Match Info

VHL

Date: 20 February 2026, Friday

Location: Dizel-Arena (Penza)


	Dizel Penza		Toros Neftekamsk

	1	X	2
	1.84	3.76	3.81
	1.82	4.24	3.53	Watch
	1.74	4	3.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.8 ↓ (1.95)	4 ↑ (3.95)	3.61 ↑ (3.1)

The most likely Over/Under: 4.75

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Dizel Penza
51.3%

Draw
23.1%

Toros Neftekamsk
25.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

47.1%

23.2%

29.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

50.5%

24.9%

27.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Dizel Penza has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.2%)

Toros Neftekamsk has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Dizel Penza than the current prediction. (-0.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Toros Neftekamsk than the current prediction. (+2.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	100%	0%

Dizel Penza - Toros Neftekamsk Predictions

Users Predictions: 2 users predict this event. It will Tie (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:2

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Lineups

Line 1
27. Arzamastsev A. (G)	1. Yelin I. (G)
68. Rudakov G.	85. Budnitsky V.
75. Pogorishny O. (A)	89. Shcherbakov N.
91. Andriyanov A.	56. Suvorov A.
95. Pochivalov D. (A)	17. Sychyov V.
71. Kolmykov M.	79. Nabiev A.
Line 2
6. Lukichyov A.	52. Kolganov A.
7. Spitsenko K.	9. Orlov G.
34. Larichev V.	44. Khvorov N.
47. Bobylyov V.	25. Valeyev T.
97. Borisenkov A.	24. Andreichenko V.
Line 3
83. Sukhov S.	36. Gunkin Y.
72. Shvangiradze D.	33. Agafonov M.
41. Lukin V.	87. Faizov A.
11. Makhanovsky P. (C)	81. Volokitin P. (A)
10. Popov D.	22. Sorokin Y. (C)
Line 4
54. Filippov T.	38. Skoropad N.
78. Balashov M.	46. Yelsukov F.
69. Boluchevsky A.	10. Kolesnikov S.
96. Baranov Y.	72. Zavizhsky M.
	93. Gimbatov R.
Substitutes
31. Kudashev D. (G)	49. Braginsky D. (G)

Key Events of the Match

1st Period (1 - 1)
05:16, 0 - 1, Gimbatov R. (G),
05:41, 1 - 1, Balashov M. (G), Spitsenko K. (A), Lukichyov A. (A2)
2nd Period (0 - 0)
3rd Period (0 - 1)
04:15, 1 - 2, Andreichenko V. (G), Valeyev T. (A), Khvorov N. (A2)

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Dizel won 3.

Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.

Toros may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Recently, Dizel has had a series of away games.

In this match, Dizel is a strong favorite.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Dizel won 12 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 49:48. (average 2.5:2.4).

Including home matches between the teams, Dizel won 7 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 31:29. (average 3.1:2.9).

Standings

		Pl	W	WO	LO	L		Pts
13	Toros Neftekamsk	11	6	0	2	3	27:24	14
16	Dizel	11	3	2	2	4	24:24	12

Last Results with these Odds

Toros Neftekamsk - the odds 3.1 are the expected chance of winning is 29.67%, but this team recently wins 0% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Dizel Penza
VHL
18.02.26	Dizel Penza - Izhstal	2:3 OT ✺
10.02.26	Ryazan - Dizel Penza	2:3 ✺
08.02.26	AKM - Dizel Penza	2:1 penalties ✺
03.02.26	Chelny - Dizel Penza	2:4 ✺
01.02.26	Neftyanik Almetyevsk - Dizel Penza	4:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.8 LWLWL
- Toros Neftekamsk
VHL
18.02.26	Ryazan - Toros Neftekamsk	4:1 ✺
16.02.26	AKM - Toros Neftekamsk	3:0 ✺
11.02.26	Toros Neftekamsk - Chelny	3:2 ✺
09.02.26	Toros Neftekamsk - Neftyanik Almetyevsk	3:2 penalties ✺
07.02.26	Toros Neftekamsk - CSK VVS Samara	2:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.4 LLWWL

Latest Head to Head

VHL
30.09.25	Toros Neftekamsk - Dizel Penza	1:2
14.12.24	Toros Neftekamsk - Dizel Penza	4:2
04.12.24	Dizel Penza - Toros Neftekamsk	4:3
19.01.24	Dizel Penza - Toros Neftekamsk	4:3
08.10.23	Toros Neftekamsk - Dizel Penza	3:1
Club Friendly Ice Hockey
25.08.23	Dizel Penza - Toros Neftekamsk	3:2
VHL
05.03.23	Toros Neftekamsk - Dizel Penza	3:2 OT

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