghai Dragons 52.6%
Draw 21.5%
Lada Togliatti 25.9%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
46%
22.9%
31.1%
Our Initial ML Estimation
47%
22.4%
30.4%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Shanghai Dragons has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.6%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Shanghai Dragons's performance.
Lada Togliatti has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.2%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Lada Togliatti might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Shanghai Dragons than the current prediction. (-5.6%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Shanghai Dragons that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lada Togliatti than the current prediction. (+4.5%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
0%
50%
50%
Shanghai Dragons - Lada Togliatti Predictions
Users Predictions:
8 users predict this event. Lada will win (votes: 4 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 50%). Confidence interval (95%) for Lada: 15.4% – 84.6%.
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Lada Togliatti will win (4 of 4 users predict this - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:2
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Lineups
Line 1
42. Rybar P. (G)
60. Bocharov I. (G)
5. Clendening A.
22. Williams C.
28. Bischoff J.
42. Syomin V. (A)
12. Labanc K.
98. Jurco T.
14. Sutter R. (A)
13. Sawchuk R.
81. Popugayev N. A.
84. Altybarmakyan A. (A)
Line 2
74. Bryntsev A.
27. Cotton A.
9. Valentsov V.
29. Bokun D.
17. Rendulic B.
25. Romanov I.
72. Quinney G.
10. Chivilyov A.
91. Wagner A.
18. Kugryshev D. (C)
Line 3
24. Reilly W.
99. Makarov N.
27. Somerby D.
47. Morozov Y.
15. Shuai Fu (C)
88. Setdikov N.
16. Josephs T.
66. Mikhailov N.
10. Merkley N. (A)
76. Tyanulin A.
Line 4
18. Akolzin P.
89. Karpov A.
29. Kablukov I.
21. Savchik I.
37. Sucese N.
94. Graovac T.
63. Groshev Y.
Substitutes
1. Kareyev A. (G)
1. Trushkov A. (G)
Coaches
. Kelly M.
. Desyatkov P.
Key Events of the Match
1st Period (2 - 0)
02:38, 1 - 0, Shuai Fu (G), Merkley N. (A), Josephs T. (A2)
14:22, 2 - 0, Sutter R. (G), Labanc K. (A), Clendening A. (A2)
18:32, Josephs T. (2 min),
2nd Period (0 - 1)
02:43, 2 - 1, Savchik I. (G), Tyanulin A. (A), Setdikov N. (A2)
12:14, Wagner A. (5 min),
12:14, Makarov N. (5 min),
14:56, Jurco T. (2 min),
15:49, (2 min),
3rd Period (1 - 1)
02:53, 2 - 2, Graovac T. (G), Groshev Y. (A), Mikhailov N. (A2)
09:02, 3 - 2, Shuai Fu (G), Somerby D. (A), Popugayev N. A. (A2)
Preview
Playing home matches at a different stadium - SKA Arena.
This time, only outsiders will meet in a game (ranked 9 and 11).
Shanghai is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).
Lada has been on a rough run of results (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
Lada may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
Recently, Shanghai has had a series of home games.
Recently, Lada has had a series of away games.
Shanghai might have a minor edge in this game.
In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Shanghai won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 6:5. (average 3:2.5).
Including home match between the teams, Shanghai won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:4.
Last Results with these Odds
Lada Togliatti - the odds 2.95 are the expected chance of winning is 31.06%, but this team recently wins 40% of matches with these odds.
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Rybar P. (G) 
Bocharov I. (G) 
Clendening A. 
Williams C. 
Bokun D. 
Rendulic B. 
Shuai Fu (C) 
Akolzin P. 
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