Match Info

RUSSIA: KHL

Date: 15 January 2025, Wednesday

Location: Balashikha Arena (Balashikha)


	Vityaz Balashikha		Sochi

	1	X	2
	1.9	4.2	3.72	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.9 ↓ (2.02)	4.2 (4.2)	3.72 ↑ (3.33)

The most likely Over/Under: 5.00

The best margin for this event is 3.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Vityaz Balashikha
50.9%

Draw
23%

Sochi
26%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

47.9%

23%

29.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.4%

23.2%

28.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Vityaz Balashikha has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3%)

Sochi has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Vityaz Balashikha than the current prediction. (-2.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sochi than the current prediction. (+2.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
16.7%	33.3%	50%

Vityaz Balashikha - Sochi Predictions

Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Vityaz will win (votes: 1 - 16.7%). Sochi will win (votes: 3 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 33.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:2

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Lineups

Line 1
44. Shikin D. (G)	30. Ivanov S. (G)
79. Roy J. (A)	28. Ibragimov S.
53. Pedan R.	11. Volkov A. (C)
82. Chekhovich I.	93. Khokhlachev A. (A)
26. Barach D.	95. Yaremchuk A.
72. Buchelnikov D.	41. Bitten W.
Line 2
18. Stewart D.	64. Graham J.
7. Busygin Y.	23. Machulin V.
21. Savchik I.	91. Kuznetsov A.
87. Tsitsyura V.	34. Popov S.
86. Vorobyov I.	97. Seroukh D.
Line 3
9. Valentsov V.	65. Fedotov M.
2. Golovkov I. (A)	26. Manukhov R.
74. Makeyev A. (C)	19. Avershin D.
23. Gauthier F.	84. Shvyryov I.
27. Yezhov I.	9. Vengryzhanovsky D.
Line 4
19. Malorosiyanov D.	88. Koryagin G. (A)
13. Yarovoy S.	46. Mits Z.
28. Chivilyov A.	79. Nikonov A.
8. Zaseda M.	56. Avramov F.
Substitutes
11. Ilyichyov M.	13. Tyanulin A.
31. Kareyev A. (G)	35. Volokhin Y. (G)
Coaches
. Desyatkov P.	. Zubov S.

Key Events of the Match

1st Period (1 - 1)
01:04, Machulin V. (2 min),
06:59, Manukhov R. (2 min),
07:29, 1 - 0, Buchelnikov D. (G), Roy J. (A),
12:17, 1 - 1, Bitten W. (G), Yaremchuk A. (A),
16:07, Nikonov A. (2 min),
16:07, Nikonov A. (2 min),
20:00, Nikonov A. (Game Misconduct),
2nd Period (0 - 0)
04:58, Vorobyov I. (2 min),
07:00, Gauthier F. (2 min),
3rd Period (0 - 0)
00:55, (2 min),
Overtime (1 - 0)
02:31, 2 - 1, Tsitsyura V. (G), Pedan R. (A),

Preview

In a match only outsiders will meet (ranked 10 and 11).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Vityaz won 3.

Vityaz has a chain of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Sochi is in unsatisfactory shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Vityaz could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Recently Sochi have a series of home games.

Vityaz will have a small advantage in this match.

There will not play in Vityaz: Daryin A. (Injury) Kalinin S. (Injury) Vashchenko G. (Injury)

There will not play in Sochi: Garayev A. (Injury) Khafizov T. (Injury)

Last 20 head-to-head matches Vityaz won 15 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 67:47 (average 3.4:2.4).

Including matches at home between the teams Vityaz won 6 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 33:26 (average 3.3:2.6).

Last Results with these Odds

Sochi - the odds 3.33 are the expected chance of winning is 29.06%, but this team recently wins 43% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Vityaz Balashikha
KHL
12.01.25	Vityaz Balashikha - Severstal Cherepovets	1:2 ✺
07.01.25	Lokomotiv Yaroslavl - Vityaz Balashikha	3:0 ✺
05.01.25	SKA Saint Petersburg - Vityaz Balashikha	5:2 ✺
03.01.25	Kunlun - Vityaz Balashikha	3:2 OT ✺
29.12.24	Vityaz Balashikha - Spartak Moscow	2:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL
- HC Sochi
KHL
13.01.25	Metallurg Magnitogorsk - Sochi	4:2 ✺
09.01.25	Sochi - Amur Khabarovsk	5:2 ✺
07.01.25	Sochi - Dynamo Moscow	0:2 ✺
05.01.25	Sochi - Dynamo Moscow	1:5 ✺
29.12.24	Sochi - HC CSKA Moscow	1:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.3 LWLLL

Latest Head to Head

KHL
09.11.24	Vityaz Balashikha - Sochi	1:3
10.10.24	Sochi - Vityaz Balashikha	2:3 OT
08.10.24	Sochi - Vityaz Balashikha	2:4
09.09.24	Vityaz Balashikha - Sochi	5:4
06.02.24	Vityaz Balashikha - Sochi	3:4
26.01.24	Vityaz Balashikha - Sochi	2:3
14.11.23	Sochi - Vityaz Balashikha	1:3

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