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Current Win Probability
Winnipeg Jets 27%
Draw 22.3%
Tampa Bay Lightning 50.7%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
31.7%
22.5%
45.8%
Our Initial ML Estimation
30.4%
21.6%
47.7%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Winnipeg Jets has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.7%)
Tampa Bay Lightning has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.9%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Winnipeg Jets than the current prediction. (+3.4%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tampa Bay Lightning than the current prediction. (-3%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
12.5%
12.5%
75%
Winnipeg Jets - Tampa Bay Lightning Predictions
Users Predictions:
8 users predict this event. Winnipeg will win (votes: 1 - 12.5%). Tampa Bay will win (votes: 6 - 75%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 12.5%). Confidence interval (95%) for Tampa Bay: 45% – 100%.
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Tampa Bay (votes: 2 - 100%).
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
AH -1.5, OT - Tampa Bay (2.30) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Tampa Bay (votes: 3 - 100%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:3
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Lineups
Line 1
37. Hellebuyck C. (G)
88. Vasilevski A. (G)
57. Salomonsson E.
43. Raddysh D.
54. Samberg D.
90. Moser J.J.
9. Iafallo A.
86. Kucherov N. (A)
55. Scheifele M. (A)
21. Point B.
81. Connor K. (A)
59. Guentzel J.
Line 2
2. DeMelo D.
77. Hedman V. (C)
64. Stanley L.
51. D'Astous C.
13. Vilardi G.
22. Bjorkstrand O.
17. Lowry A. (C)
71. Cirelli A.
91. Perfetti C.
38. Hagel B.
Line 3
5. Schenn L.
81. Cernak E.
24. Fleury H.
27. McDonagh R. (A)
71. Duehr W.
29. Holmberg P.
19. Toews J.
37. Gourde Y.
14. Nyquist G.
28. Girgensons Z.
Line 4
70. Pearson T.
78. Lilleberg E.
36. Barron M.
14. Geekie C.
45. Koepke C.
46. Sabourin S.
Substitutes
1. Comrie E. (G)
31. Johansson J. (G)
Coaches
. Arniel S.
. Cooper J.
Key Events of the Match
1st Period (0 - 0)
02:14, Cirelli A. (2 min),
2nd Period (2 - 0)
00:40, Hellebuyck C. (2 min),
12:57, Hagel B. (2 min),
15:31, 1 - 0, Barron M. (G), Koepke C. (A), Pearson T. (A2)
19:42, 2 - 0, Scheifele M. (G), Iafallo A. (A), Connor K. (A2)
3rd Period (2 - 1)
01:45, Salomonsson E. (2 min),
01:52, 2 - 1, Point B. (G), Guentzel J. (A), Raddysh D. (A2)
05:34, 3 - 1, Nyquist G. (G), Toews J. (A), Pearson T. (A2)
17:59, 4 - 1, Connor K. (G), Scheifele M. (A), Iafallo A. (A2)
Preview
A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 12 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ NHL (Play Offs: )).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Winnipeg won 3.
Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
Tampa Bay is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
There will not play in Winnipeg: Miller C.
(Knee Injury)
Morrissey J.
(Upper-Body Injury)
Namestnikov V.
(Lower-Body Injury)
Niederreiter N.
(Lower-Body Injury)
Pionk N.
(Lower-Body Injury)
There will not play in Tampa Bay: Crozier M.
(Muscle Injury)
Goncalves G.
(Injury)
James D.
(Leg Injury)
Paul N.
(Injury)
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Winnipeg won 11 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 69:74. (average 3.5:3.7).
Including home matches between the teams, Winnipeg won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 35:32. (average 3.9:3.6).
Outrights of NHL for now
Tampa Bay Lightning: 6.22% Winnipeg Jets: 0.74%
Last Results with these Odds
Tampa Bay Lightning - the odds 2.12 are the expected chance of winning is 45.77%, but this team recently wins 67% of matches with these odds.