The best margin for this event is 7.1%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Sudbury Wolves 35.5%
Draw 21.3%
London Knights 43.1%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
36.5%
21.1%
42.4%
Our Initial ML Estimation
38.7%
22.4%
38.9%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Sudbury Wolves has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)
London Knights has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sudbury Wolves than the current prediction. (+3.2%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for London Knights than the current prediction. (-4.2%)
Sudbury Wolves - London Knights Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:4
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
29. Frasca P. (G)
78. Medvedev A. (G)
93. Blonda L.
10. Barch K.
26. Chovan J. (A)
34. Bidgood C. (A)
19. Clayton B. (C)
43. Brown R. (C)
11. Dean E.
96. Campeau A.
84. Gonchar A.
87. Cover J.
22. Greene N.
23. Harmer C.
51. Harris K.
55. Kapageridis J.
2. Kearns F.
28. Kesler R.
18. Ladds L.
29. Le Gallic E.
66. Lemieux J. (A)
44. McAslan C.
27. Martin H.
77. Mitchell C.
71. Nemec A.
57. Nordmark M.
97. Provorov V.
92. Piiparinen J.
96. Smith P.
37. Ritson J.
88. Ula G.
18. Vandeven J.
89. Ula P.
14. van Gorp E. (A)
86. Walker M.
24. Wood C.
5. Wreggitt C.
71. Zakharov M.
11. Zocco T.
Substitutes
31. Bronas B. (G)
33. Cooke B. (G)
Key Events of the Match
1st Period (1 - 0)
18:39, 1 - 0, Walker M. (G), Harris K. (A), Provorov V. (A2)
2nd Period (1 - 2)
07:36, 2 - 0, Nemec A. (G), Lemieux J. (A), Chovan J. (A2)
18:13, 2 - 1, Nordmark M. (G), Brown R. (A),
19:59, 2 - 2, Zocco T. (G), Harmer C. (A), Nordmark M. (A2)
3rd Period (1 - 1)
11:56, 2 - 3, Cover J. (G), McAslan C. (A), Zocco T. (A2)
18:23, 3 - 3, Walker M. (G), Blonda L. (A),
Overtime (1 - 0)
02:44, 4 - 3, Provorov V. (G), Nemec A. (A), Gonchar A. (A2)
Preview
A direct battle for position between neighbouring teams in the table (ranked 2nd in the Promotion - OHL Playoffs and 4th in the Promotion - OHL Playoffs).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Sudbury won 1.
Each of the two teams is seeking greater consistency after recent ups and downs.
Sudbury could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.
Both teams have recently been through a demanding run of away matches.
In this match, both teams have fairly balanced chances of victory.
In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, Sudbury has recorded 2 wins, 0 draws, and 18 losses, with a goal aggregate of 54:97 (averaging 2.7:4.9 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Sudbury against this opponent, the record stands at 2 wins, 0 draws, and 8 losses, with 32:50 goals (averaging 3.2:5 per game).
Last Results with these Odds
Sudbury Wolves - the odds 2.52 are the expected chance of winning is 36.49%, but this team recently wins 14% of matches with these odds.
London Knights - the odds 2.17 are the expected chance of winning is 42.37%, but this team recently wins 69% of matches with these odds.