The best margin for this event is 4.6%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Vegas Golden Knights 45.4%
Draw 22.7%
Washington Capitals 32%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
49.5%
22.5%
28%
Our Initial ML Estimation
50.8%
23.1%
27.3%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Vegas Golden Knights has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.1%)
Washington Capitals has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Vegas Golden Knights than the current prediction. (+5.4%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Vegas Golden Knights, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Washington Capitals than the current prediction. (-4.7%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
41.7%
16.7%
41.7%
Vegas Golden Knights - Washington Capitals Predictions
Users Predictions:
12 users predict this event. Vegas will win (votes: 5 - 41.7%). Washington will win (votes: 5 - 41.7%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 16.7%). Confidence interval (95%) for Vegas: 13.8% – 69.6%.
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Washington (votes: 1 - 100%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 4:3
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Lineups
Line 1
33. Hill A. (G)
48. Thompson L. (G)
27. Theodore S.
57. Van Riemsdyk T.
3. McNabb B. (A)
6. Chychrun J.
61. Stone M. (C)
8. Ovechkin A. (C)
9. Eichel J. (A)
17. Strome D.
49. Barbashev I.
21. Protas A.
Line 2
6. Korczak K.
38. Sandin R.
15. Hanifin N.
42. Fehervary M.
16. Dorofeyev P.
43. Wilson T. (A)
93. Marner M.
80. Dubois P.
21. Howden B.
24. McMichael C.
Line 3
4. Andersson R.
3. Roy M. (A)
5. Lauzon J.
44. Hutson C.
10. Sissons C.
9. Leonard R.
48. Hertl T.
34. Sourdif J.
19. Smith R.
72. Beauvillier A.
Line 4
55. Kolesar K.
63. Miroshnichenko I.
26. Dowd N.
29. Lapierre H.
22. Smith C.
22. Duhaime B.
Substitutes
40. Schmid A. (G)
79. Lindgren C. (G)
Coaches
. Cassidy B.
. Carbery S.
Key Events of the Match
1st Period (0 - 1)
06:06, 0 - 1, Lapierre H. (G), Miroshnichenko I. (A), Duhaime B. (A2)
2nd Period (3 - 2)
01:31, Howden B. (2 min),
01:55, 0 - 2, Sourdif J. (G), McMichael C. (A), Hutson C. (A2)
03:29, Sandin R. (2 min),
06:49, 0 - 3, Beauvillier A. (G), Leonard R. (A), Sourdif J. (A2)
09:46, McNabb B. (2 min),
10:38, 1 - 3, Dowd N. (G),
11:03, 2 - 3, Andersson R. (G), Eichel J. (A),
13:18, 3 - 3, Eichel J. (G), Andersson R. (A),
14:49, Kolesar K. (2 min),
19:53, Wilson T. (2 min),
3rd Period (1 - 1)
00:31, 4 - 3, Marner M. (G), Dorofeyev P. (A), Eichel J. (A2)
04:36, Strome D. (2 min),
06:31, Andersson R. (2 min),
06:58, Marner M. (2 min),
08:54, 4 - 4, Strome D. (G), Hutson C. (A), Ovechkin A. (A2)
Overtime (0 - 0)
04:35, Hanifin N. (2 min),
Penalties (0 - 1)
1, Strome D. (Penalty Shot),
1, Andersson R. (Penalty Shot),
2, Leonard R. (Penalty Shot),
2, Eichel J. (Penalty Shot),
3, Dubois P. (Penalty Shot),
3, Dorofeyev P. (Penalty Shot),
Preview
Enjoy a game between evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 7 in the zone Promotion ~ NHL (Play Offs: ) and 12).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Vegas won 1.
Vegas has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).
In recent matches, Washington has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
Vegas may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
Vegas might have a minor edge in this game.
There will not play in Vegas: Karlsson W.
(Lower-Body Injury)
Pietrangelo A.
(Hip Injury)
Rondbjerg J.
(Lower-Body Injury)
There will not play in Washington: Kampf D.
(Inactive)
There are questionable in Vegas: Hart C.
(Lower-Body Injury)
There are questionable in Washington: Frank E.
(Lower-Body Injury)
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Vegas won 10 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 57:61. (average 2.9:3.1).
Including home matches between the teams, Vegas won 7 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 38:27. (average 3.8:2.7).
Outrights of NHL for now
Vegas Golden Knights: 7.21% Washington Capitals: 5.61%
Last Results with these Odds
Washington Capitals - the odds 3.46 are the expected chance of winning is 28.04%, but this team recently wins 23% of matches with these odds.