Match Info
AHLDate: 3 April 2026, FridayLocation: MassMutual Center (Springfield, MA)Where to Watch on TV: | |
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 Usa | Flohockey |
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Springfield Thunderbirds |
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Hershey Bears |
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1 |
X |
2 |
|
 |
2.3 |
4 |
2.38 |
|
 |
2.39 |
3.95 |
2.45 |
|
 |
2.39 |
4.2 |
2.43 |
|
 |
2.37 |
4.25 |
2.42 |
 Watch |
 |
2.38 |
4 |
2.38 |
|
 |
2.38 |
4.24 |
2.43 |
Watch |
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.37 ↓
(2.66) |
4.11 ↓
(4.22) |
2.42 ↑
(2.16) |
|
- The most likely Over/Under: 5.50
- The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by
#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Springfield Thunderbirds
39.1% | Draw
22.6% | Hershey Bears
38.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Springfield Thunderbirds has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.2%)Hershey Bears has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.7%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Springfield Thunderbirds than the current prediction. (-5.7%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Springfield Thunderbirds that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hershey Bears than the current prediction. (+6.6%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Hershey Bears could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.Springfield Thunderbirds - Hershey Bears Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:2 
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Lineups
| Starting Lineups |
|---|
1.  Zherenko V. (G)
| 35.  Gibson M. (G)
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12. Bordeleau T.
| 7. Belpedio L. (A)
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9.  Buchinger M.
| 43. Bitten S.
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42. Burns Q.
| 5. Chesley R.
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14. Dean Z.
| 20. Cristall A.
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29. Dube D.
| 19. Cruikshank G.
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45. Gaudet M.
| 49. Kupka K.
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41.  Kaskimaki A.
| 23. Leason B.
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11. McGing H. (A)
| 47. McDonald J.
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37. Newpower W.
| 15. Milano S.
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18.  Pekarcik J.
| 34.  Muggli L.
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22. Peterson D.
| 40.  Protas I.
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26.  Robertsson S.
| 12. Rybinski H.
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43. Rosen C. (A)
| 6. Schueneman C. (A)
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55. Skinner H.
| 37. Smith D.
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49.  Stancl J.
| 45. Strome M. (A)
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16. Thomas A.
| 41. Suzdalev A.
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77. Trudeau F.
| 44. Trineyev B.
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88. Wagner C. (C)
| 4. Webb R.
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| Substitutes |
|---|
30. Romanov G. (G)
| 1. Bjorklund G. (G)
|
Key Events of the Match
- 1st Period (0 - 1)
- 11:22, 0 - 1, Cruikshank G. (G),
- 2nd Period (3 - 0)
- 06:57, 1 - 1, Thomas A. (G), Buchinger M. (A),
- 10:22, 2 - 1, Kaskimaki A. (G), Dube D. (A), Wagner C. (A2)
- 14:54, 3 - 1, Bordeleau T. (G), Dean Z. (A), Thomas A. (A2)
- 3rd Period (1 - 1)
- 12:00, 3 - 2, Belpedio L. (G), Smith D. (A),
- 19:38, 4 - 2, Skinner H. (G),
Preview
Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ AHL (Play Offs: ) and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ AHL (Play Offs: )).In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Springfield won 1.Springfield has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 3 wins).Hershey's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).Springfield may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.Recently, the opponents have had a series of away games. The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.We predict that Springfield will win today's game, with odds of 2.35.In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Springfield won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 17 matches, and goals 45:71. (average 2.3:3.6).Including home matches between the teams, Springfield won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 22:30. (average 2.4:3.3).
Last Results with these Odds
Springfield Thunderbirds - the odds 2.66 are the expected chance of winning is 34.94%, but this team recently wins 42% of matches with these odds.
Hershey Bears - the odds 2.16 are the expected chance of winning is 43.03%, but this team recently wins 38% of matches with these odds.
Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
Latest Head to Head
| AHL | | | 31.10.25 | Springfield Thunderbirds - Hershey Bears | 2:3 OT | | 19.10.25 | Hershey Bears - Springfield Thunderbirds | 1:5 | | 18.10.25 | Hershey Bears - Springfield Thunderbirds | 5:1 | | 19.03.25 | Springfield Thunderbirds - Hershey Bears | 2:4 | | 10.11.24 | Hershey Bears - Springfield Thunderbirds | 3:2 OT | | 09.11.24 | Hershey Bears - Springfield Thunderbirds | 3:2 | | 26.10.24 | Springfield Thunderbirds - Hershey Bears | 2:6 |
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Upcoming Matches
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
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