Match Info
VHLDate: 3 December 2025, WednesdayLocation: Ledovaya Arena A. Kozitsyna (Verkhnyaya Pyshma)
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Gornyak-UGMK |
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Yuzhny Ural Orsk |
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1 |
X |
2 |
|
 |
1.51 |
4.34 |
4.76 |
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 |
1.46 |
4.94 |
5.45 |
 Watch |
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1.52 |
4.75 |
5.25 |
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Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.5 ↓
(1.69) |
4.68 ↑
(4.25) |
5.15 ↑
(4.13) |
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- The most likely Over/Under: 4.75
- The best margin for this event is 5.9%, offered by
#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Gornyak-UGMK
62.1% | Draw
19.9% | Yuzhny Ural Orsk
18% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Gornyak-UGMK has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.8%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Gornyak-UGMK's performance.Yuzhny Ural Orsk has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.6%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gornyak-UGMK than the current prediction. (-4.6%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Yuzhny Ural Orsk than the current prediction. (+3.7%)Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:1 
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Lineups
| Line 1 |
|---|
20.  Obvintsev T. (G)
| 60. Ovcharik D. (G)
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95. Dumchenko N.
| 88. Krylov I. (A)
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4. Bolshakov M.
| 29. Papst R.
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29. Khremkin K.
| 91. Suslov K. (A)
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10.  Filyayev V.
| 33. Ryzhkov M.
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76. Kashtanov A.
| 41. Paramonov D.
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| Line 2 |
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85. Zhuravlyov Y.
| 39. Shabalin A.
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72. Trofimov Y.
| 24. Salnikov E.
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7. Gordin A.
| 11. Mylnikov D.
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13. Zaytsev O. (C)
| 19. Litvinov I. (C)
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56. Ovchinnikov I. (A)
| 16. Rubtsov S.
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| Line 3 |
|---|
90. Nekrasov N.
| 92. Gatiyatulin I.
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92. Valitov D. (A)
| 17. Kovalchuk P.
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70. Alexeyev Y.
| 98. Kuimov Y.
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14. Makhrin M.
| 15. Putilov A.
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44. Lukhovskoy N.
| 77. Zakharov I.
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| Line 4 |
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26. Ishimnikov N.
| 28. Samokhvalov M.
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83. Karpovich D.
| 8. Vikulin K.
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63. Isayev D.
| 51. Kulyash D.
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18. Sushchev V.
| 96. Kurkin M.
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96. Miller N.
| 72. Rvachev V.
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| Substitutes |
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35. Tulinov N. (G)
| 32.  Kudryavtsev S. (G)
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Key Events of the Match
- 1st Period (1 - 2)
- 09:31, 1 - 0, Khremkin K. (G), Dumchenko N. (A), Bolshakov M. (A2)
- 11:48, 1 - 1, Krylov I. (G), Kurkin M. (A), Rubtsov S. (A2)
- 12:50, 1 - 2, Suslov K. (G), Ryzhkov M. (A), Paramonov D. (A2)
- 2nd Period (4 - 0)
- 00:39, 2 - 2, Ovchinnikov I. (G), Zhuravlyov Y. (A), Gordin A. (A2)
- 06:16, 3 - 2, Miller N. (G),
- 07:25, 4 - 2, Kashtanov A. (G), Lukhovskoy N. (A),
- 13:00, 5 - 2, Makhrin M. (G), Alexeyev Y. (A), Lukhovskoy N. (A2)
- 3rd Period (0 - 0)
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Gornyak-UGMK won 3.Gornyak-UGMK is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 4 wins).Yuzhny Ural has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).Gornyak-UGMK may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.Recently, Yuzhny Ural has had a series of away games. In this match, Gornyak-UGMK is a strong favorite.We predict that Gornyak-UGMK will win today's game, with odds of 1.59.In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Gornyak-UGMK won 11 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 55:48. (average 2.8:2.4).Including home matches between the teams, Gornyak-UGMK won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 28:27. (average 2.8:2.7).
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Last Results with these Odds
Gornyak-UGMK - the odds 1.69 are the expected chance of winning is 55.34%, but this team recently wins 50% of matches with these odds.
Yuzhny Ural Orsk - the odds 4.13 are the expected chance of winning is 22.65%, but this team recently wins 33% of matches with these odds.
Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
Latest Head to Head
| VHL | | | 01.03.25 | Gornyak-UGMK - Yuzhny Ural Orsk | 1:0 | | 24.09.24 | Yuzhny Ural Orsk - Gornyak-UGMK | 5:1 | | 26.12.23 | Yuzhny Ural Orsk - Gornyak-UGMK | 3:4 OT | | 16.10.23 | Gornyak-UGMK - Yuzhny Ural Orsk | 3:2 OT | | 16.12.22 | Yuzhny Ural Orsk - Gornyak-UGMK | 4:3 | | 02.11.22 | Gornyak-UGMK - Yuzhny Ural Orsk | 3:6 | | Club Friendly Ice Hockey | | | 02.08.22 | Gornyak-UGMK - Yuzhny Ural Orsk | 2:5 |
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