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Current Win Probability
Vancouver Canucks 28.3%
Draw 22.3%
Washington Capitals 49.3%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
34.5%
23.4%
42.2%
Our Initial ML Estimation
34.8%
23.6%
41.8%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Vancouver Canucks has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.2%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Vancouver Canucks's form might have worsened.
Washington Capitals has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.1%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Washington Capitals's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Vancouver Canucks than the current prediction. (+6.5%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Vancouver Canucks, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Washington Capitals than the current prediction. (-7.5%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Washington Capitals, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
20%
13.3%
66.7%
Vancouver Canucks - Washington Capitals Predictions
Users Predictions:
15 users predict this event. Vancouver will win (votes: 3 - 20%). Washington will win (votes: 10 - 66.7%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 13.3%). Confidence interval (95%) for Washington: 42.8% – 90.6%.
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 6 Selected Experts predict this event. Vancouver (votes: 2 - 33.3%). Washington (votes: 4 - 66.7%).
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
O/U 4.5, OT - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:4
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Lineups
Line 1
32. Lankinen K. (G)
48. Thompson L. (G)
17. Hronek F. (A)
74. Carlson J. (A)
25. Pettersson E. II.
6. Chychrun J.
74. DeBrusk J.
9. Leonard R.
40. Pettersson E.
17. Strome D.
91. Kane E.
24. McMichael C.
Line 2
57. Myers T. (A)
3. Roy M.
24. Buium Z.
42. Fehervary M.
6. Boeser B. (A)
43. Wilson T.
64. Kampf D.
34. Sourdif J.
18. O'Connor D.
21. Protas A.
Line 3
5. Willander T.
47. Chisholm D.
29. Pettersson M.
38. Sandin R.
8. Garland C.
53. Frank E.
53. Blueger T.
26. Dowd N. (A)
92. Ohgren L.
8. Ovechkin A. (C)
Line 4
94. Karlsson L.
72. Beauvillier A.
63. Sasson M.
29. Lapierre H.
21. Hoglander N.
22. Duhaime B.
Substitutes
30. Patera J. (G)
79. Lindgren C. (G)
Coaches
. Foote A.
. Carbery S.
Key Events of the Match
1st Period (2 - 2)
07:11, Sasson M. (2 min),
08:02, Pettersson M. (2 min),
08:25, 0 - 1, Strome D. (G), Wilson T. (A), Carlson J. (A2)
09:43, 0 - 2, Sourdif J. (G), Strome D. (A), Ovechkin A. (A2)
13:32, 1 - 2, Boeser B. (G), Kampf D. (A),
15:53, Karlsson L. (2 min),
18:22, 2 - 2, Kane E. (G), DeBrusk J. (A),
2nd Period (2 - 0)
03:33, Carlson J. (2 min),
04:19, McMichael C. (2 min),
08:58, 3 - 2, O'Connor D. (G), Kampf D. (A), Boeser B. (A2)
11:02, Kane E. (2 min),
11:02, Leonard R. (2 min),
11:43, 4 - 2, Hronek F. (G), DeBrusk J. (A), Willander T. (A2)
15:12, Leonard R. (2 min),
3rd Period (0 - 1)
07:03, Hoglander N. (2 min),
07:03, Roy M. (2 min),
16:37, 4 - 3, Strome D. (G), Sourdif J. (A), Chychrun J. (A2)
Preview
An outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 16 and 11).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Vancouver won 3.
Vancouver is on a losing streak (last 5 games: 0 wins).
Washington is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
Washington is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
There will not play in Vancouver: Blueger T.
(Lower-Body Injury)
Chytil F.
(Concussion)
Demko T.
(Lower-Body Injury)
Forbort D.
(Injury)
Rossi M.
(Lower-Body Injury)
There will not play in Washington: Dubois P.
(Abdominal strain)
There are questionable in Washington: Wilson T.
(Lower-Body Injury)
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Vancouver won 7 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 13 matches, and goals 50:65. (average 2.5:3.3).
Including home matches between the teams, Vancouver won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 24:33. (average 2.7:3.7).
Outrights of NHL for now
Washington Capitals: 5.74% Vancouver Canucks: 0.23%
Last Results with these Odds
Vancouver Canucks - the odds 2.74 are the expected chance of winning is 34.47%, but this team recently wins 46% of matches with these odds.
Washington Capitals - the odds 2.24 are the expected chance of winning is 42.16%, but this team recently wins 26% of matches with these odds.
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Lankinen K. (G) 
Thompson L. (G) 
Hronek F. (A) 
Carlson J. (A) 
Pettersson E. II. 
Fehervary M. 
Protas A. 
Blueger T. 
Ovechkin A. (C) 
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