Match Info

SM-sarja U20

Date: 17 October 2025, Friday


	Lukko U20		SaiPa U20

	1	X	2
	1.72	4.5	2.9
	2.13	3.82	2.75
	1.81	4.25	3.34
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.89 ↑ (1.82)	4.19 ↑ (4.13)	3 ↓ (3.21)

The most likely Over/Under: 5.50

The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Lukko U20
48.1%

Draw
21.6%

SaiPa U20
30.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

49.8%

21.9%

28.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49.1%

21.6%

28.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lukko U20 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)

SaiPa U20 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lukko U20 than the current prediction. (+1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for SaiPa U20 than the current prediction. (-1.7%)

Lukko U20 - SaiPa U20 Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:2

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Key Events of the Match

1st Period (0 - 0)
2nd Period (1 - 0)
11:45, 1 - 0, Sahlstedt D. (G), Leppa M. (A), Syri J. (A2)
3rd Period (2 - 0)
10:15, 2 - 0, Julkunen A. (G), Lehtosaari V. (A), Sahlstedt L. (A2)
19:59, 3 - 0, Lehtosaari V. (G), Vuorinen V. (A),

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Lukko U20 won 2.

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

SaiPa U20 may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, SaiPa U20 has had a series of away games.

Lukko U20 might have a minor edge in this game.

In the last 17 head-to-head matches, Lukko U20 won 9 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 55:54. (average 3.2:3.2).

Including home matches between the teams, Lukko U20 won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 30:23. (average 4.3:3.3).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Lukko U20
Finnish SM-sarja U20
12.10.25	JYP U20 - Lukko U20	4:3 penalties ✺
11.10.25	Kärpät U20 - Lukko U20	1:2 ✺
10.10.25	Lukko U20 - RoKi U20	0:4 ✺
03.10.25	HIFK U20 - Lukko U20	3:6 ✺
28.09.25	Lukko U20 - Jokerit U20	2:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.9 LWLWL
- SaiPa U20
Finnish SM-sarja U20
11.10.25	HPK U20 - SaiPa U20	3:4 OT ✺
04.10.25	Vaasan Sport U20 - SaiPa U20	4:7 ✺
03.10.25	Ässät U20 - SaiPa U20	4:3 OT ✺
28.09.25	SaiPa U20 - Tappara U20	2:1 ✺
27.09.25	Pelicans U20 - SaiPa U20	5:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.1 WWLWL

Latest Head to Head

Finnish SM-sarja U20
06.03.25	SaiPa U20 - Lukko U20	3:1
30.11.24	Lukko U20 - SaiPa U20	4:2
16.02.24	SaiPa U20 - Lukko U20	3:8
12.01.24	SaiPa U20 - Lukko U20	4:1
05.01.24	Lukko U20 - SaiPa U20	2:4
14.10.22	SaiPa U20 - Lukko U20	4:1
05.11.21	SaiPa U20 - Lukko U20	3:2 OT

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