The best margin for this event is 3.2%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Washington Capitals 29.9%
Draw 22.4%
Colorado Avalanche 47.7%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
31.6%
22.2%
46.2%
Our Initial ML Estimation
31.2%
22.5%
46.8%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Washington Capitals has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)
Colorado Avalanche has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.5%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Washington Capitals than the current prediction. (+1.3%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Colorado Avalanche than the current prediction. (-0.9%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
6.7%
6.7%
86.7%
Washington Capitals - Colorado Avalanche Predictions
Users Predictions:
Colorado Avalanche will win
(13 of 15 users predict this - 86.67%). Confidence interval (95%): 69.47% – 100%.
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Colorado Avalanche will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:3
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Lineups
Line 1
48. Thompson L. (G)
39. Blackwood M. (G)
57. Van Riemsdyk T.
8. Makar C. (A)
6. Chychrun J.
27. Kulak B.
72. Beauvillier A.
88. Necas M.
17. Strome D. (A)
29. MacKinnon N. (A)
8. Ovechkin A. (C)
13. Nichushkin V.
Line 2
3. Roy M.
70. Malinski S.
44. Hutson C.
7. Toews D.
43. Wilson T. (A)
10. Roy N.
80. Dubois P.
11. Nelson B.
21. Protas A.
91. Kadri N.
Line 3
38. Sandin R.
84. Burns B.
42. Fehervary M.
42. Manson J.
9. Leonard R.
94. Kiviranta J.
34. Sourdif J.
18. Drury J.
24. McMichael C.
17. Kelly P.
Line 4
53. Frank E.
54. Brindley G.
29. Lapierre H.
82. Ivan I.
22. Duhaime B.
93. Bardakov Z.
Substitutes
79. Lindgren C. (G)
41. Wedgewood S. (G)
Coaches
. Carbery S.
. Bednar J.
Key Events of the Match
1st Period (1 - 0)
03:14, Hutson C. (2 min),
05:23, Roy N. (2 min),
11:53, 1 - 0, Sourdif J. (G), McMichael C. (A), Roy M. (A2)
14:50, Kelly P. (2 min),
2nd Period (0 - 0)
04:29, Ovechkin A. (2 min),
16:17, Burns B. (2 min),
3rd Period (1 - 2)
01:05, 1 - 1, Landeskog G. (G), Necas M. (A),
06:03, 1 - 2, Roy N. (G), Bardakov Z. (A),
07:34, Manson J. (2 min),
13:57, Landeskog G. (2 min),
14:17, 2 - 2, Ovechkin A. (G), Strome D. (A), Hutson C. (A2)
Overtime (0 - 1)
01:22, 2 - 3, Nelson B. (G), Necas M. (A),
Preview
Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 12 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ NHL (Play Offs: )).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Washington won 1.
The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
Colorado may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
Colorado could have a small edge in this match.
There will not play in Washington: Kampf D.
(Inactive)
There will not play in Colorado: Colton R.
(Upper-Body Injury)
Landeskog G.
(Lower-Body Injury)
Lehkonen A.
(Upper-Body Injury)
O'Connor L.
(Hip Injury)
We predict that Washington will win today's game, with odds of 2.93.
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Washington won 12 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 65:63. (average 3.3:3.2).
Including home matches between the teams, Washington won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 34:30. (average 3.4:3).
Outrights of NHL for now
Colorado Avalanche: 9.6% Washington Capitals: 5.61%
Last Results with these Odds
Colorado Avalanche - the odds 2.1 are the expected chance of winning is 46.2%, but this team recently wins 57% of matches with these odds.
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Thompson L. (G) 
Van Riemsdyk T. 
Necas M. 
Ovechkin A. (C) 
Protas A. 
Sandin R. 
Fehervary M. 
Kiviranta J. 
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