Match Info

RUSSIA: KHL

Date: 6 February 2025, Thursday

Location: Balashikha Arena (Balashikha)


	Vityaz Balashikha		SKA Saint Petersburg

	1	X	2
	4.5	4.25	1.63
				Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.5 ↑ (4.32)	4.25 ↓ (4.6)	1.63 ↓ (1.72)

The most likely Over/Under: 5.50

The best margin for this event is 7.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Vityaz Balashikha
20.7%

Draw
22%

SKA Saint Petersburg
57.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

22.5%

21.1%

56.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

22.5%

21.1%

56.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Vityaz Balashikha has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)

SKA Saint Petersburg has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Vityaz Balashikha than the current prediction. (+1.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for SKA Saint Petersburg than the current prediction. (-0.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	28.6%	71.4%

Vityaz Balashikha - SKA Saint Petersburg Predictions

Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. SKA will win (votes: 5 - 71.4%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 28.6%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:3

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Lineups

Line 1
83. Dorozhko M. (G)	39. Moysevich P. (G)
57. Rykov Y.	22. Zaitsev N.
9. Valentsov V.	21. Nikishin A. (C)
40. Kalinin S.	28. Tolchinsky S.
10. Galuzin V. (C)	70. Bardakov Z. (A)
74. Makeyev A. (A)	90. Zykov V.
Line 2
18. Stewart D.	8. Zemchyonok A.
7. Busygin Y.	89. Karpukhin I.
82. Chekhovich I.	18. Akolzin P.
26. Barach D.	25. Grigorenko M. (A)
72. Buchelnikov D.	72. Alistrov V.
Line 3
19. Malorosiyanov D.	44. Yudin D.
53. Pedan R.	79. Galenyuk D.
28. Chivilyov A.	91. Demidov I.
23. Gauthier F.	42. Vorobyov M.
8. Zaseda M.	14. Polyakov N.
Line 4
2. Golovkov I. (A)	9. Sapego S.
21. Savchik I.	52. Dedunov P.
87. Tsitsyura V.	11. Andronov S.
86. Vorobyov I.	71. Korotky M.
Substitutes
44. Shikin D. (G)	97. Nugmanov A.
	30. Zavragin Y. (G)
Coaches
. Desyatkov P.	. Rotenberg R.

Key Events of the Match

1st Period (0 - 1)
05:48, 0 - 1, Polyakov N. (G), Demidov I. (A), Vorobyov M. (A2)
08:56, Galenyuk D. (2 min),
2nd Period (1 - 2)
01:53, 0 - 2, Dedunov P. (G), Andronov S. (A),
04:18, Pedan R. (2 min),
05:49, (2 min),
12:50, 0 - 3, Grigorenko M. (G), Karpukhin I. (A), Alistrov V. (A2)
13:36, 1 - 3, Zaseda M. (G), Chivilyov A. (A), Busygin Y. (A2)
17:24, Pedan R. (2 min),
3rd Period (1 - 1)
01:37, 1 - 4, Grigorenko M. (G), Alistrov V. (A), Zemchyonok A. (A2)
13:16, (2 min),
16:26, Zemchyonok A. (2 min),
18:58, 2 - 4, Tsitsyura V. (G), Vorobyov I. (A),

Preview

A team from the mid-table and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 10 and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ KHL (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Vityaz won 0.

Vityaz is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

SKA is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Vityaz could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match SKA is a favorite.

There will not play in Vityaz: Daryin A. (Injury) Vashchenko G. (Injury)

There will not play in SKA: Gritsyuk A. (Injury) Kuznetsov E. (Injury) Tolchinsky S. (Injury)

Our prediction for today's SKA to win the game is with odds 1.63.

Last 20 head-to-head matches Vityaz won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 18 matches and goals 34:95 (average 1.7:4.8).

Including matches at home between the teams Vityaz won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 8 matches and goals 19:50 (average 1.9:5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Vityaz Balashikha
KHL
04.02.25	Torpedo Nizhny Novgorod - Vityaz Balashikha	2:1 penalties ✺
30.01.25	Vityaz Balashikha - Traktor Chelyabinsk	0:2 ✺
28.01.25	SKA Saint Petersburg - Vityaz Balashikha	4:1 ✺
25.01.25	Vityaz Balashikha - Kunlun	1:2 ✺
22.01.25	Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk - Vityaz Balashikha	3:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.7 LLLLW
- SKA Saint Petersburg
KHL
04.02.25	SKA Saint Petersburg - Ak Bars Kazan	3:8 ✺
01.02.25	Dynamo Moscow - SKA Saint Petersburg	3:4 OT ✺
30.01.25	Spartak Moscow - SKA Saint Petersburg	3:4 penalties ✺
28.01.25	SKA Saint Petersburg - Vityaz Balashikha	4:1 ✺
25.01.25	SKA Saint Petersburg - Salavat Yulaev Ufa	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.8 LWWWW

Latest Head to Head

KHL
28.01.25	SKA Saint Petersburg - Vityaz Balashikha	4:1
05.01.25	SKA Saint Petersburg - Vityaz Balashikha	5:2
21.10.24	Vityaz Balashikha - SKA Saint Petersburg	1:8
10.01.24	Vityaz Balashikha - SKA Saint Petersburg	0:4
03.01.24	SKA Saint Petersburg - Vityaz Balashikha	6:1
01.12.23	SKA Saint Petersburg - Vityaz Balashikha	3:2 OT
04.11.23	Vityaz Balashikha - SKA Saint Petersburg	2:3 penalties

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