What is the expert prediction for Tucson Roadrunners vs San Jose Barracuda?

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Tucson Roadrunners vs San Jose Barracuda Predictions, H2H Stats & TV Channels (Sunday, March 15, 2026)

Match Info

AHL

Date: 15 March 2026, Sunday

Location: Tucson Convention Center (Tucson, AZ)

Where to Watch on TV:


Usa	Flohockey


	Tucson Roadrunners		San Jose Barracuda

	1	X	2
	2.6	4.2	2.05	Watch
	2.75	4.15	2.11
	2.83	4.4	2.04
	2.84	4.48	2.02	Watch
	2.6	4.33	2.05
	2.84	4.46	2.03	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.74 ↑ (2.38)	4.34 ↑ (3.9)	2.05 ↓ (2.4)

The most likely Over/Under: 6.00

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Tucson Roadrunners
33.7%

Draw
21.3%

San Jose Barracuda
45%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

38.4%

23.5%

38.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.4%

26%

34.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Tucson Roadrunners has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.7%)

San Jose Barracuda has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting San Jose Barracuda's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tucson Roadrunners than the current prediction. (+8.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Tucson Roadrunners, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for San Jose Barracuda than the current prediction. (-10.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for San Jose Barracuda, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
25%	50%	25%

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Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Tucson will win (votes: 1 - 25%). San Jose will win (votes: 1 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:3

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
31. Villalta M. (G)	36. Skarek J. (G)
29. Agozzino A. (A)	11. Afanasyev Y.
12. Allard O.	7. Allan N.
50. But D.	70. Beck N.
44. Connauton K.	18. Bystedt F.
39. Hebig C. (A)	42. Cagnoni L.
23. Kunc M.	54. Giles P. (A)
10. Lamoureux M.	86. Hache B.
43. Lutz J.	14. Halttunen K.
72. Luypen J.	25. Havelid M.
94. Matikka M.	95. Hoffmann B.
79. Onyebuchi M.	40. Huntington J. (A)
7. Perunovich S.	13. Musty Q.
27. Poganski A. (C)	67. Vanroboys L.
15. Ricketts J.	83. Villeneuve-Houle D.
21. Rooney K.	76. Vincent A.
26. Simashev D.	24. Wahlstrom O.
55. Szuber M.	16. White C. (A)
17. Tullio T.	22. Woo J.
Substitutes
30. Stauber J. (G)	35. Carriere G. (G)

Key Events of the Match

1st Period (2 - 1)
04:20, 1 - 0, Connauton K. (G), Perunovich S. (A), Luypen J. (A2)
08:43, 2 - 0, Lamoureux M. (G), Szuber M. (A), Rooney K. (A2)
18:17, 2 - 1, Huntington J. (G), Havelid M. (A), Allan N. (A2)
2nd Period (0 - 3)
08:58, 2 - 2, Hoffmann B. (G), Woo J. (A), White C. (A2)
11:19, 2 - 3, Vanroboys L. (G), Hoffmann B. (A), Vincent A. (A2)
16:27, 2 - 4, Musty Q. (G),
3rd Period (3 - 0)
01:51, 3 - 4, But D. (G), Poganski A. (A), Perunovich S. (A2)
03:03, 4 - 4, Agozzino A. (G), Poganski A. (A), Simashev D. (A2)
05:50, 5 - 4, Lamoureux M. (G), Luypen J. (A), Onyebuchi M. (A2)

Preview

Let's watch a game between a leader and an outsider (ranked 8 and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ AHL (Play Offs: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Tucson won 3.

In recent matches, Tucson has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).

San Jose is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

San Jose may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Tucson won 12 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 88:74. (average 4.4:3.7).

Including home matches between the teams, Tucson won 7 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 48:34. (average 4.8:3.4).

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Last Results with these Odds

Tucson Roadrunners - the odds 2.38 are the expected chance of winning is 38.43%, but this team recently wins 44% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Tucson Roadrunners
AHL
14.03.26	Tucson Roadrunners - San Jose Barracuda	6:4 ✺
11.03.26	Tucson Roadrunners - Henderson Silver Knights	6:7 OT ✺
10.03.26	Tucson Roadrunners - Henderson Silver Knights	0:5 ✺
07.03.26	Bakersfield Condors - Tucson Roadrunners	2:0 ✺
06.03.26	Bakersfield Condors - Tucson Roadrunners	2:3 OT ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.5 WLLLW
- San Jose Barracuda
AHL
14.03.26	Tucson Roadrunners - San Jose Barracuda	6:4 ✺
11.03.26	San Jose Barracuda - San Diego Gulls	4:1 ✺
07.03.26	Milwaukee Admirals - San Jose Barracuda	1:3 ✺
06.03.26	Milwaukee Admirals - San Jose Barracuda	1:4 ✺
04.03.26	San Jose Barracuda - San Diego Gulls	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.7 LWWWW

Latest Head to Head

AHL
14.03.26	Tucson Roadrunners - San Jose Barracuda	6:4
01.03.26	San Jose Barracuda - Tucson Roadrunners	4:6
28.02.26	San Jose Barracuda - Tucson Roadrunners	5:3
17.01.26	Tucson Roadrunners - San Jose Barracuda	3:4 OT
16.01.26	Tucson Roadrunners - San Jose Barracuda	4:2
06.12.25	San Jose Barracuda - Tucson Roadrunners	2:6
05.12.25	San Jose Barracuda - Tucson Roadrunners	4:3 OT

Tucson Roadrunners - San Jose Barracuda: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide