Match Info

NHL

Date: 17 October 2026, Saturday 🏁 Finished

Location: Benchmark International Arena (Tampa, FL) 🌤️ ...

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Argentina	17:00	Disney+
Austria	22:00	Sky Sport Austria 1, Sky Sport Mix
Brazil	17:00	Disney+
Chile	17:00	Disney+
Colombia	15:00	Disney+
Croatia	22:00	Arena Sport 3
Czech Republic	22:00	Oneplay
Denmark	22:00	Viaplay
Finland	23:00	MTV Katsomo+, MTV Sub, MTV Urheilu 1
Germany	22:00	NHL.tv, Sky Sport Mix, Sky Sport Top Event
Mexico	14:00	Disney+
Norway	22:00	Viaplay
Peru	15:00	Disney+
Serbia	22:00	Arena Premium 5
Slovenia	22:00	Arena Sport 4
Switzerland	22:00	Sky Sport Mix, Sky Sport Top Event
Uruguay	17:00	Disney+
Usa	16:00	ESPN USA, ESPN+, MSG Sportsnet, MSG, NESN, SportsNet Pittsburgh
Venezuela	16:00	Disney+
International	20:00	NHL.tv


	Tampa Bay Lightning		Vancouver Canucks

	1	X	2
	1.35	5.5	6.25	Watch
	1.42	5.25	5.50
	1.48	5.25	5.25
	1.47	5.5	5.3
	1.45	5.4	5.5	Watch
	1.46	5.45	5.25
	1.47	5.53	5.84
	1.43	5.2	5.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.44 ↓ (1.52)	5.39 ↑ (5.1)	5.54 ↑ (4.79)

The most likely Over/Under: 6.25

The best margin for this event is 3.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Tampa Bay Lightning
65.4%

Draw
17.5%

Vancouver Canucks
17%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

61.9%

18.5%

19.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

63.1%

17.9%

19%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Tampa Bay Lightning has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.5%)

Vancouver Canucks has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tampa Bay Lightning than the current prediction. (-2.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Vancouver Canucks than the current prediction. (+2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
91.7%	8.3%	0%

Tampa Bay Lightning - Vancouver Canucks Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Vancouver (votes: 1 - 100%).

Users Predictions: Tampa Bay Lightning will win (11 of 12 users predict this - 91.67%).
Confidence interval (95%): 76.03% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 4:1

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Lineups

Line 1
35. Hildeby D. (G)	32. Lankinen K. (G)
74. Carlson J.	17. Hronek F.
90. Moser J.J.	25. Pettersson E. II.
86. Kucherov N. (A)	88. Lekkerimaki J.
71. Cirelli A.	40. Pettersson E. (A)
38. Hagel B.	74. DeBrusk J.
Line 2
81. Cernak E.	5. Willander T.
27. McDonagh R. (A)	4. Oleksiak J.
93. Goncalves G.	94. Karlsson L.
21. Point B.	23. Rossi M.
59. Guentzel J.	92. Ohgren L.
Line 3
78. Lilleberg E.	90. Mancini V.
77. Hedman V. (C)	8. Buium Z. (A)
95. Mikheyev I.	6. Boeser B. (A)
28. Girgensons Z.	77. Chytil F.
29. Holmberg P.	47. Cotter P.
Line 4
51. D'Astous C.	7. Gallagher B.
94. Geekie C.	63. Sasson M.
17. James D.	18. O'Connor D.
Substitutes
88. Vasilevski A. (G)	31. Merilainen L. (G)
Coaches
. Cooper J.	. Malhotra M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Period (0 - 1)
13:20, Kucherov N. (2 min),
15:32, 0 - 1, Karlsson L. (G), Cotter P. (A), Chytil F. (A2)
2nd Period (2 - 1)
03:19, Point B. (2 min),
04:35, 0 - 2, Pettersson E. (G), Lekkerimaki J. (A), Boeser B. (A2)
05:35, Ohgren L. (2 min),
06:30, 1 - 2, Kucherov N. (G), Hagel B. (A), Guentzel J. (A2)
11:23, 2 - 2, Kucherov N. (G), Point B. (A),
3rd Period (2 - 0)
02:04, 3 - 2, Guentzel J. (G), D'Astous C. (A), Point B. (A2)
02:26, Hedman V. (2 min),
02:26, Gallagher B. (2 min),
15:57, 4 - 2, Holmberg P. (G),

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Tampa Bay won 3.

Tampa Bay is in solid form heading into this fixture (last 5 matches: 4 wins).

Vancouver is on a prolonged losing streak (last 5 matches: 0 wins).

Tampa Bay could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.

Recently, Vancouver has had a run of games away from home.

In this matchup, Tampa Bay is considered the favorite to take the win.

Confirmed absences for Tampa Bay: Gourde Y. (Hip Injury).

Confirmed absences for Vancouver: Demko T. (Hip Injury).

Our forecast points to a victory for Tampa Bay in today's match, at odds of 1.47.

In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, Tampa Bay has recorded 14 wins, 0 draws, and 6 losses, with a goal aggregate of 72:53 (averaging 3.6:2.7 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Tampa Bay against this opponent, the record stands at 7 wins, 0 draws, and 4 losses, with 40:32 goals (averaging 3.6:2.9 per game).

Outrights of NHL for now

Tampa Bay Lightning: 6.97% Vancouver Canucks: 0.15%

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Tampa Bay Lightning
NHL
15.10.26	Tampa Bay Lightning - Seattle Kraken	4:3 AET ✺
13.10.26	New York Rangers - Tampa Bay Lightning	4:1 ✺
10.10.26	New York Islanders - Tampa Bay Lightning	3:5 ✺
08.10.26	Tampa Bay Lightning - Minnesota Wild	3:2 ✺
05.10.26	Tampa Bay Lightning - Philadelphia Flyers	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.1 WLWWW
- Vancouver Canucks
NHL
15.10.26	Florida Panthers - Vancouver Canucks	3:2 AET ✺
13.10.26	New York Islanders - Vancouver Canucks	3:2 ✺
11.10.26	New York Rangers - Vancouver Canucks	6:2 ✺
10.10.26	New Jersey Devils - Vancouver Canucks	4:1 ✺
08.10.26	Carolina Hurricanes - Vancouver Canucks	7:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL

Latest Head to Head

NHL
19.03.26	Vancouver Canucks - Tampa Bay Lightning	2:6
16.11.25	Tampa Bay Lightning - Vancouver Canucks	2:6
08.12.24	Vancouver Canucks - Tampa Bay Lightning	2:4
15.10.24	Tampa Bay Lightning - Vancouver Canucks	4:1
12.12.23	Vancouver Canucks - Tampa Bay Lightning	4:1
19.10.23	Tampa Bay Lightning - Vancouver Canucks	4:3
18.01.23	Vancouver Canucks - Tampa Bay Lightning	2:5

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