Match Info
LiigaDate: 17 February 2026, TuesdayLocation: Vaasa Arena (Vaasa)Where to Watch on TV: | |
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 Finland | MTV Katsomo+ |
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Vaasan Sport |
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HPK |
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- The most likely Over/Under: 5.00
- The best margin for this event is 5.3%, offered by
#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Vaasan Sport
17.2% | Draw
18.8% | HPK
64% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Vaasan Sport has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.3%)HPK has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting HPK's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Vaasan Sport than the current prediction. (+4.5%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for HPK than the current prediction. (-10.1%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for HPK, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.Vaasan Sport - HPK Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:4 
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Lineups
| Line 1 |
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1.  Harkonen M. (G)
| 1. Saarinen K. (G)
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39.  Hunt B.
| 43. Kukkonen M.
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72. Piipponen S. (A)
| 4. Jokirinne V.
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22. Hult O.
| 16. Wright C.
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12. Straka A.
| 12. Paivarinta S.
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11.  Hjalmarsson S. (A)
| 94. Hakulinen A. (A)
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| Line 2 |
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77. Valtanen J.
| 20. Pyke G.
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52. Hietanen V. (C)
| 74. Nikkila P. (C)
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4. Tiihonen M.
| 88. Kiiskinen J.
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18. Ekman T.
| 15. Korhonen O.
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24. Levanen E.
| 11. Caron T.
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| Line 3 |
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44. Koivunen E.
| 63. Eronen E.
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7. Hakkila H.
| 5.  Andzans A.
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61. Keinanen J.
| 50. Skinnari A.
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91. Immonen V.
| 64. Kainulainen H. (A)
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86. Hult O.
| 19. Rautiainen T.
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| Line 4 |
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28. Toivainen W.
| 51. Ketonen A.
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81. Timonen S.
| 44. Kopiloff O.
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33. Harma M.
| 25. Huttunen H.
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| 10. Vesterinen R.
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| Substitutes |
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32. Kahila A. (G)
| 33. Vayrynen M. (G)
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| Coaches |
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. Tapio J.
| . Manner M.
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Key Events of the Match
- 1st Period (0 - 1)
- 03:52, Caron T. (Penalty Shot),
- 07:53, 0 - 1, Huttunen H. (G), Kopiloff O. (A), Hakulinen A. (A2)
- 17:05, Vesterinen R. (2 min),
- 2nd Period (0 - 1)
- 16:45, Levanen E. (2 min),
- 18:10, 0 - 2, Kiiskinen J. (G), Korhonen O. (A), Nikkila P. (A2)
- 3rd Period (0 - 2)
- 02:27, 0 - 3, Vesterinen R. (G), Paivarinta S. (A),
- 02:51, Ekman T. (Penalty Shot),
- 09:20, Hakulinen A. (2 min),
- 18:16, 0 - 4, Wright C. (G), Hakulinen A. (A), Kukkonen M. (A2)
Preview
We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 16 and 13).In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Vaasa won 1.Vaasa has been struggling in recent matches (last 5 games: 0 wins).In recent matches, HPK has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2). In this match, HPK is seen as the favorite.In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Vaasa won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 14 matches, and goals 40:59. (average 2:3).Including home matches between the teams, Vaasa won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 21:26. (average 2.3:2.9).
Outrights of Finnish SM-liiga for now
Hameenlinna: 2.23% Vaasan Sport: 0.76%
Standings
| | Pl | W | WO | LO | L | | Pts |
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| 10 | Hameenlinna | 12 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 28:35 | 18 |
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| 15 | Vaasan Sport | 11 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 20:31 | 13 |
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Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
Latest Head to Head
| Finnish SM-liiga | | | 13.11.25 | HPK - Vaasan Sport | 4:1 | | 11.10.25 | Vaasan Sport - HPK | 4:5 OT | | 13.09.25 | HPK - Vaasan Sport | 4:1 | | 01.03.25 | HPK - Vaasan Sport | 3:2 | | 29.01.25 | Vaasan Sport - HPK | 3:2 OT | | 02.11.24 | Vaasan Sport - HPK | 3:2 OT | | 13.09.24 | HPK - Vaasan Sport | 3:2 penalties |
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Upcoming Matches
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
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