Match Info

VHL

Date: 10 December 2025, Wednesday

Location: Krytyy detskiy ledovyy dvorets sporta (Magnitogorsk)


	Magnitka Magnitogorsk		Yuzhny Ural Orsk

	1	X	2
	1.49	4.42	4.92
	1.57	4.24	5.15	Watch
	1.52	4.75	5.25
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.53 ↓ (1.6)	4.47 ↑ (4.24)	5.11 ↑ (4.63)

The most likely Over/Under: 4.50

The best margin for this event is 5.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Magnitka Magnitogorsk
61%

Draw
20.8%

Yuzhny Ural Orsk
18.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

58.1%

21.9%

20%

Our Initial ML Estimation

59.2%

21.5%

19.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Magnitka Magnitogorsk has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.9%)

Yuzhny Ural Orsk has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Magnitka Magnitogorsk than the current prediction. (-1.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Yuzhny Ural Orsk than the current prediction. (+1.4%)

Magnitka Magnitogorsk - Yuzhny Ural Orsk Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:2

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Lineups

Line 1
23. Amirbekov J. (G)	32. Kudryavtsev S. (G)
94. Romanov R.	88. Krylov I. (A)
37. Gololobov D.	29. Papst R.
36. Mastryukov A.	91. Suslov K. (A)
15. Grass M.	33. Ryzhkov M.
9. Boltanov A. (A)	41. Paramonov D.
Line 2
21. Yegorov A.	85. Lugovyak S.
7. Timashov N.	24. Salnikov E.
31. Mirzabalayev A.	11. Mylnikov D.
18. Tyutnev P.	19. Litvinov I. (C)
93. Nechayev I.	16. Rubtsov S.
Line 3
4. Zhloba N. (C)	92. Gatiyatulin I.
32. Shetle E.	17. Kovalchuk P.
74. Zhugin V.	72. Rvachev V.
13. Zimin N. (A)	15. Putilov A.
88. Rybin I.	77. Zakharov I.
Line 4
14. Medvedev S.	27. Ostrovsky S.
95. Osipovich B.	8. Vikulin K.
97. Galenyuk M.	54. Avramov F.
98. Fursa A.	96. Kurkin M.
	79. Timashev I.
Substitutes
20. Kramzin Y. (G)	40. Shchetilin A. (G)
43. Penzin Y.

Key Events of the Match

1st Period (0 - 0)
2nd Period (0 - 0)
3rd Period (0 - 1)
17:40, 0 - 1, Litvinov I. (G),

Preview

Both teams are currently in poor form.

Yuzhny Ural may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Recently, the opponents have had a series of away games.

In this match, Magnitka is considered a favorite.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Magnitka won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 8:5. (average 2.7:1.7).

Including home match between the teams, Magnitka won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Magnitka Magnitogorsk
VHL
01.12.25	Gornyak-UGMK - Magnitka Magnitogorsk	4:2 ✺
29.11.25	Chelmet - Magnitka Magnitogorsk	2:1 ✺
27.11.25	Yuzhny Ural Orsk - Magnitka Magnitogorsk	2:5 ✺
18.11.25	Zvezda Moscow - Magnitka Magnitogorsk	4:1 ✺
16.11.25	Khimik - Magnitka Magnitogorsk	4:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2 LLWLL
- Yuzhny Ural Orsk
VHL
03.12.25	Gornyak-UGMK - Yuzhny Ural Orsk	5:2 ✺
01.12.25	Chelmet - Yuzhny Ural Orsk	5:4 OT ✺
27.11.25	Yuzhny Ural Orsk - Magnitka Magnitogorsk	2:5 ✺
16.11.25	Zvezda Moscow - Yuzhny Ural Orsk	1:2 ✺
14.11.25	Khimik - Yuzhny Ural Orsk	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7 LLLWL

Latest Head to Head

VHL
27.11.25	Yuzhny Ural Orsk - Magnitka Magnitogorsk	2:5
07.03.25	Yuzhny Ural Orsk - Magnitka Magnitogorsk	1:2
18.09.24	Magnitka Magnitogorsk - Yuzhny Ural Orsk	1:2

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