The best margin for this event is 4.7%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Metallurg Magnitogorsk 44.9%
Draw 22.2%
Dynamo Moscow 32.8%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
43%
22.7%
34.3%
Our Initial ML Estimation
44.1%
22.3%
33.6%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Metallurg Magnitogorsk has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.9%)
Dynamo Moscow has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.5%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Metallurg Magnitogorsk than the current prediction. (-0.8%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Dynamo Moscow than the current prediction. (+0.8%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
16.7%
16.7%
66.7%
Metallurg Magnitogorsk - Dynamo Moscow Predictions
Users Predictions:
12 users predict this event. Metallurg M will win (votes: 2 - 16.7%). Dynamo M will win (votes: 8 - 66.7%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 16.7%). Confidence interval (95%) for Dynamo M: 40% โ 93.4%.
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
O/U 4.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Dynamo Moscow will win (5 of 6 users predict this - 83.33%) ๐ฅ Bronze Tip.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:2
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Lineups
Line 1
30. Nabokov I. (G)
99. Motorygin M. (G)
21. Press R.
92. Ozhiganov I. (C)
85. Maklyukov A. (C)
41. Gotovets K.
14. Silantyev D.
90. Sikura D.
8. Kantserov R.
91. Weal J.
19. Tkachev V. (A)
97. Gusev N.
Line 2
74. Siryatsky A.
33. Claesson F.
44. Yakovlev Y.
45. Pylenkov D.
28. Tolchinsky S.
98. Mamin M.
39. Kozlov A.
18. Paquette C. (A)
29. Vovchenko D.
10. Comtois M.
Line 3
72. Minulin A.
93. Sergeyev A.
56. Khabarov M.
44. Adamchuk K.
31. Petunin A.
57. Shvets-Rogovoy A.
22. Iskhakov R.
34. Ilyenko A. (A)
11. Mikhailis N.
9. Slepyshev A.
Line 4
87. Palivko D.
75. Patalakha M.
94. Korobkin Y.
87. Rimashevsky Y.
47. Johnson L. (A)
12. Chernov A.
96. Korotkov N.
7. Dzhioshvili M.
Substitutes
20. Smolin A. (G)
25. Prokhorov D.
18. Tyutnev P.
94. Selivanov V. (G)
Coaches
. Razin A.
. Kudashov A.
Key Events of the Match
1st Period (0 - 0)
06:58, Tkachev V. (2 min),
13:11, Pylenkov D. (2 min),
13:25, Adamchuk K. (2 min),
2nd Period (0 - 0)
11:22, Chernov A. (2 min),
3rd Period (1 - 1)
01:25, Claesson F. (2 min),
07:43, Maklyukov A. (2 min),
07:43, Paquette C. (2 min),
07:46, 0 - 1, Claesson F. (G), Pylenkov D. (A), Ilyenko A. (A2)
12:26, Tkachev V. (2 min),
13:27, 1 - 1, Silantyev D. (G), Kantserov R. (A),
13:27, Kantserov R. (2 min),
13:27, Kantserov R. (10 min),
13:27, Khabarov M. (2 min),
13:27, Palivko D. (2 min),
13:27, Comtois M. (2 min),
13:27, Dzhioshvili M. (2 min),
13:27, Pylenkov D. (2 min),
Overtime (0 - 0)
04:55, Ozhiganov I. (2 min),
Penalties (0 - 2)
1, Weal J. (Penalty Shot),
1, Mikhailis N. (Penalty Shot),
2, Gusev N. (Penalty Shot),
2, Iskhakov R. (Penalty Shot),
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Metallurg M won 3.
In recent matches, Metallurg M has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).
Dynamo M's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins โ 1).
Metallurg M may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
Recently, the opponents have had a series of home games.
Metallurg M will hold a modest advantage in this match.
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Metallurg M won 13 matches, drew 1 match, lost 6 matches, and goals 66:51. (average 3.3:2.6).
Including home matches between the teams, Metallurg M won 7 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 37:24. (average 3.7:2.4).
Last Results with these Odds
Metallurg Magnitogorsk - the odds 2.19 are the expected chance of winning is 42.97%, but this team recently wins 64% of matches with these odds.
Dynamo Moscow - the odds 2.74 are the expected chance of winning is 34.35%, but this team recently wins 29% of matches with these odds.
Watch
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Nabokov I. (G) 
Press R. 
Gotovets K. 
Sikura D. 
Mikhailis N. 
Johnson L. (A) 
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