Match Info

RUSSIA: KHL

Date: 21 September 2024, Saturday

Location: Balashikha Arena (Balashikha)


	Vityaz Balashikha		Barys Astana

	1	X	2
	2.06	3.78	3.15
	1.99	4.27	3.23	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.03 ↓ (2.22)	4.03 ↑ (3.95)	3.19 ↑ (2.9)

The most likely Over/Under: 5.00

The best margin for this event is 4.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Vityaz Balashikha
46.8%

Draw
23.5%

Barys Astana
29.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

43%

24.1%

32.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.6%

25.5%

34.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Vityaz Balashikha has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.8%)

Barys Astana has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Vityaz Balashikha than the current prediction. (-6.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Vityaz Balashikha that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Barys Astana than the current prediction. (+5.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Barys Astana could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Vityaz Balashikha - Barys Astana Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:2

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Lineups

Line 1
44. Shikin D. (G)	33. Mattsson J. (G)
59. Voronkov Y.	71. Daniyar Sam.
79. Roy J. (A)	82. Butcher W.
95. Morozov Y.	19. Allison W.
23. Gauthier F. (A)	69. DeLeo C.
41. Daryin A.	9. Smith C.
Line 2
7. Busygin Y.	8. Kamalov N.
53. Pedan R.	87. Beketayev A. (A)
72. Buchelnikov D.	48. Starchenko R. (C)
26. Barach D.	90. McLeod M.
82. Chekhovich I.	7. Burdasov A.
Line 3
2. Golovkov I. (C)	27. Orazov B.
9. Valentsov V.	58. Gaitamirov T.
86. Vorobyov I.	22. Panyukov K.
21. Savchik I.	17. Omirbekov A.
13. Yarovoy S.	84. Savitsky K. (A)
Line 4
19. Malorosiyanov D.	31. Korolyov A.
57. Rykov Y.	23. Mukhametov M.
27. Yezhov I.	77. Shaikhmeddenov A.
98. Almazov N.	96. Asetov A.
15. Anufriev I.
Substitutes
83. Dorozhko M. (G)	1. Boyarkin N. (G)
	74. Ospanov R.
Coaches
. Desyatkov P.	. Nemirovsky D.

Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Vityaz won 5.

Recent matches Vityaz is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Barys is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Barys could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Recently Vityaz have a series of home games.

Vityaz will have a mini benefit in this match.

There will not play in Vityaz: Arkalov I. (Injury) Galuzin V. (Injury) Stewart D. (Injury) Tsitsyura V. (Injury) Vashchenko G. (Injury)

There will not play in Barys: Antipin V. (Injury) Beaulieu N. (Injury) Muratov B. (Injury) Zhafyarov D. (Injury)

Last 20 head-to-head matches Vityaz won 9 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 10 matches and goals 52-56.

Including matches at home between the teams Vityaz won 5 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 31-30.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Vityaz Balashikha
KHL
19.09.24	HC CSKA Moscow - Vityaz Balashikha	3:2 ✺
13.09.24	Vityaz Balashikha - Lada Togliatti	1:2 ✺
11.09.24	Vityaz Balashikha - Dinamo Minsk	1:5 ✺
09.09.24	Vityaz Balashikha - Sochi	5:4 ✺
07.09.24	Vityaz Balashikha - Amur Khabarovsk	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.3 LLLWW
- Barys Astana
KHL
19.09.24	Ak Bars Kazan - Barys Astana	5:0 ✺
17.09.24	Avtomobilist Yekaterinburg - Barys Astana	1:2 OT ✺
13.09.24	Barys Astana - Dinamo Minsk	1:5 ✺
09.09.24	Barys Astana - Amur Khabarovsk	1:5 ✺
06.09.24	Barys Astana - Traktor Chelyabinsk	1:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.4 LWLLL

Latest Head to Head

KHL
27.11.23	Barys Astana - Vityaz Balashikha	2:5
06.10.23	Vityaz Balashikha - Barys Astana	3:2 OT
08.11.22	Barys Astana - Vityaz Balashikha	2:3
07.09.22	Vityaz Balashikha - Barys Astana	5:0
27.11.21	Barys Astana - Vityaz Balashikha	1:3
23.01.21	Vityaz Balashikha - Barys Astana	4:5 OT
06.12.20	Barys Astana - Vityaz Balashikha	3:2 penalties

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