The best margin for this event is 3.2%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Detroit Red Wings 43.3%
Draw 22.6%
Washington Capitals 34.1%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
41.3%
22.9%
35.8%
Our Initial ML Estimation
40.3%
23.3%
36.4%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Detroit Red Wings has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2%)
Washington Capitals has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Detroit Red Wings than the current prediction. (-3%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Washington Capitals than the current prediction. (+2.3%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
60%
26.7%
13.3%
Detroit Red Wings - Washington Capitals Predictions
Users Predictions:
15 users predict this event. Detroit will win (votes: 9 - 60%). Washington will win (votes: 2 - 13.3%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 26.7%). Confidence interval (95%) for Detroit: 35.2% โ 84.8%.
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
O/U 6, OT - over (votes: 2 - 100%) .
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Detroit Red Wings will win (10 of 10 users predict this - 100%) ๐ฅ Gold Tip.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:2
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Lineups
Line 1
36. Gibson J. (G)
79. Lindgren C. (G)
53. Seider M. (A)
74. Carlson J. (A)
25. Bernard-Docker J.
42. Fehervary M.
23. Raymond L. (A)
72. Beauvillier A.
71. Larkin D. (C)
17. Strome D.
92. Kasper M.
8. Ovechkin A. (C)
Line 2
8. Chiarot B.
57. Van Riemsdyk T.
44. Sandin-Pellikka A.
6. Chychrun J.
88. Kane P.
43. Wilson T. (A)
18. Copp A.
34. Sourdif J.
93. DeBrincat A.
21. Protas A.
Line 3
52. Hamonic T.
47. Chisholm D.
20. Johansson A.
38. Sandin R.
21. Van Riemsdyk J.
9. Leonard R.
37. Compher J.T.
26. Dowd N.
58. Finnie E.
24. McMichael C.
Line 4
22. Appleton M.
53. Frank E.
27. Rasmussen M.
29. Lapierre H.
85. Soderblom E.
22. Duhaime B.
Substitutes
39. Talbot C. (G)
31. Stevenson C. (G)
Coaches
. McLellan T.
. Carbery S.
Key Events of the Match
1st Period (0 - 1)
01:06, Carlson J. (2 min),
06:27, 0 - 1, Dowd N. (G), McMichael C. (A), Chychrun J. (A2)
17:58, Van Riemsdyk T. (2 min),
2nd Period (1 - 0)
04:45, Lindgren C. (2 min),
09:52, 1 - 1, Chiarot B. (G), DeBrincat A. (A), Kane P. (A2)
3rd Period (2 - 2)
06:12, Chiarot B. (2 min),
09:36, 1 - 2, Strome D. (G), Ovechkin A. (A), Chychrun J. (A2)
09:36, (2 min),
11:52, (2 min),
14:44, 1 - 3, Chisholm D. (G), Chychrun J. (A), Strome D. (A2)
18:20, 2 - 3, DeBrincat A. (G), Larkin D. (A), Copp A. (A2)
19:07, 3 - 3, DeBrincat A. (G), Seider M. (A),
Overtime (0 - 0)
Penalties (2 - 3)
1, Raymond L. (Penalty Shot),
1, Strome D. (Penalty Shot),
2, Kane P. (Penalty Shot),
2, Leonard R. (Penalty Shot),
3, Larkin D. (Penalty Shot),
3, Dowd N. (Penalty Shot),
Preview
This match features one of the leaders against an outsider (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ NHL (Play Offs: ) and 14).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Detroit won 3.
Detroit has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 3 wins).
Washington's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins โ 1).
Recently, Washington has had a series of away games.
In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
There will not play in Detroit: Edvinsson S.
(Lower-Body Injury)
There will not play in Washington: Dubois P.
(Abdominal strain)
There are questionable in Washington: Roy M.
(Lower-Body Injury)
Sandin R.
(Lower-Body Injury)
We predict that Detroit will win today's game, with odds of 2.25.
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Detroit won 8 matches, drew 1 match, lost 11 matches, and goals 52:54. (average 2.6:2.7).
Including home matches between the teams, Detroit won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 27:24. (average 2.7:2.4).
Outrights of NHL for now
Washington Capitals: 4.65% Detroit Red Wings: 0.34%
Last Results with these Odds
Washington Capitals - the odds 2.64 are the expected chance of winning is 35.82%, but this team recently wins 52% of matches with these odds.
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Gibson J. (G) 
Seider M. (A) 
Bernard-Docker J. 
Fehervary M. 
Raymond L. (A) 
Kasper M. 
Ovechkin A. (C) 
Protas A. 
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