The best margin for this event is 7.2%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Windsor Spitfires 48.3%
Draw 20.7%
Erie Otters 30.9%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
56.1%
20.2%
23.7%
Our Initial ML Estimation
53.4%
21.4%
25.2%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Windsor Spitfires has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.8%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Windsor Spitfires's form might have worsened.
Erie Otters has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.2%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Erie Otters's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Windsor Spitfires than the current prediction. (+5.1%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Windsor Spitfires, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Erie Otters than the current prediction. (-5.7%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Erie Otters, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
16:35, 2 - 0, Brocklehurst M. (G), Havusic H. (A), Bergeron T. (A2)
19:18, 3 - 0, Havusic H. (G),
3rd Period (0 - 0)
Preview
A direct battle for position between neighbouring teams in the table (ranked 8th in the Promotion - OHL Playoffs and 7th in the Promotion - OHL Playoffs).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Windsor won 5.
Each of the two teams is seeking greater consistency after recent ups and downs.
Erie may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.
Recently, Windsor has enjoyed a run of consecutive matches in front of its home crowd.
Windsor carries the favorite tag into this contest.
In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, Windsor has recorded 12 wins, 0 draws, and 8 losses, with a goal aggregate of 92:76 (averaging 4.6:3.8 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Windsor against this opponent, the record stands at 7 wins, 0 draws, and 2 losses, with 52:29 goals (averaging 5.8:3.2 per game).
Last Results with these Odds
Windsor Spitfires - the odds 1.64 are the expected chance of winning is 56.12%, but this team recently wins 64% of matches with these odds.
Erie Otters - the odds 3.89 are the expected chance of winning is 23.66%, but this team recently wins 14% of matches with these odds.
Watch
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Bergeron T. 
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Yakushevsky B. 
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