Match Info

OHL - Play Offs - 1/8-finals

Date: 28 March 2026, Saturday

Location: WFCU Centre (Windsor, ON)


	Windsor Spitfires		Guelph Storm

	1	X	2
	1.4	5.73	5.41
	1.38	5.66	5.46	Watch
	1.3	5.5	6.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.36 ↓ (1.38)	5.63 ↑ (5.36)	5.79 ↑ (5.77)

The best margin for this event is 7.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Windsor Spitfires
67.7%

Draw
16.4%

Guelph Storm
15.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

66.8%

17.2%

16%

Our Initial ML Estimation

62.5%

18.4%

17.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Windsor Spitfires has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)

Guelph Storm has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Windsor Spitfires than the current prediction. (-5.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Windsor Spitfires that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Guelph Storm than the current prediction. (+1.2%)

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
33. Costanzo J. (G)	30. Jovanovski Z. (G)
5. Brown J.	86. Avery J.
44. Cristoforo A. (A)	17. Babin P.
78. Davis C.	13. Beauchesne Q. (A)
53. Dubowsky C.	89. Belohorsky S.
7. Fibigr J.	3. Frossard E.
77. Garden E.	73. Gallacher L.
19. Gaymes N.	91. Hopkins T. (A)
66. Greentree L. (C)	93. McFadden W.
11. Harvey C.	72. McKenzie H.
2. Kennedy W.	15. Miedema E.
80. Makysh B.	22. Pape M.
17. McLaughlin J.	20. Serlin L.
71. Nesbitt J. (A)	81. Shybinskyi I.
72. Pharand A.	4. Singh R.
27. Robinson A.	9. Snelgrove P.
8. Spellacy A. (A)	21. Spada G.
89. Villeneuve N.	96. Stevens C.
28. Walton C.	12. Topp R. (A)
24. Woodall C.	77. Wycisk J.
Substitutes
30. Newlove M. (G)	55. Ellsworth C. (G)

Key Events of the Match

1st Period (1 - 1)
12:27, 1 - 0, Spellacy A. (G), Fibigr J. (A),
19:00, 1 - 1, Stevens C. (G), Beauchesne Q. (A), Shybinskyi I. (A2)
2nd Period (2 - 0)
07:51, 2 - 1, Greentree L. (G), Nesbitt J. (A), Woodall C. (A2)
16:05, 3 - 1, Nesbitt J. (G), Cristoforo A. (A), Fibigr J. (A2)
3rd Period (1 - 0)
19:03, 4 - 1, Greentree L. (G),

Preview

Windsor Spitfires leads series 1-0. Second leg.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Windsor won 3.

Windsor is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Guelph has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

In this match, Windsor is seen as the favorite.

We predict that Windsor will win today's game, with odds of 1.42.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Windsor won 13 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 84:66. (average 4.2:3.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Windsor won 7 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 39:27. (average 3.9:2.7).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Windsor Spitfires
OHL
26.03.26	Windsor Spitfires - Guelph Storm	4:0 ✺
22.03.26	Sault Ste. Marie Greyhounds - Windsor Spitfires	3:5 ✺
20.03.26	London Knights - Windsor Spitfires	3:2 penalties ✺
17.03.26	Windsor Spitfires - Erie Otters	5:1 ✺
15.03.26	Windsor Spitfires - London Knights	8:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.5 WWLWW
- Guelph Storm
OHL
26.03.26	Windsor Spitfires - Guelph Storm	4:0 ✺
21.03.26	Erie Otters - Guelph Storm	4:3 ✺
20.03.26	Guelph Storm - Owen Sound Attack	6:3 ✺
18.03.26	Guelph Storm - London Knights	2:6 ✺
15.03.26	Guelph Storm - Kitchener Rangers	1:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.2 LLWLL

Latest Head to Head

OHL
26.03.26	Windsor Spitfires - Guelph Storm	4:0
28.11.25	Guelph Storm - Windsor Spitfires	5:4
23.11.25	Windsor Spitfires - Guelph Storm	5:1
14.11.25	Guelph Storm - Windsor Spitfires	8:5
09.10.25	Windsor Spitfires - Guelph Storm	3:2 OT
02.01.25	Windsor Spitfires - Guelph Storm	9:5
19.12.24	Windsor Spitfires - Guelph Storm	4:1

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