Match Info

OHL

Date: 5 December 2025, Friday

Location: Sudbury Community Arena (Greater Sudbury, ON)


	Sudbury Wolves		Sarnia Sting

	1	X	2
	2	4.45	2.73
	1.94	5.05	2.67
	1.95	4.6	2.7
	2	4.3	2.65
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.97 ↑ (1.93)	4.6 ↓ (4.81)	2.69 ↑ (2.67)

The best margin for this event is 8.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sudbury Wolves
46.2%

Draw
19.8%

Sarnia Sting
33.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

47.1%

18.9%

34%

Our Initial ML Estimation

50%

17.8%

32%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sudbury Wolves has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)

Sarnia Sting has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sudbury Wolves than the current prediction. (+3.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sarnia Sting than the current prediction. (-1.9%)

Sudbury Wolves - Sarnia Sting Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Sudbury (votes: 2 - 100%).

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Chartier K. (G)	32. Quinlan P. (G)
44. Berehowsky D.	6. Aucoin C.
93. Blonda L.	33. Aucoin K.
95. Bodhi R.	16. Barr J.
26. Chovan J.	61. Bax J.
19. Clayton B.	40. Beamish L.
11. Dean E.	23. Brown R.
7. Ewles G.	84. Challenger T.
84. Gonchar A.	17. Di Iorio A.
51. Harris K.	81. Edwards B.
77. Henderson R. (A)	13. Fischer L.
13. Martin H.	71. Gaughan C.
4. O'Dell T.	10. Hall C.
21. Pharand A. (A)	93. Lammens B.
97. Provorov V.	55. Manza M.
89. Villeneuve N. (C)	12. Pickell B.
16. Walker M.	7. Reese J.
22. Walton K. (A)	14. Van Volsen J.
74. Wilson Z.	11. Walos E.
	5. Young M.
Substitutes
31. Bronas B. (G)	31. Larocque C. (G)

Key Events of the Match

1st Period (0 - 0)
2nd Period (1 - 1)
01:16, 0 - 1, Edwards B. (G), Young M. (A), Walos E. (A2)
09:43, 1 - 1, Villeneuve N. (G), Walton K. (A), Berehowsky D. (A2)
3rd Period (2 - 0)
06:47, 2 - 1, Walton K. (G), Chovan J. (A), Villeneuve N. (A2)
19:29, 3 - 1, Henderson R. (G), Villeneuve N. (A),

Preview

We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 9 and 10).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Sudbury won 2.

In recent matches, Sudbury has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Sarnia's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Sudbury may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Sudbury could have a small edge in this match.

We predict that Sudbury will win today's game, with odds of 1.94.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Sudbury won 9 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 11 matches, and goals 73:85. (average 3.7:4.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Sudbury won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 42:39. (average 4.2:3.9).

Last Results with these Odds

Sudbury Wolves - the odds 1.93 are the expected chance of winning is 47.12%, but this team recently wins 33% of matches with these odds.

Sarnia Sting - the odds 2.67 are the expected chance of winning is 33.99%, but this team recently wins 15% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sudbury Wolves
OHL
30.11.25	Guelph Storm - Sudbury Wolves	6:2 ✺
29.11.25	Brampton Steelheads - Sudbury Wolves	1:2 OT ✺
28.11.25	Sudbury Wolves - Barrie Colts	6:3 ✺
23.11.25	Brampton Steelheads - Sudbury Wolves	8:2 ✺
21.11.25	Sudbury Wolves - London Knights	6:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 22.2 LWWLW
- Sarnia Sting
OHL
04.12.25	North Bay Battalion - Sarnia Sting	2:1 ✺
30.11.25	Sarnia Sting - Flint Firebirds	3:2 penalties ✺
28.11.25	Sarnia Sting - Sault Ste. Marie Greyhounds	2:6 ✺
22.11.25	Erie Otters - Sarnia Sting	4:2 ✺
21.11.25	Brantford Bulldogs - Sarnia Sting	7:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.4 LWLLL

Latest Head to Head

OHL
26.09.25	Sarnia Sting - Sudbury Wolves	6:1
17.01.25	Sarnia Sting - Sudbury Wolves	6:2
18.10.24	Sudbury Wolves - Sarnia Sting	1:5
01.03.24	Sudbury Wolves - Sarnia Sting	10:3
12.01.24	Sarnia Sting - Sudbury Wolves	3:7
10.02.23	Sudbury Wolves - Sarnia Sting	3:2
28.10.22	Sarnia Sting - Sudbury Wolves	6:2

Sudbury Wolves - Sarnia Sting: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide