Match Info
LiigaDate: 10 February 2026, TuesdayLocation: Gatorade Center (Turku)Where to Watch on TV: | |
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 Finland | MTV Katsomo+ |
 Sweden | TV4 Play |
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TPS |
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HPK |
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1 |
X |
2 |
|
 |
2.6 |
3.8 |
2.4 |
|
 |
2.79 |
3.62 |
2.39 |
 Watch |
 |
2.75 |
3.41 |
2.33 |
|
 |
2.79 |
3.59 |
2.34 |
Watch |
 |
2.45 |
3.6 |
2.3 |
|
 |
2.69 |
3.86 |
2.31 |
Watch |
 |
2.7 |
3.5 |
2.4 |
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Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.68 ↑
(2.55) |
3.63 ↑
(3.6) |
2.35 ↓
(2.5) |
|
- The most likely Over/Under: 4.50
- The best margin for this event is 5.3%, offered by
#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
TPS
34.7% | Draw
25.7% | HPK
39.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
TPS has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)HPK has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.2%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for TPS than the current prediction. (+4.6%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for HPK than the current prediction. (-4.7%)TPS - HPK Predictions
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. TPS (votes: 2 - 100%). Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:3 
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Lineups
| Line 1 |
|---|
36.  Makiniemi E. (G)
| 1. Saarinen K. (G)
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38.  Landen A.
| 63. Eronen E.
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61. Binner A.
| 74. Nikkila P. (C)
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86. Yliniemi S.
| 16.  Wright C.
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21. Maatta J. (A)
| 12. Paivarinta S.
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82. Pakkila E.
| 94. Hakulinen A. (A)
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| Line 2 |
|---|
6. Rafkin R. (C)
| 43. Kukkonen M.
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40. Lehtonen S.
| 4. Jokirinne V.
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49. Wernblom L.
| 88. Kiiskinen J.
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26. Nassen L. (A)
| 25. Huttunen H.
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87. Saarela A.
| 10. Vesterinen R.
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| Line 3 |
|---|
5. Sjoholm V.
| 20. Pyke G.
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4. Jokinen M.
| 6. Sertti L.
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9. Koivu A.
| 44. Kopiloff O.
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24. Virtanen J.
| 64. Kainulainen H. (A)
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67. Ruokonen M.
| 19. Rautiainen T.
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| Line 4 |
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2. Tuhkala A.
| 3. Kangas K.
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10. Ylitalo N.
| 50. Skinnari A.
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57. Munkki V.
| 15. Korhonen O.
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84. Pikkarainen K.
| 11. Caron T.
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| Substitutes |
|---|
30. Ruusu M. (G)
| 33. Vayrynen M. (G)
|
| Coaches |
|---|
. Soderholm T.
| . Manner M.
|
Key Events of the Match
- 1st Period (3 - 0)
- 05:15, 1 - 0, Pakkila E. (G), Maatta J. (A), Tuhkala A. (A2)
- 05:34, Sertti L. (2 min),
- 06:35, 2 - 0, Saarela A. (G), Yliniemi S. (A), Wernblom L. (A2)
- 14:17, Wright C. (2 min),
- 19:43, 3 - 0, Pakkila E. (G), Yliniemi S. (A), Lehtonen S. (A2)
- 2nd Period (0 - 1)
- 02:19, Kukkonen M. (2 min),
- 14:32, 3 - 1, Wright C. (G), Hakulinen A. (A), Nikkila P. (A2)
- 3rd Period (0 - 0)
- 00:48, Hakulinen A. (Penalty Shot),
- 16:40, Wright C. (2 min),
Preview
The two neighboring teams will play an exciting match (ranked 13 and 12 in the zone Promotion ~ Liiga (Play Offs: 1/8~finals))In the last 5 head-to-head matches, TPS won 4.TPS is going through a poor run of results (last 5 games: 0 wins).HPK has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).TPS may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.Recently, TPS has had a series of away games. The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.In the last 20 head-to-head matches, TPS won 15 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 59:38. (average 3:1.9).Including home matches between the teams, TPS won 7 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 31:22. (average 3.1:2.2).
Outrights of Finnish SM-liiga for now
TPS Turku: 3.42% Hameenlinna: 2.23%
Standings
| | Pl | W | WO | LO | L | | Pts |
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| 10 | Hameenlinna | 12 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 28:35 | 18 |
| 11 | TPS Turku | 11 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 29:25 | 16 |
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Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
Upcoming Matches
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
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