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Vancouver Canucks vs Washington Capitals Predictions, H2H Stats & TV Channels (Wednesday, January 21, 2026)

Match Info

NHL

Date: 21 January 2026, Wednesday

Location: Rogers Arena (Vancouver, BC)

Where to Watch on TV:


Brazil	Disney+
Chile	Disney+
Denmark	Viaplay
Finland	Veikkaus TV, Viaplay 1 Urheilu, Viaplay
Iceland	Viaplay
Italy	DAZN Italia
Mexico	Sky Sport
Norway	Viaplay
Slovenia	Arena Sport 1
Spain	DAZN Espana
Sweden	Viaplay
United-kingdom	DAZN
Uruguay	Disney+
Usa	ESPN+
Venezuela	Disney+
World	NHL.tv


	Vancouver Canucks		Washington Capitals

	1	X	2
	3.4	4.25	1.87	Watch
	3.26	4.19	1.97
	3.28	4.42	1.92	Watch
	3.4	4.33	1.91
	3.3	4.4	2
	3.5	4	1.9
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.36 ↑ (2.74)	4.27 ↑ (4.04)	1.93 ↓ (2.24)

The most likely Over/Under: 6.00

The best margin for this event is 3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Vancouver Canucks
28.3%

Draw
22.3%

Washington Capitals
49.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

34.5%

23.4%

42.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

34.8%

23.6%

41.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Vancouver Canucks has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Vancouver Canucks's form might have worsened.

Washington Capitals has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Washington Capitals's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Vancouver Canucks than the current prediction. (+6.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Vancouver Canucks, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Washington Capitals than the current prediction. (-7.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Washington Capitals, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
20%	13.3%	66.7%

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Predictions

Users Predictions: 15 users predict this event. Vancouver will win (votes: 3 - 20%). Washington will win (votes: 10 - 66.7%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 13.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Washington: 42.8% – 90.6%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 6 Selected Experts predict this event. Vancouver (votes: 2 - 33.3%). Washington (votes: 4 - 66.7%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 4.5, OT - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:4

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Lineups

Line 1
32. Lankinen K. (G)	48. Thompson L. (G)
17. Hronek F. (A)	74. Carlson J. (A)
25. Pettersson E. II.	6. Chychrun J.
74. DeBrusk J.	9. Leonard R.
40. Pettersson E.	17. Strome D.
91. Kane E.	24. McMichael C.
Line 2
57. Myers T. (A)	3. Roy M.
24. Buium Z.	42. Fehervary M.
6. Boeser B. (A)	43. Wilson T.
64. Kampf D.	34. Sourdif J.
18. O'Connor D.	21. Protas A.
Line 3
5. Willander T.	47. Chisholm D.
29. Pettersson M.	38. Sandin R.
8. Garland C.	53. Frank E.
53. Blueger T.	26. Dowd N. (A)
92. Ohgren L.	8. Ovechkin A. (C)
Line 4
94. Karlsson L.	72. Beauvillier A.
63. Sasson M.	29. Lapierre H.
21. Hoglander N.	22. Duhaime B.
Substitutes
30. Patera J. (G)	79. Lindgren C. (G)
Coaches
. Foote A.	. Carbery S.

Key Events of the Match

1st Period (2 - 2)
07:11, Sasson M. (2 min),
08:02, Pettersson M. (2 min),
08:25, 0 - 1, Strome D. (G), Wilson T. (A), Carlson J. (A2)
09:43, 0 - 2, Sourdif J. (G), Strome D. (A), Ovechkin A. (A2)
13:32, 1 - 2, Boeser B. (G), Kampf D. (A),
15:53, Karlsson L. (2 min),
18:22, 2 - 2, Kane E. (G), DeBrusk J. (A),
2nd Period (2 - 0)
03:33, Carlson J. (2 min),
04:19, McMichael C. (2 min),
08:58, 3 - 2, O'Connor D. (G), Kampf D. (A), Boeser B. (A2)
11:02, Kane E. (2 min),
11:02, Leonard R. (2 min),
11:43, 4 - 2, Hronek F. (G), DeBrusk J. (A), Willander T. (A2)
15:12, Leonard R. (2 min),
3rd Period (0 - 1)
07:03, Hoglander N. (2 min),
07:03, Roy M. (2 min),
16:37, 4 - 3, Strome D. (G), Sourdif J. (A), Chychrun J. (A2)

Preview

An outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 16 and 11).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Vancouver won 3.

Vancouver is on a losing streak (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Washington is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Washington is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

There will not play in Vancouver: Blueger T. (Lower-Body Injury) Chytil F. (Concussion) Demko T. (Lower-Body Injury) Forbort D. (Injury) Rossi M. (Lower-Body Injury)

There will not play in Washington: Dubois P. (Abdominal strain)

There are questionable in Washington: Wilson T. (Lower-Body Injury)

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Vancouver won 7 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 13 matches, and goals 50:65. (average 2.5:3.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Vancouver won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 24:33. (average 2.7:3.7).

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Last Results with these Odds

Vancouver Canucks - the odds 2.74 are the expected chance of winning is 34.47%, but this team recently wins 46% of matches with these odds.

Washington Capitals - the odds 2.24 are the expected chance of winning is 42.16%, but this team recently wins 26% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Vancouver Canucks
NHL
19.01.26	Vancouver Canucks - New York Islanders	3:4 ✺
17.01.26	Vancouver Canucks - Edmonton Oilers	0:6 ✺
15.01.26	Columbus Blue Jackets - Vancouver Canucks	4:1 ✺
13.01.26	Ottawa Senators - Vancouver Canucks	2:1 ✺
12.01.26	Montreal Canadiens - Vancouver Canucks	6:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL
- Washington Capitals
NHL
19.01.26	Colorado Avalanche - Washington Capitals	5:2 ✺
17.01.26	Washington Capitals - Florida Panthers	2:5 ✺
15.01.26	Washington Capitals - San Jose Sharks	2:3 ✺
13.01.26	Washington Capitals - Montreal Canadiens	3:2 OT ✺
11.01.26	Nashville Predators - Washington Capitals	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.3 LLLWL

Latest Head to Head

NHL
19.10.25	Washington Capitals - Vancouver Canucks	3:4
25.01.25	Vancouver Canucks - Washington Capitals	2:1
08.01.25	Washington Capitals - Vancouver Canucks	2:1 OT
16.03.24	Vancouver Canucks - Washington Capitals	1:2
11.02.24	Washington Capitals - Vancouver Canucks	2:3 OT
29.11.22	Vancouver Canucks - Washington Capitals	1:5
17.10.22	Washington Capitals - Vancouver Canucks	6:4

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