Match Info

FINLAND: Mestis

Date: 23 November 2024, Saturday

Location: Rajupaja Areena (Turku)

Where to Watch on TV:


Finland	MTV Katsomo+


	TuTo		Hokki

	1	X	2
	1.37	5.4	6.1
	1.37	4.83	5.22
	1.42	5.24	5.76	Watch
	1.36	5	5.8
	1.4	5.25	5.83	Watch
	1.37	5.4	6.1
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.38 ↓ (1.43)	5.19 ↑ (4.66)	5.8 ↑ (5.15)

The most likely Over/Under: 5.50

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

TuTo
66.5%

Draw
17.7%

Hokki
15.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

63.1%

19.4%

17.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

63.7%

19.2%

17.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

TuTo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.4%)

Hokki has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for TuTo than the current prediction. (-2.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hokki than the current prediction. (+1.5%)

TuTo - Hokki Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 4:1

#ad

Lineups

Line 1
37. Vuorio E. (G)	1. Tamminen K. (G)
71. Tuhkanen O.	41. Lehtinen E.
63. Reini R.	11. Koskenkorva S. (A)
15. Markkula S.	9. Suni O.
24. Pennanen A.	19. Homjakovs A.
94. Ronkainen M.	63. Jokinen J. (C)
Line 2
29. Tapio M.	38. Ilvessuo J.
14. Reini J. (C)	28. Andzans A.
28. Haaparanta M.	87. Karasa A.
51. Rautiainen J. (A)	12. Ohtonen J. (A)
91. Liljamo T.	14. Heinanen K.
Line 3
27. Hietala H.	77. Nissinen T.
23. Valtonen T.	88. Haakana S.
21. Virta S.	29. Kaski T.
12. Forsblom K. (A)	83. Vahakangas K.
22. Koponen E.	15. Pellikka A.
Line 4
25. Minkkinen N.	6. Enckell J.
96. Sirkia V.	73. Suutari L.
45. Eloranta E.	91. Tuomainen N.
38. Himmanen N.	22. Vutkevics R.
Substitutes
30. Makela L. (G)	71. Stejskal Z. (G)

Key Events of the Match

1st Period (2 - 2)
00:28, 0 - 1, Homjakovs A. (G), Koskenkorva S. (A), Suni O. (A2)
02:42, 1 - 1, Ronkainen M. (G), Reini R. (A), Markkula S. (A2)
12:59, 1 - 2, Pellikka A. (G), Kaski T. (A), Vahakangas K. (A2)
13:53, 2 - 2, Virta S. (G), Koponen E. (A), Forsblom K. (A2)
2nd Period (0 - 1)
08:24, 2 - 3, Homjakovs A. (G), Suni O. (A), Koskenkorva S. (A2)
3rd Period (1 - 1)
14:59, 2 - 4, Vahakangas K. (G),
19:01, 3 - 4, Virta S. (G), Forsblom K. (A), Reini R. (A2)

Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches TuTo won 4.

Recent matches TuTo is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Hokki is in cheap shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

TuTo could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Recently TuTo have a series of home games.

In this match TuTo is absolute favorite.

Last 20 head-to-head matches TuTo won 13 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 7 matches and goals 76:56 (average 3.8:2.8).

Including matches at home between the teams TuTo won 9 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 49:26 (average 4.9:2.6).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- TuTo
Finnish Mestis
22.11.24	TuTo - Hokki	3:2 ✺
16.11.24	Imatran Ketterä - TuTo	3:2 ✺
08.11.24	TuTo - Jokerit	0:5 ✺
01.11.24	TuTo - RoKi	2:4 ✺
29.10.24	TuTo - Joensuun Kiekko-Pojat	4:3 OT ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.3 WLLLW
- Hokki
Finnish Mestis
22.11.24	TuTo - Hokki	3:2 ✺
15.11.24	Hokki - Joensuun Kiekko-Pojat	3:1 ✺
13.11.24	Hokki - Imatran Ketterä	3:5 ✺
12.11.24	IPK - Hokki	3:0 ✺
01.11.24	Hokki - IPK	0:8 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.3 LWLLL

Latest Head to Head

Finnish Mestis
22.11.24	TuTo - Hokki	3:2
28.09.24	Hokki - TuTo	0:3
24.02.24	TuTo - Hokki	4:2
26.01.24	Hokki - TuTo	5:1
20.01.24	Hokki - TuTo	2:3
16.12.23	TuTo - Hokki	4:1
10.03.23	TuTo - Hokki	6:4

Upcoming Matches