Match Info

NHL

Date: 24 January 2026, Saturday

Location: Rogers Place (Edmonton, AB)

Where to Watch on TV:


Brazil	Disney+
Chile	Disney+
Czech-republic	Nova Sport 1, Oneplay
Denmark	Viaplay
Finland	Viaplay 1 Urheilu, Viaplay
Germany	Sky Sport Mix, Sky Sport Top Event
Iceland	Viaplay
Italy	DAZN Italia
Mexico	Sky Sport
Norway	Viaplay
Slovakia	Voyo
Spain	DAZN Espana
Sweden	Viaplay
United-kingdom	DAZN, Premier Sports 1, Premier Sports Player
Uruguay	Disney+
Usa	ESPN+
Venezuela	Disney+
World	NHL.tv


	Edmonton Oilers		Washington Capitals

	1	X	2
	1.87	4.5	3.3	Watch
	1.92	4.34	3.31
	1.92	4.41	3.27
	1.89	4.5	3.32	Watch
	1.91	4.33	3.4
	1.97	4.47	3.33
	1.86	4.3	3.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.91 ↓ (2.11)	4.41 ↑ (4.32)	3.33 ↑ (3.07)

The most likely Over/Under: 6.25

The best margin for this event is 3.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Edmonton Oilers
49.9%

Draw
21.6%

Washington Capitals
28.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

46%

22.4%

31.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.3%

23.8%

33.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Edmonton Oilers has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.9%)

Washington Capitals has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Edmonton Oilers than the current prediction. (-6.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Edmonton Oilers that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Washington Capitals than the current prediction. (+5.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Washington Capitals could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
56.2%	12.5%	31.2%

Edmonton Oilers - Washington Capitals Predictions

Users Predictions: 16 users predict this event. Edmonton will win (votes: 9 - 56.3%). Washington will win (votes: 5 - 31.3%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 12.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Edmonton: 32% – 80.6%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Edmonton (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 4:3

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Lineups

Line 1
39. Ingram C. (G)	79. Lindgren C. (G)
2. Bouchard E.	74. Carlson J. (A)
14. Ekholm M.	42. Fehervary M.
18. Hyman Z.	9. Leonard R.
97. McDavid C. (C)	17. Strome D.
93. Nugent-Hopkins R. (A)	24. McMichael C.
Line 2
49. Emberson T.	3. Roy M.
25. Nurse D. (A)	6. Chychrun J.
88. Mangiapane A.	43. Wilson T. (A)
29. Draisaitl L.	34. Sourdif J.
92. Podkolzin V.	21. Protas A.
Line 3
24. Stastney S.	57. Van Riemsdyk T.
96. Walman J.	38. Sandin R.
22. Savoie M.	53. Frank E.
28. Roslovic J.	26. Dowd N.
53. Howard I.	8. Ovechkin A. (C)
Line 4
13. Janmark M.	72. Beauvillier A.
20. Lazar C.	29. Lapierre H.
10. Frederic T.	22. Duhaime B.
Substitutes
35. Jarry T. (G)	48. Thompson L. (G)
Coaches
. Knoblauch K.	. Carbery S.

Key Events of the Match

1st Period (1 - 1)
03:14, Podkolzin V. (2 min),
19:12, 1 - 0, Bouchard E. (G), Ekholm M. (A), Hyman Z. (A2)
19:34, 1 - 1, Protas A. (G), Sandin R. (A), Wilson T. (A2)
2nd Period (1 - 2)
01:30, Draisaitl L. (2 min),
04:13, 2 - 1, Bouchard E. (G), Draisaitl L. (A), McDavid C. (A2)
04:36, Lindgren C. (2 min),
06:50, 2 - 2, Sourdif J. (G), Lapierre H. (A), McMichael C. (A2)
14:29, 2 - 3, Beauvillier A. (G), Carlson J. (A), Frank E. (A2)
14:29, Ingram C. ↓, Jarry T. ↑,
16:11, (2 min),
18:57, Chychrun J. (2 min),
3rd Period (3 - 2)
00:54, Van Riemsdyk T. (2 min),
03:58, Lazar C. (2 min),
04:00, Wilson T. (2 min),
04:30, 3 - 3, Bouchard E. (G), McDavid C. (A), Draisaitl L. (A2)
06:40, 3 - 4, Strome D. (G), Chychrun J. (A), Wilson T. (A2)
07:46, Roy M. (2 min),
08:24, 4 - 4, McDavid C. (G), Bouchard E. (A), Nugent-Hopkins R. (A2)
13:03, Emberson T. (2 min),
15:09, 4 - 5, McMichael C. (G), Carlson J. (A), Sourdif J. (A2)
19:28, 5 - 5, Hyman Z. (G), McDavid C. (A), Bouchard E. (A2)
Overtime (1 - 0)
00:46, 6 - 5, McDavid C. (G), Bouchard E. (A), Draisaitl L. (A2)

Preview

This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ NHL (Play Offs: ) and 12).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Edmonton won 2.

In recent matches, Edmonton has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Washington's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Edmonton may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, Edmonton has had a series of home games.

Edmonton might have a minor edge in this game.

There will not play in Edmonton: Henrique A. (Injury) Kapanen K. (Injury)

There will not play in Washington: Dubois P. (Abdominal strain)

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Edmonton won 9 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 11 matches, and goals 66:65. (average 3.3:3.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Edmonton won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 36:30. (average 3.6:3).

Outrights of NHL for now

Edmonton Oilers: 7.85% Washington Capitals: 5.74%

Last Results with these Odds

Edmonton Oilers - the odds 2.11 are the expected chance of winning is 45.96%, but this team recently wins 52% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Edmonton Oilers
NHL
22.01.26	Edmonton Oilers - Pittsburgh Penguins	2:6 ✺
20.01.26	Edmonton Oilers - New Jersey Devils	1:2 ✺
18.01.26	Edmonton Oilers - St. Louis Blues	5:0 ✺
17.01.26	Vancouver Canucks - Edmonton Oilers	0:6 ✺
15.01.26	Edmonton Oilers - New York Islanders	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.9 LLWWL
- Washington Capitals
NHL
23.01.26	Calgary Flames - Washington Capitals	1:3 ✺
21.01.26	Vancouver Canucks - Washington Capitals	4:3 ✺
19.01.26	Colorado Avalanche - Washington Capitals	5:2 ✺
17.01.26	Washington Capitals - Florida Panthers	2:5 ✺
15.01.26	Washington Capitals - San Jose Sharks	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.6 WLLLL

Latest Head to Head

NHL
19.11.25	Washington Capitals - Edmonton Oilers	7:4
23.02.25	Washington Capitals - Edmonton Oilers	7:3
21.01.25	Edmonton Oilers - Washington Capitals	2:3
13.03.24	Edmonton Oilers - Washington Capitals	7:2
24.11.23	Washington Capitals - Edmonton Oilers	0:5
05.12.22	Edmonton Oilers - Washington Capitals	2:3
07.11.22	Washington Capitals - Edmonton Oilers	5:4

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