The best margin for this event is 4.7%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Washington Capitals 45.8%
Draw 22.4%
St. Louis Blues 31.8%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
46.3%
23%
30.7%
Our Initial ML Estimation
48.3%
22%
29.4%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Washington Capitals has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)
St. Louis Blues has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Washington Capitals than the current prediction. (+2.5%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for St. Louis Blues than the current prediction. (-2.4%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
37.5%
25%
37.5%
Washington Capitals - St. Louis Blues Predictions
Users Predictions:
8 users predict this event. Washington will win (votes: 3 - 37.5%). St. Louis will win (votes: 3 - 37.5%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 25%). Confidence interval (95%) for Washington: 4% – 71%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:2
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Lineups
Line 1
48. Thompson L. (G)
50. Binnington J. (G)
74. Carlson J. (A)
55. Parayko C. (A)
42. Fehervary M.
6. Broberg P.
72. Beauvillier A.
21. Snuggerud J.
17. Strome D.
18. Thomas R.
8. Ovechkin A. (C)
89. Buchnevich P.
Line 2
3. Roy M.
72. Faulk J. (A)
6. Chychrun J.
75. Tucker T.
43. Wilson T. (A)
25. Kyrou J.
24. McMichael C.
22. Suter P.
21. Protas A.
10. Schenn B. (C)
Line 3
57. Van Riemsdyk T.
23. Mailloux L.
38. Sandin R.
17. Fowler C.
9. Leonard R.
70. Sundqvist O.
29. Lapierre H.
54. Dvorsky D.
15. Milano S.
81. Holloway D.
Line 4
34. Sourdif J.
26. Walker N.
26. Dowd N.
77. Bjugstad N.
22. Duhaime B.
13. Toropchenko A.
Substitutes
79. Lindgren C. (G)
30. Hofer J. (G)
Coaches
. Carbery S.
. Montgomery J.
Key Events of the Match
1st Period (1 - 0)
09:41, Parayko C. (2 min),
09:50, 1 - 0, Wilson T. (G), Carlson J. (A), Chychrun J. (A2)
14:23, Roy M. (2 min),
2nd Period (4 - 0)
02:39, 2 - 0, Ovechkin A. (G), Chychrun J. (A),
04:33, 3 - 0, Beauvillier A. (G), Chychrun J. (A),
09:06, Duhaime B. (5 min),
09:06, Schenn B. (5 min),
09:28, 4 - 0, Carlson J. (G), Leonard R. (A), Fehervary M. (A2)
09:28, Binnington J. ↓, Hofer J. ↑,
10:28, Strome D. (2 min),
12:14, Suter P. (2 min),
13:50, Wilson T. (2 min),
16:20, 5 - 0, Beauvillier A. (G),
18:58, (2 min),
3rd Period (1 - 1)
00:37, 5 - 1, Toropchenko A. (G), Suter P. (A), Fowler C. (A2)
09:00, 6 - 1, Wilson T. (G), Sandin R. (A), Van Riemsdyk T. (A2)
Preview
In this match, only outsiders will meet (ranked 15 and 15).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Washington won 2.
The current form of both teams is below expectations.
St. Louis may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
Washington is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
There will not play in Washington: Dubois P.
(Lower-Body Injury)
There will not play in St. Louis: Krug T.
(Ankle Injury)
Neighbours J.
(Lower-Body Injury)
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Washington won 10 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 64:65. (average 3.2:3.3).
Including home matches between the teams, Washington won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 24:32. (average 2.7:3.6).
Last Results with these Odds
Washington Capitals - the odds 2.04 are the expected chance of winning is 46.32%, but this team recently wins 88% of matches with these odds.
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Thompson L. (G) 
Carlson J. (A) 
Fehervary M. 
Broberg P. 
Ovechkin A. (C) 
Suter P. 
Protas A. 
Walker N. 
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