Match Info

NHL

Date: 16 November 2025, Sunday

Location: Benchmark International Arena (Tampa, FL)

Where to Watch on TV:


Brazil	Disney+
Chile	Disney+
Czech-republic	Nova Action, Oneplay
Denmark	Viaplay
Finland	Viaplay
Germany	NHL.tv
Iceland	Viaplay
Mexico	Sky Sport
Norway	Viaplay
Slovakia	Dajto, Voyo
Slovenia	Arena Sport 1 Premium
Sweden	Viaplay
United-kingdom	Premier Sports 2
Uruguay	Disney+
Usa	ESPN+
Venezuela	Disney+
World	NHL.tv


	Tampa Bay Lightning		Vancouver Canucks

	1	X	2
	1.91	4.25	3.3	Watch
	1.97	4.44	3.12
	1.96	4.4	3.2
	2.08	4.35	2.88	Watch
	2.01	4.67	3.13
	1.89	4.4	3.25
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.97 ↓ (2.08)	4.42 ↑ (4.35)	3.15 ↑ (2.88)

The most likely Over/Under: 6.25

The best margin for this event is 3.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Tampa Bay Lightning
48.3%

Draw
21.5%

Vancouver Canucks
30.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

45.4%

21.7%

32.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

46.6%

21.1%

32%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Tampa Bay Lightning has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.9%)

Vancouver Canucks has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tampa Bay Lightning than the current prediction. (-1.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Vancouver Canucks than the current prediction. (+1.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	14.3%	35.7%

Tampa Bay Lightning - Vancouver Canucks Predictions

Users Predictions: 14 users predict this event. Tampa Bay will win (votes: 7 - 50%). Vancouver will win (votes: 5 - 35.7%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 14.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Tampa Bay: 23.8% – 76.2%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Tampa Bay (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Vancouver (votes: 2 - 66.7%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +1.5, OT - Vancouver (1.58) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 4 Selected Experts predict this event. Tampa Bay (votes: 1 - 25%). Vancouver (votes: 3 - 75%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 4:3

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Lineups

Line 1
31. Johansson J. (G)	32. Lankinen K. (G)
43. Raddysh D.	17. Hronek F.
90. Moser J.J.	25. Pettersson E. II.
86. Kucherov N.	8. Garland C.
21. Point B.	40. Pettersson E.
59. Guentzel J.	91. Kane E.
Line 2
81. Cernak E.	57. Myers T.
51. D'Astous C.	29. Pettersson M.
22. Bjorkstrand O.	44. Sherwood K.
61. Katchouk B.	63. Sasson M.
11. Pelletier J.	6. Boeser B.
Line 3
24. Crozier M.	5. Willander T.
78. Lilleberg E.	7. Joseph P.
93. Goncalves G.	74. DeBrusk J.
37. Gourde Y.	54. Raty A.
28. Girgensons Z.	18. O'Connor D.
Line 4
42. Douglas C.	94. Karlsson L.
62. Finley J.	73. Reichel L.
46. Sabourin S.	20. MacEachern M.
Substitutes
88. Vasilevski A. (G)	30. Patera J. (G)
Coaches
. Cooper J.	. Foote A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Period (1 - 0)
01:42, Raddysh D. (5 min),
01:42, Garland C. (5 min),
19:25, 1 - 0, Kucherov N. (G), Raddysh D. (A), Point B. (A2)
2nd Period (1 - 1)
04:35, 2 - 0, Guentzel J. (G), Cernak E. (A), Hagel B. (A2)
05:53, Sabourin S. (2 min),
09:06, Moser J.J. (2 min),
09:26, 2 - 1, DeBrusk J. (G), Pettersson E. (A), Hughes Q. (A2)
14:13, Hughes Q. (2 min),
16:44, Pettersson E. II. (2 min),
3rd Period (0 - 5)
03:43, Sabourin S. (2 min),
04:11, 2 - 2, Sherwood K. (G), Boeser B. (A), Hughes Q. (A2)
04:54, 2 - 3, MacEachern M. (G),
05:51, 2 - 4, O'Connor D. (G), Hughes Q. (A), Hronek F. (A2)
13:52, 2 - 5, MacEachern M. (G), Hronek F. (A), Hughes Q. (A2)
16:57, 2 - 6, Pettersson M. (G), Pettersson E. (A), Myers T. (A2)
19:30, Karlsson L. (10 min),
19:30, Douglas C. (10 min),
19:30, Sabourin S. (2 min),
19:30, MacEachern M. (2 min),

Preview

The game will be played between two neighbours in the standings (ranked 11 and 13)

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Tampa Bay won 4.

Tampa Bay has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Vancouver's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Vancouver may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, Vancouver has had a series of home games.

Tampa Bay is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

There will not play in Tampa Bay: James D. (Injury) McDonagh R. (Injury) Paul N. (Upper-Body Injury)

There will not play in Vancouver: Chytil F. (Upper-Body Injury) Demko T. (Lower-Body Injury) Forbort D. (Injury) Hoglander N. (Lower-Body Injury) Hughes Q. (Injury) Mancini V. (Upper-Body Injury)

There are questionable in Tampa Bay: Cirelli A. (Upper-Body Injury) Hagel B. (Injury) Hedman V. (Injury) Holmberg P. (Injury)

There are questionable in Vancouver: Hronek F. (Concussion)

We predict that Tampa Bay will win today's game, with odds of 1.96.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Tampa Bay won 15 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 72:50. (average 3.6:2.5).

Including home matches between the teams, Tampa Bay won 8 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 42:29. (average 3.8:2.6).

Last Results with these Odds

Tampa Bay Lightning - the odds 2.08 are the expected chance of winning is 45.45%, but this team recently wins 67% of matches with these odds.

Vancouver Canucks - the odds 2.88 are the expected chance of winning is 32.82%, but this team recently wins 38% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Tampa Bay Lightning
NHL
15.11.25	Florida Panthers - Tampa Bay Lightning	1:3 ✺
12.11.25	Tampa Bay Lightning - New York Rangers	3:7 ✺
08.11.25	Tampa Bay Lightning - Washington Capitals	3:2 ✺
06.11.25	Vegas Golden Knights - Tampa Bay Lightning	3:6 ✺
04.11.25	Colorado Avalanche - Tampa Bay Lightning	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.2 WLWWL
- Vancouver Canucks
NHL
14.11.25	Carolina Hurricanes - Vancouver Canucks	4:3 OT ✺
11.11.25	Vancouver Canucks - Winnipeg Jets	3:5 ✺
09.11.25	Vancouver Canucks - Colorado Avalanche	4:5 OT ✺
08.11.25	Vancouver Canucks - Columbus Blue Jackets	4:3 ✺
05.11.25	Vancouver Canucks - Chicago Blackhawks	2:5 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.4 LLLWL

Latest Head to Head

NHL
08.12.24	Vancouver Canucks - Tampa Bay Lightning	2:4
15.10.24	Tampa Bay Lightning - Vancouver Canucks	4:1
12.12.23	Vancouver Canucks - Tampa Bay Lightning	4:1
19.10.23	Tampa Bay Lightning - Vancouver Canucks	4:3
18.01.23	Vancouver Canucks - Tampa Bay Lightning	2:5
12.01.23	Tampa Bay Lightning - Vancouver Canucks	5:4
13.03.22	Vancouver Canucks - Tampa Bay Lightning	1:2

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