Match Info

AHL

Date: 12 April 2026, Sunday

Location: Upstate Medical University Arena (Syracuse, NY)

Where to Watch on TV:


Usa	Flohockey


	Syracuse Crunch		Toronto Marlies

	1	X	2
	1.95	4	2.9	Watch
	2.01	4	3
	1.93	4.4	3.1
	3.37	3.74	1.96	Watch
	1.91	4	3
	1.91	4.43	3.12	Watch
	1.98	3.85	3.1
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.15 ↑ (1.98)	4.06 ↑ (3.85)	2.88 ↓ (3.1)

The most likely Over/Under: 5.25

The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Syracuse Crunch
43.9%

Draw
23.3%

Toronto Marlies
32.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

46.4%

23.9%

29.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.3%

25.6%

31.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Syracuse Crunch has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.5%)

Toronto Marlies has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Syracuse Crunch than the current prediction. (-0.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Toronto Marlies than the current prediction. (-1%)

Syracuse Crunch - Toronto Marlies Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
31. Halverson B. (G)	35. Hildeby D. (G)
80. Abruzzese N.	48. Baddock B.
14. Allard T.	68. Barbolini M.
21. Chaffee M. (A)	33. Benning M. (A)
25. Duke D.	20. Borgesi V.
84. Grondin M.	58. Chadwick N.
23. Groshev M.	29. Groulx B.
41. Kersten S.	98. Holinka M.
7. Lundmark S.	65. Johnson R.
11. Mercuri L.	57. Johnstone M. (A)
8. Miller T.	71. Lettieri V.
5. Mitchell I.	92. Nylander A.
18. Newkirk R.	56. Pare C.
63. Peca M.	97. Sharpe C.
22. Pelletier J. (A)	11. Shaw L. (C)
75. Pietroniro M.	42. Sim L.
44. Steen N.	59. Smith B.
95. Szturc G.	3. Thrun H.
28. Tinordi J. (A)	39. Valis B.
Substitutes
35. Meneghin H. (G)	50. Peksa V. (G)

Key Events of the Match

1st Period (1 - 2)
02:43, 1 - 0, Duke D. (G), Pelletier J. (A), Abruzzese N. (A2)
05:12, 1 - 1, Sharpe C. (G), Baddock B. (A), Johnstone M. (A2)
12:33, 1 - 2, Nylander A. (G), Barbolini M. (A), Holinka M. (A2)
2nd Period (0 - 0)
3rd Period (0 - 2)
08:24, 1 - 3, Valis B. (G), Barbolini M. (A), Nylander A. (A2)
19:41, 1 - 4, Nylander A. (G), Johnstone M. (A), Pare C. (A2)

Preview

The two neighboring teams will play an exciting match (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ AHL (Play Offs: ) and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ AHL (Play Offs: ))

Syracuse is Qualified for AHL (Play Offs )

Toronto is Qualified for AHL (Play Offs )

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Syracuse won 3.

Both teams are struggling and far from their best.

Toronto may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Recently, Toronto has had a series of home games.

Syracuse could have a small edge in this match.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Syracuse won 13 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 63:50. (average 3.2:2.5).

Including home matches between the teams, Syracuse won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 27:27. (average 3:3).

Last Results with these Odds

Syracuse Crunch - the odds 1.98 are the expected chance of winning is 46.45%, but this team recently wins 67% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Syracuse Crunch
AHL
11.04.26	Syracuse Crunch - Utica Comets	3:0 ✺
08.04.26	Syracuse Crunch - Rochester Americans	2:3 ✺
04.04.26	Springfield Thunderbirds - Syracuse Crunch	4:3 penalties ✺
03.04.26	Syracuse Crunch - Providence Bruins	2:4 ✺
29.03.26	Rochester Americans - Syracuse Crunch	3:2 penalties ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.9 WLLLL
- Toronto Marlies
AHL
10.04.26	Utica Comets - Toronto Marlies	6:3 ✺
08.04.26	Toronto Marlies - Utica Comets	4:3 OT ✺
04.04.26	Toronto Marlies - Charlotte Checkers	1:5 ✺
03.04.26	Toronto Marlies - Charlotte Checkers	2:3 ✺
31.03.26	Toronto Marlies - Manitoba Moose	1:5 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.2 LWLLL

Latest Head to Head

AHL
11.03.26	Syracuse Crunch - Toronto Marlies	1:5
01.01.26	Toronto Marlies - Syracuse Crunch	2:1 OT
29.10.25	Toronto Marlies - Syracuse Crunch	4:5
05.04.25	Toronto Marlies - Syracuse Crunch	2:3 penalties
04.04.25	Syracuse Crunch - Toronto Marlies	4:1
21.02.25	Syracuse Crunch - Toronto Marlies	5:0
12.02.25	Toronto Marlies - Syracuse Crunch	5:4 OT

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