The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Springfield Thunderbirds 28.1%
Draw 21.2%
Toronto Marlies 50.7%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
33%
20.1%
46.9%
Our Initial ML Estimation
34.5%
21%
44.8%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Springfield Thunderbirds has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.9%)
Toronto Marlies has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.8%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Springfield Thunderbirds than the current prediction. (+6.4%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Springfield Thunderbirds, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Toronto Marlies than the current prediction. (-5.9%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Toronto Marlies, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
0%
50%
50%
Springfield Thunderbirds - Toronto Marlies Predictions
Users Predictions:
4 users predict this event. Toronto will win (votes: 2 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 50%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:4
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Zherenko V. (G)
70. Akhtyamov A. (G)
9. Buchinger M.
68. Barbolini M.
42. Burns Q.
72. Boyd T.
14. Dean Z.
58. Chadwick N.
29. Dube D.
29. Groulx B.
45. Gaudet M.
43. Haymes L.
41. Kaskimaki A.
65. Johnson R.
4. Lindstein T.
57. Johnstone M. (A)
7. Loof L.
71. Lettieri V.
39. Luff M.
92. Nylander A.
11. McGing H.
56. Pare C.
63. Peca M.
37. Prokop J.
18. Pekarcik J.
83. Rifai M. (A)
22. Peterson D.
97. Sharpe C.
26. Robertsson S.
11. Shaw L. (C)
43. Rosen C.
59. Smith B.
49. Stancl J.
77. Tverberg R.
91. Susuyev N.
39. Valis B.
88. Wagner C. (A)
76. Villeneuve W.
Substitutes
30. Romanov G. (G)
80. Appleby K. (G)
Key Events of the Match
1st Period (1 - 2)
05:26, 0 - 1, Valis B. (G), Pare C. (A), Groulx B. (A2)
07:30, 1 - 1, Gaudet M. (G), Dean Z. (A),
15:28, 1 - 2, Pare C. (G), Groulx B. (A), Shaw L. (A2)
2nd Period (0 - 1)
15:45, 1 - 3, Groulx B. (G), Johnstone M. (A), Rifai M. (A2)
3rd Period (2 - 0)
07:51, 2 - 3, Wagner C. (G), Buchinger M. (A),
14:29, 3 - 3, Luff M. (G),
Overtime (1 - 0)
01', 4 - 3, (G),
Preview
A mid-table team and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 8 and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ AHL (Play Offs: )).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Springfield won 1.
Springfield is going through a poor run of results (last 5 games: 0 wins).
Toronto has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
Springfield may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
Toronto could have a small edge in this match.
In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Springfield won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 20:33. (average 2:3.3).
Including home matches between the teams, Springfield won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 10:12. (average 2:2.4).
Last Results with these Odds
Springfield Thunderbirds - the odds 2.81 are the expected chance of winning is 33.05%, but this team recently wins 0% of matches with these odds.
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Zherenko V. (G) 
Buchinger M. 
Barbolini M. 
Kaskimaki A. 
Lindstein T. 
Pekarcik J. 
Stancl J. 
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