Match Info

SM-sarja U20

Date: 7 December 2025, Sunday


	Jokerit U20		Ilves U20

	1	X	2
	3.45	3.93	1.68
	3.71	4.27	1.72	Watch
	3.4	4.2	1.67
	3.73	4.25	1.69
	3.1	4.5	1.74
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.48 ↓ (3.63)	4.23 ↑ (4.13)	1.7 ↓ (1.76)

The most likely Over/Under: 5.50

The best margin for this event is 8.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Jokerit U20
25.9%

Draw
21.3%

Ilves U20
52.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

25.4%

22.3%

52.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

27.6%

20.5%

48.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Jokerit U20 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)

Ilves U20 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Jokerit U20 than the current prediction. (+1.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ilves U20 than the current prediction. (-4.8%)

Jokerit U20 - Ilves U20 Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:3

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Key Events of the Match

1st Period (1 - 1)
03:35, 0 - 1, Seppanen N. (G), Pelkonen L. (A), Teuho-Markkola T. (A2)
13:21, 1 - 1, Mand J. (G), Aarvala T. (A), Alanko R. (A2)
2nd Period (3 - 1)
05:34, 2 - 1, Rasanen V. (G), Mand J. (A), Kallio B. (A2)
05:55, 3 - 1, Aarvala T. (G), Kamarainen N. (A), Stromberg S. (A2)
09:04, 4 - 1, Rasanen V. (G), Kouhia L. (A), Mand J. (A2)
12:59, 4 - 2, Harkimo D. (G), Pelkonen L. (A), Tukio O. (A2)
3rd Period (1 - 1)
13:14, 4 - 3, Tukio O. (G), Harkimo D. (A),
19:36, 5 - 3, Rasanen V. (G),

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Jokerit U20 won 4.

Jokerit U20 is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Ilves U20's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Jokerit U20 may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Ilves U20 is the team to beat.

In the last 19 head-to-head matches, Jokerit U20 won 14 matches, drew 1 match, lost 4 matches, and goals 67:43. (average 3.5:2.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Jokerit U20 won 7 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 33:19. (average 3.7:2.1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Jokerit U20 hockey
Finnish SM-sarja U20
04.12.25	Jokerit U20 - Tappara U20	4:5 penalties ✺
03.12.25	HPK U20 - Jokerit U20	5:6 ✺
29.11.25	JYP U20 - Jokerit U20	3:4 ✺
28.11.25	Jokerit U20 - SaiPa U20	6:0 ✺
23.11.25	Ilves U20 - Jokerit U20	2:3 penalties ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.8 LWWWW
- Ilves U20
Finnish SM-sarja U20
03.12.25	Ilves U20 - Tappara U20	4:3 ✺
29.11.25	Mikkelin Jukurit U20 - Ilves U20	3:2 penalties ✺
28.11.25	Ilves U20 - Vaasan Sport U20	7:4 ✺
23.11.25	Ilves U20 - Jokerit U20	2:3 penalties ✺
22.11.25	TPS U20 - Ilves U20	1:7 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.6 WLWLW

Latest Head to Head

Finnish SM-sarja U20
23.11.25	Ilves U20 - Jokerit U20	2:3 penalties
26.10.24	Jokerit U20 - Ilves U20	4:2
21.09.24	Ilves U20 - Jokerit U20	1:2 OT
03.02.24	Ilves U20 - Jokerit U20	3:4 penalties
02.12.23	Ilves U20 - Jokerit U20	2:1 penalties
20.10.23	Jokerit U20 - Ilves U20	2:3
23.09.22	Jokerit U20 - Ilves U20	7:3

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