Match Info

KHL

Date: 17 October 2025, Friday

Location: Bolshoy Ice Dome (Sochi)


	Sochi		Avtomobilist Yekaterinburg

	1	X	2
	4.3	4.3	1.7
	4.23	4.3	1.72	Watch
	4.4	4.5	1.63
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.31 ↓ (4.43)	4.37 ↓ (4.45)	1.68 ↑ (1.67)

The most likely Over/Under: 5.00

The best margin for this event is 5%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Sochi
22%

Draw
21.7%

Avtomobilist Yekaterinburg
56.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

21.5%

21.4%

57.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

20.8%

20.7%

59.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sochi has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)

Avtomobilist Yekaterinburg has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sochi than the current prediction. (-1.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Avtomobilist Yekaterinburg than the current prediction. (+2.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
66.7%	33.3%	0%

Sochi - Avtomobilist Yekaterinburg Predictions

Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Sochi will win (votes: 6 - 66.7%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 33.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Sochi: 35.9% – 97.5%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Sochi (votes: 2 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 5 - under (votes: 2 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:3

#ad

Lineups

Line 1
30. Khomchenko P. (G)	18. Alikin Y. (G)
22. Hoefenmayer N.	9. Blacker J.
11. Volkov A. (A)	7. Busygin Y.
98. Shvyryov I.	17. Macek B. (A)
15. Utkin D.	14. Valk C.
25. Dedunov P. (C)	86. Sharov A.
Line 2
37. Malyshev A.	26. Ishimnikov N.
88. Nikolayev I.	55. Vorobyov K. (C)
34. Popov S.	24. Denezhkin M.
77. Guskov M.	77. Da Costa S.
13. Tyanulin A.	92. Gorbunov R.
Line 3
74. Orlov M.	83. Karpovich D.
23. Machulin V.	44. Yudin D.
41. Bitten W.	76. Kashtanov A.
61. Beaudin J.	81. Romantsev D.
97. Seroukh D. (A)	99. Shashkov N.
Line 4
5. Sapozhnikov A.	79. Tarasov M.
78. Polyakov N.	91. Malorosiyanov D.
87. Khafizov T.	96. Miller N.
9. Vengryzhanovsky D.	28. Byvaltsev A. (A)
	56. Ovchinnikov I.
Substitutes
72. Maximov R.	1. Galkin V. (G)
44. Shchetilin A. (G)
Coaches
. Krikunov V.	. Zavarukhin N.

Key Events of the Match

1st Period (1 - 1)
15:41, 0 - 1, Da Costa S. (G), Denezhkin M. (A), Malorosiyanov D. (A2)
16:15, Sharov A. (2 min),
18:32, 1 - 1, Bitten W. (G), Seroukh D. (A), Vengryzhanovsky D. (A2)
18:32, (2 min),
2nd Period (1 - 1)
02:25, Khomchenko P. ↓, Shchetilin A. ↑,
02:25, Nikolayev I. (2 min),
04:03, 1 - 2, Macek B. (G), Da Costa S. (A), Blacker J. (A2)
06:21, 2 - 2, Bitten W. (G), Seroukh D. (A), Volkov A. (A2)
3rd Period (0 - 0)
03:05, Malyshev A. (2 min),
06:06, Nikolayev I. (2 min),
09:06, Romantsev D. (2 min),
09:40, Khafizov T. (2 min),
11:54, Shchetilin A. ↓, Khomchenko P. ↑,
12:29, Seroukh D. (2 min),
Overtime (0 - 1)
01:12, 2 - 3, Denezhkin M. (G), Da Costa S. (A), Busygin Y. (A2)

Preview

Let's watch a game between a leader and an outsider (ranked 11 and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ KHL (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Sochi won 0.

Sochi has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).

In recent matches, Avtomobilist has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Sochi may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Avtomobilist is considered a favorite.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Sochi won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 15 matches, and goals 42:75. (average 2.1:3.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Sochi won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 19:41. (average 1.7:3.7).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- HC Sochi
KHL
09.10.25	Severstal Cherepovets - Sochi	3:0 ✺
07.10.25	Lada Togliatti - Sochi	3:1 ✺
05.10.25	Salavat Yulaev Ufa - Sochi	3:1 ✺
03.10.25	Sochi - Admiral Vladivostok	4:5 ✺
30.09.25	Sochi - Lada Togliatti	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.4 LLLLW
- Avtomobilist Yekaterinburg
KHL
15.10.25	Severstal Cherepovets - Avtomobilist Yekaterinburg	2:0 ✺
13.10.25	SKA Saint Petersburg - Avtomobilist Yekaterinburg	2:1 ✺
10.10.25	Avtomobilist Yekaterinburg - Avangard Omsk	3:0 ✺
08.10.25	Avtomobilist Yekaterinburg - SKA Saint Petersburg	2:1 OT ✺
06.10.25	Avangard Omsk - Avtomobilist Yekaterinburg	1:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.4 LLWWW

Latest Head to Head

KHL
16.03.25	Avtomobilist Yekaterinburg - Sochi	6:3
19.01.25	Sochi - Avtomobilist Yekaterinburg	1:2
18.02.24	Avtomobilist Yekaterinburg - Sochi	2:1
05.01.24	Sochi - Avtomobilist Yekaterinburg	1:4
Club Friendly Ice Hockey
25.08.23	Sochi - Avtomobilist Yekaterinburg	2:8
KHL
19.11.22	Avtomobilist Yekaterinburg - Sochi	8:2
23.10.22	Sochi - Avtomobilist Yekaterinburg	2:5

Upcoming Matches