The best margin for this event is 3.1%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Washington Capitals 40.3%
Draw 22.1%
Edmonton Oilers 37.6%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
35.4%
21.5%
43.1%
Our Initial ML Estimation
35.2%
21.3%
43.5%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Washington Capitals has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.9%)
Edmonton Oilers has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.5%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Edmonton Oilers might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Washington Capitals than the current prediction. (-5.1%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Washington Capitals that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Edmonton Oilers than the current prediction. (+5.9%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Edmonton Oilers could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
37.5%
43.7%
18.7%
Washington Capitals - Edmonton Oilers Predictions
Users Predictions:
16 users predict this event. Washington will win (votes: 6 - 37.5%). Edmonton will win (votes: 3 - 18.8%). It will Tie (votes: 7 - 43.8%). Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 19.5% โ 68.1%.
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Washington Capitals will win (7 of 9 users predict this - 77.78%) ๐ฅ Bronze Tip.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:2
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Lineups
Line 1
48. Thompson L. (G)
74. Skinner S. (G)
74. Carlson J. (A)
2. Bouchard E.
42. Fehervary M.
25. Nurse D. (A)
24. McMichael C.
28. Roslovic J.
17. Strome D.
97. McDavid C. (C)
8. Ovechkin A. (C)
22. Savoie M.
Line 2
3. Roy M.
27. Kulak B.
6. Chychrun J.
14. Ekholm M.
43. Wilson T. (A)
88. Mangiapane A.
34. Sourdif J.
29. Draisaitl L. (A)
21. Protas A.
92. Podkolzin V.
Line 3
57. Van Riemsdyk T.
75. Regula A.
38. Sandin R.
96. Walman J.
9. Leonard R.
18. Hyman Z.
26. Dowd N.
19. Henrique A.
72. Beauvillier A.
10. Frederic T.
Line 4
53. Frank E.
49. Emberson T.
29. Lapierre H.
86. Tomasek D.
22. Duhaime B.
13. Janmark M.
Substitutes
79. Lindgren C. (G)
30. Pickard C. (G)
Coaches
. Carbery S.
. Knoblauch K.
Key Events of the Match
1st Period (3 - 2)
02:17, 1 - 0, Protas A. (G), Carlson J. (A), Sourdif J. (A2)
06:04, 2 - 0, Ovechkin A. (G), Chychrun J. (A), Roy M. (A2)
07:05, 2 - 1, Nurse D. (G), McDavid C. (A), Draisaitl L. (A2)
10:34, 3 - 1, Leonard R. (G), McMichael C. (A), Carlson J. (A2)
12:17, 3 - 2, Nurse D. (G), Hyman Z. (A),
15:19, Wilson T. (2 min),
2nd Period (1 - 0)
11:49, 4 - 2, Leonard R. (G), McMichael C. (A),
14:11, Sourdif J. (2 min),
3rd Period (3 - 2)
02:41, 4 - 3, Tomasek D. (G), Mangiapane A. (A), Janmark M. (A2)
06:37, 5 - 3, Beauvillier A. (G), Strome D. (A),
06:53, Carlson J. (2 min),
07:47, 5 - 4, Draisaitl L. (G), McDavid C. (A), Bouchard E. (A2)
11:39, Ekholm M. (2 min),
18:59, 6 - 4, Wilson T. (G), McMichael C. (A), Carlson J. (A2)
19:27, 7 - 4, Wilson T. (G),
Preview
A mid-table team and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 14 and 11).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Washington won 3.
Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
Edmonton may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
Recently, Edmonton has had a series of away games.
The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
There will not play in Washington: Dubois P.
(Abdominal strain)
There will not play in Edmonton: Kapanen K.
(Lower-Body Injury)
There are questionable in Edmonton: Nugent-Hopkins R.
(Injury)
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Washington won 11 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 62:63. (average 3.1:3.2).
Including home matches between the teams, Washington won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 28:26. (average 3.1:2.9).
Last Results with these Odds
Washington Capitals - the odds 2.67 are the expected chance of winning is 35.37%, but this team recently wins 64% of matches with these odds.
Edmonton Oilers - the odds 2.19 are the expected chance of winning is 43.12%, but this team recently wins 35% of matches with these odds.
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Thompson L. (G) 
Carlson J. (A) 
Fehervary M. 
Ovechkin A. (C) 
Ekholm M. 
Draisaitl L. (A) 
Protas A. 
Tomasek D. 
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