Match Info

NHL

Date: 23 January 2026, Friday

Location: Scotiabank Saddledome (Calgary, AB)

Where to Watch on TV:


Brazil	Disney+
Chile	Disney+
Denmark	Viaplay, V Sport Live 1
Finland	Viaplay, V Sport Live 1
Germany	NHL.tv
Iceland	Viaplay
Italy	DAZN Italia
Mexico	Sky Sport
Norway	Viaplay
Spain	DAZN Espana
Sweden	Viaplay, V Sport Live 1
United-kingdom	DAZN
Uruguay	Disney+
Venezuela	Disney+
World	NHL.tv


	Calgary Flames		Washington Capitals

	1	X	2
	2.75	4	2.25	Watch
	2.79	4.14	2.21
	2.92	4.26	2.11
	2.76	4.22	2.21	Watch
	2.88	4	2.2
	2.92	4.33	2.11
	2.9	4	2.15
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.85 ↑ (2.52)	4.14 ↑ (4)	2.18 ↓ (2.43)

The most likely Over/Under: 5.75

The best margin for this event is 4.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Calgary Flames
33.4%

Draw
23%

Washington Capitals
43.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37.5%

23.6%

38.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33.6%

26.3%

43.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Calgary Flames has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.1%)

Washington Capitals has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Calgary Flames than the current prediction. (+0.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Washington Capitals than the current prediction. (-0.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
25%	75%	0%

Calgary Flames - Washington Capitals Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Calgary will win (votes: 1 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 75%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Washington (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 6, OT - under (votes: 2 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:4

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Lineups

Line 1
1. Cooley D. (G)	79. Lindgren C. (G)
52. Weegar M. (A)	74. Carlson J. (A)
37. Kuznetsov Y.	6. Chychrun J.
92. Gridin M.	9. Leonard R.
91. Kadri N. (A)	17. Strome D.
47. Zary C.	24. McMichael C.
Line 2
2. Whitecloud Z.	3. Roy M.
7. Bahl K.	42. Fehervary M.
27. Coronato M.	43. Wilson T. (A)
11. Backlund M. (C)	34. Sourdif J.
17. Sharangovich Y.	21. Protas A.
Line 3
48. Brzustewicz H.	57. Van Riemsdyk T.
44. Hanley J.	38. Sandin R.
86. Farabee J.	53. Frank E.
16. Frost M.	26. Dowd N.
76. Pospisil M.	8. Ovechkin A. (C)
Line 4
43. Klapka A.	72. Beauvillier A.
23. Kirkland J.	29. Lapierre H.
70. Lomberg R.	22. Duhaime B.
Substitutes
32. Wolf D. (G)	48. Thompson L. (G)
Coaches
. Huska R.	. Carbery S.

Key Events of the Match

1st Period (1 - 0)
04:40, Carlson J. (2 min),
06:09, 1 - 0, Frost M. (G), Zary C. (A),
2nd Period (0 - 1)
06:33, 1 - 1, Lapierre H. (G), Carlson J. (A), Fehervary M. (A2)
08:27, Kuznetsov Y. (2 min),
08:27, Leonard R. (2 min),
12:11, Farabee J. (2 min),
3rd Period (0 - 2)
02:39, Klapka A. (2 min),
07:35, 1 - 2, Protas A. (G), Wilson T. (A), Sourdif J. (A2)
11:35, Klapka A. (10 min),
14:00, Kuznetsov Y. (2 min),
14:37, Wilson T. (10 min),
19:08, 1 - 3, Ovechkin A. (G),
19:51, Lapierre H. (2 min),

Preview

In this match, only outsiders will meet (ranked 14 and 13).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Calgary won 2.

In recent matches, Calgary has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Washington is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Washington might have a minor edge in this game.

There will not play in Calgary: Bean J. (Injury) Beecher J. (Upper-Body Injury) Coleman B. (Upper-Body Injury) Honzek S. (Upper-Body Injury)

There will not play in Washington: Dubois P. (Abdominal strain)

There are questionable in Calgary: Huberdeau J. (Lower-Body Injury)

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Calgary won 7 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 13 matches, and goals 51:65. (average 2.6:3.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Calgary won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 24:37. (average 2.4:3.7).

Outrights of NHL for now

Washington Capitals: 5.74% Calgary Flames: 0.2%

Last Results with these Odds

Calgary Flames - the odds 2.52 are the expected chance of winning is 37.49%, but this team recently wins 30% of matches with these odds.

Washington Capitals - the odds 2.43 are the expected chance of winning is 38.88%, but this team recently wins 30% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Calgary Flames
NHL
21.01.26	Calgary Flames - Pittsburgh Penguins	1:4 ✺
19.01.26	Calgary Flames - New Jersey Devils	1:2 OT ✺
17.01.26	Calgary Flames - New York Islanders	4:2 ✺
15.01.26	Chicago Blackhawks - Calgary Flames	1:3 ✺
13.01.26	Columbus Blue Jackets - Calgary Flames	5:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.4 LLWWL
- Washington Capitals
NHL
21.01.26	Vancouver Canucks - Washington Capitals	4:3 ✺
19.01.26	Colorado Avalanche - Washington Capitals	5:2 ✺
17.01.26	Washington Capitals - Florida Panthers	2:5 ✺
15.01.26	Washington Capitals - San Jose Sharks	2:3 ✺
13.01.26	Washington Capitals - Montreal Canadiens	3:2 OT ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.3 LLLLW

Latest Head to Head

NHL
25.02.25	Washington Capitals - Calgary Flames	1:3
28.01.25	Calgary Flames - Washington Capitals	1:3
18.03.24	Calgary Flames - Washington Capitals	2:5
16.10.23	Washington Capitals - Calgary Flames	3:2 penalties
03.12.22	Calgary Flames - Washington Capitals	5:2
25.11.22	Washington Capitals - Calgary Flames	3:0
08.03.22	Calgary Flames - Washington Capitals	4:5

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