The best margin for this event is 3.1%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Lokomotiv Yaroslavl 70.3%
Draw 16.2%
Metallurg Magnitogorsk 13.5%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
43.3%
23.3%
33.4%
Our Initial ML Estimation
43.4%
23.4%
33.3%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Lokomotiv Yaroslavl has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+27%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Lokomotiv Yaroslavl's performance.
Metallurg Magnitogorsk has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-19.9%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Metallurg Magnitogorsk might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lokomotiv Yaroslavl than the current prediction. (-26.9%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Lokomotiv Yaroslavl that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Metallurg Magnitogorsk than the current prediction. (+19.8%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Metallurg Magnitogorsk could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Users Predictions:
7 users predict this event. Lokomotiv will win (votes: 3 - 42.9%). Metallurg M will win (votes: 1 - 14.3%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 42.9%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 4:1
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Lineups
Line 1
92. Isayev D. (G)
50. Kramzin Y. (G)
99. Sergeyev A.
74. Siryatsky A.
87. Rafikov R. (A)
4. Zhukov K. (A)
72. Beryozkin M.
94. Korobkin Y. (C)
78. Shalunov M.
93. Nechayev I.
16. Kayumov A.
95. Osipovich B.
Line 2
5. Bereglazov A.
32. Shetle E.
4. Yelesin A. (C)
51. Poltavchuk N.
90. Polunin A.
97. Galenyuk M.
10. Ivanov G.
15. Grass M.
47. Radulov A. (A)
90. Rybin I.
Line 3
93. Misyul D.
5. Mukhranov Y.
28. Gernat M.
81. Rubin A.
7. Kiryanov N.
77. Kuzyakin A.
51. Froese B.
18. Tyutnev P.
14. Panik R.
12. Gushchin M.
Line 4
49. Ulyev M.
43. Isakov Y.
9. Nikolayev I.
13. Zimin N. (A)
63. Kraskovsky P.
16. Mukhotyanov E.
13. Nikulin S.
Substitutes
38. Melnichuk A. (G)
88. Trofimov A. (G)
Coaches
. Hartley B.
. Razin A.
Key Events of the Match
1st Period (1 - 0)
14:09, Shetle E. (2 min),
17:34, 1 - 0, Froese B. (G), Kiryanov N. (A), Bereglazov A. (A2)
2nd Period (1 - 0)
01:53, Kayumov A. (2 min),
04:42, (2 min),
06:00, Radulov A. (Penalty Shot),
08:56, 2 - 0, Beryozkin M. (G), Kayumov A. (A),
10:29, Kuzyakin A. (2 min),
3rd Period (2 - 1)
12:16, Misyul D. (2 min),
13:49, 2 - 1, Nechayev I. (G), Poltavchuk N. (A), Galenyuk M. (A2)
18:34, 3 - 1, Radulov A. (G), Panik R. (A),
19:03, 4 - 1, Nikolayev I. (G), Froese B. (A),
Preview
Lokomotiv is Qualified for KHL (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
Metallurg M is Qualified for KHL (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Lokomotiv won 1.
Recent performances by Lokomotiv have been up and down (last 5 games: 3 wins).
Metallurg M is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
Lokomotiv may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
Recently, Lokomotiv has had a series of away games.
In this match, Lokomotiv is the clear favorite.
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Lokomotiv won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 14 matches, and goals 44:56. (average 2.2:2.8).
Including home matches between the teams, Lokomotiv won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 23:19. (average 2.6:2.1).
Outrights of KHL for now
Lokomotiv Yaroslavl: 16.47%
Last Results with these Odds
Lokomotiv Yaroslavl - the odds 2.24 are the expected chance of winning is 43.3%, but this team recently wins 38% of matches with these odds.
Metallurg Magnitogorsk - the odds 2.9 are the expected chance of winning is 33.44%, but this team recently wins 63% of matches with these odds.
Watch
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Isayev D. (G) 
Shetle E. 
Gernat M. 
Froese B. 
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