Match Info

VHL

Date: 21 January 2026, Wednesday

Location: Nagorny Arena (Nizhny Novgorod)


	Torpedo-Gorky		Zauralie Kurgan

	1	X	2
	2.14	3.84	2.94	Watch
	2.25	3.75	2.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.2 ↑ (2.06)	3.8 ↑ (3.79)	2.72 ↓ (2.88)

The most likely Over/Under: 4.50

The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Torpedo-Gorky
41.9%

Draw
24.2%

Zauralie Kurgan
33.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44.3%

24%

31.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49.5%

26.8%

28.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Torpedo-Gorky has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.4%)

Zauralie Kurgan has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Torpedo-Gorky than the current prediction. (+7.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Torpedo-Gorky, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Zauralie Kurgan than the current prediction. (-5.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Zauralie Kurgan, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
33.3%	66.7%	0%

Torpedo Gorky - Zauralie Kurgan Predictions

Users Predictions: 3 users predict this event. Torpedo-Gorky will win (votes: 1 - 33.3%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 66.7%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:2

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Lineups

Line 1
52. Dagestansky D. (G)	21. Nikishin M. (G)
81. Glinsky M.	61. Kozhemyakin G.
3. Steklov K.	43. Ugolnikov A. (C)
67. Savunov D.	11. Ryzhov K.
87. Opalev R. (A)	34. Tagirov K.
90. Chefanov I.	47. Grymzin S.
Line 2
33. Bochkov I. (C)	37. Afridanov I.
59. Nikitin Y.	77. Belyakov F.
71. Rozhkov N. A.	70. Monakhov A.
41. Fyodorov V.	78. Komaristy A. (A)
66. Misnikov A.	99. Kolesnikov S.
Line 3
28. Dryagilev A.	48. Denisevich B.
24. Pelevin A.	67. Vasilyev K.
78. Orlovich-Grudkov D.	55. Kovalishin M.
58. Ilyin D. (A)	93. Kozlov I.
70. Gazizov R.	7. Baldayev D.
Line 4
19. Anisimov A.	3. Shikun A.
97. Mayorov N.	97. Bogdanov A.
84. Utkin M.	98. Govorkov R.
23. Chesnokov G.	74. Govorkov M.
Substitutes
22. Golan I.	30. Yeryomin I. (G)
31. Sokolov M. (G)

Key Events of the Match

1st Period (3 - 0)
09:18, 1 - 0, Utkin M. (G), Chesnokov G. (A), Dryagilev A. (A2)
14:29, 2 - 0, Ilyin D. (G), Bochkov I. (A), Orlovich-Grudkov D. (A2)
19:45, 3 - 0, Utkin M. (G), Mayorov N. (A), Bochkov I. (A2)
2nd Period (0 - 0)
3rd Period (1 - 1)
14:05, 3 - 1, Tagirov K. (G), Ryzhov K. (A), Grymzin S. (A2)
16:42, 4 - 1, Gazizov R. (G),

Preview

Now, both teams are in good form.

Torpedo-Gorky may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Recently, the opponents have had a series of home games.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Torpedo-Gorky won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 10:11. (average 2.5:2.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Torpedo-Gorky won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 6:2. (average 3:1).

Standings

		Pl	W	WO	LO	L		Pts
28	Kurgan	10	0	2	4	4	15:27	8

Last Results with these Odds

Torpedo-Gorky - the odds 2.06 are the expected chance of winning is 44.33%, but this team recently wins 36% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Torpedo-Gorky
VHL
19.01.26	Torpedo-Gorky - Rubin Tyumen	5:4 ✺
17.01.26	Torpedo-Gorky - Yugra Khanty-Mansiysk	1:2 ✺
07.01.26	Torpedo-Gorky - Zvezda Moscow	5:2 ✺
05.01.26	Torpedo-Gorky - Khimik	4:2 ✺
25.12.25	Yuzhny Ural Orsk - Torpedo-Gorky	1:2 OT ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.9 WLWWW
- Zauralie Kurgan
VHL
16.01.26	Zauralie Kurgan - Yuzhny Ural Orsk	3:1 ✺
14.01.26	Zauralie Kurgan - Magnitka Magnitogorsk	1:0 penalties ✺
12.01.26	Zauralie Kurgan - Chelmet	5:1 ✺
10.01.26	Zauralie Kurgan - Gornyak-UGMK	4:3 OT ✺
28.12.25	Toros Neftekamsk - Zauralie Kurgan	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.4 WWWWL

Latest Head to Head

VHL
31.10.25	Zauralie Kurgan - Torpedo-Gorky	4:1
16.03.25	Zauralie Kurgan - Torpedo-Gorky	5:3
11.09.24	Torpedo-Gorky - Zauralie Kurgan	4:1
16.10.19	Torpedo-Gorky - Zauralie Kurgan	2:1 penalties

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