The best margin for this event is 4.5%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Toronto Maple Leafs 26.9%
Draw 20.9%
Dallas Stars 52.2%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
26.7%
22.1%
51.2%
Our Initial ML Estimation
28%
23.1%
48.9%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Toronto Maple Leafs has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)
Dallas Stars has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Toronto Maple Leafs than the current prediction. (+1.1%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Dallas Stars than the current prediction. (-3.3%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
20%
30%
50%
Toronto Maple Leafs - Dallas Stars Predictions
Users Predictions:
10 users predict this event. Toronto will win (votes: 2 - 20%). Dallas will win (votes: 5 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 30%). Confidence interval (95%) for Dallas: 19% – 81%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:4
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Lineups
Line 1
70. Akhtyamov A. (G)
1. DeSmith C. (G)
28. Stecher T.
57. Myers T.
44. Rielly M. (A)
23. Lindell E. (A)
88. Nylander W. (A)
96. Rantanen M.
91. Tavares J. (A)
53. Johnston W.
53. Cowan E.
58. Bunting M.
Line 2
22. McCabe J.
46. Lyubushkin I.
2. Benoit S.
55. Harley T.
23. Knies M.
22. Bourque M.
11. Domi M.
95. Duchene M. (A)
63. Maccelli M.
21. Robertson J.
Line 3
76. Villeneuve W.
28. Petrovic A.
95. Ekman-Larsson O.
20. Capobianco K.
89. Robertson N.
49. Hryckowian J.
43. Haymes L.
25. Hyry A.
18. Lorentz S.
14. Benn Ja. (C)
Line 4
19. Jarnkrok C.
15. Blackwell C.
26. Quillan J.
12. Faksa R.
77. Tverberg R.
10. Back O.
Substitutes
60. Woll J. (G)
29. Oettinger J. (G)
Coaches
. Berube C.
. Gulutzan G.
Key Events of the Match
1st Period (3 - 0)
01:09, Hyry A. (2 min),
02:14, 1 - 0, Tavares J. (G), Nylander W. (A),
08:45, Rielly M. (2 min),
14:35, 2 - 0, Quillan J. (G), Lorentz S. (A),
15:51, 3 - 0, Nylander W. (G), McCabe J. (A), Benoit S. (A2)
2nd Period (0 - 3)
00:52, 3 - 1, Bourque M. (G),
05:31, 3 - 2, Bourque M. (G), Robertson J. (A), Duchene M. (A2)
05:39, Benn Ja. (2 min),
09:29, 3 - 3, Robertson J. (G), Duchene M. (A), Bourque M. (A2)
18:01, Tverberg R. (2 min),
3rd Period (2 - 3)
01:40, 4 - 3, Domi M. (G), Nylander W. (A), Knies M. (A2)
04:19, 5 - 3, Robertson N. (G), Stecher T. (A), Knies M. (A2)
06:37, Lorentz S. (2 min),
08:18, 5 - 4, Johnston W. (G), Rantanen M. (A), Harley T. (A2)
09:38, 5 - 5, Hyry A. (G),
14:52, 5 - 6, Bourque M. (G), Duchene M. (A), Petrovic A. (A2)
Preview
Let's watch a game between a leader and an outsider (ranked 15 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ NHL (Play Offs: )).
Dallas is Qualified for NHL (Play Offs )
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Toronto won 3.
Toronto is on a losing streak (last 5 games: 0 wins).
Dallas is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
Recently, Dallas has had a series of home games.
Dallas could have a small edge in this match.
There will not play in Toronto: Carlo B.
(Lower-Body Injury)
Joshua D.
(Upper-Body Injury)
Matthews A.
(Knee Injury)
Stolarz A.
(Lower-Body Injury)
Tanev C.
(Abdominal strain)
There will not play in Dallas: Bastian N.
(Hand Injury)
Faksa R.
(Lower-Body Injury)
Heiskanen M.
(Lower-Body Injury)
Hintz R.
(Lower-Body Injury)
Seguin T.
(Knee Injury)
Steel S.
(Hip Injury)
There are questionable in Dallas: Bunting M.
(Lower-Body Injury)
Lundkvist N.
(Illness)
We predict that Dallas will win today's game, with odds of 1.97.
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Toronto won 15 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 73:50. (average 3.7:2.5).
Including home matches between the teams, Toronto won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 29:22. (average 3.2:2.4).