Match Info

NRL - Round 18

Date: 4 July 2026, Saturday

Location: Suncorp Stadium (Brisbane)

Referee: Sutton G. (Aus)

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	SupeSport ESPN 2
Australia	Foxtel Now, Kayo Sports, NRL TV
Canada	fubo Sports Network
France	beIN Connect, beIN Sports MAX 4
New-zealand	SKY Go NZ, Sky Sport 2
South-africa	SupeSport ESPN 2
Usa	Fox Soccer Plus, FOX Sports 2


	Brisbane Broncos		Cronulla-Sutherland Sharks

	1	X	2
	2.85	26	1.44
	2.9	20	1.5
	3.02	22.52	1.43	Watch
	2.70		1.44
	3.05	24	1.41
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.9 ↑ (2.62)	18.5 ↓ (22.61)	1.44 ↓ (1.54)

The most likely Over/Under: 49.50

The most likely Handicap: 2 (-8)

The best margin for this event is 6.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Brisbane Broncos
31.6%

Draw
5%

Cronulla-Sutherland Sharks
63.5%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

35.5%

4.1%

60.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.1%

4.7%

52.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Brisbane Broncos has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.9%)

Cronulla-Sutherland Sharks has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Brisbane Broncos than the current prediction. (+9.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Brisbane Broncos, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cronulla-Sutherland Sharks than the current prediction. (-11.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Cronulla-Sutherland Sharks, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Brisbane Broncos - Cronulla Sutherland Sharks Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +5.5 - Brisbane (2.10) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Brisbane (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 21:29

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Perham H.	1. Kennedy W.
2. Anderson G.	2. Katoa S.
3. Staggs K. (C)	3. Ramien J.
4. Shibasaki G.	4. Iro K.
5. Mariner D.	5. Mulitalo R.
6. Duffy T.	6. Trindall B.
7. Hunt B.	7. Hynes N.
8. Semu V.	8. Hazelton T.
9. Paix C.	10. Colquhoun J.
10. Riki P.	11. Burns B.
11. Piakura B.	12. Wilton T.
12. Riki J.	13. McInnes C. (C)
13. Willison X.	14. Puru N.
Substitutes
14. Mozer B.	9. Berrell J.
15. Talty B.	15. Kaufusi O.
16. Hunt J.	16. Talakai S.
17. Arthars J.	17. Tapuha T. H.
19. Gale L.	18. Hiroti M.
20. Coric J.	19. Hassett H.
Coaches
. Maguire M.	. Fitzgibbon C.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (6 - 10)
8', Katoa S. (Try),
11', Hynes N. (Missed Conversion),
20', Hynes N. (Penalty Goal),
22', Katoa S. (Try),
24', Hynes N. (Missed Conversion),
32', Paix C. (Try),
34', Duffy T. (Conversion Goal),
2nd Half (10 - 18)
55', Katoa S. (Try),
57', Hynes N. (Conversion Goal),
61', Kennedy W. (Try),
62', Hynes N. (Conversion Goal),
66', Perham H. (Try),
67', Duffy T. (Conversion Goal),
73', Mariner D. (Try),
75', Duffy T. (Missed Conversion),
76', Trindall B. (Try),
77', Hynes N. (Conversion Goal),

Preview

A mid-table team and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 13 and 8 in the zone Promotion ~ NRL (Play Offs: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Brisbane won 3.

Brisbane has suffered several defeats recently (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Cronulla-Sutherland is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

In this match, Cronulla-Sutherland is considered a favorite.

We predict that Cronulla-Sutherland will win today's game, with odds of 1.44.

In the last 18 head-to-head matches, Brisbane won 11 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 383:330. (average 21.3:18.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Brisbane won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 239:206. (average 21.7:18.7).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Brisbane Broncos
Australian NRL
26.06.26	Brisbane Broncos - Sydney Roosters	18:24 ✺
11.06.26	South Sydney Rabbitohs - Brisbane Broncos	48:6 ✺
06.06.26	Brisbane Broncos - Gold Coast Titans	23:28 ✺
31.05.26	Brisbane Broncos - St. George Illawarra Dragons	26:30 ✺
17.05.26	New Zealand Warriors - Brisbane Broncos	42:12 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL
- Cronulla-Sutherland Sharks
Australian NRL
21.06.26	Sydney Roosters - Cronulla-Sutherland Sharks	27:8 ✺
13.06.26	New Zealand Warriors - Cronulla-Sutherland Sharks	8:10 ✺
07.06.26	Cronulla-Sutherland Sharks - St. George Illawarra Dragons	34:12 ✺
29.05.26	Cronulla-Sutherland Sharks - Manly-Warringah Sea Eagles	28:22 ✺
15.05.26	Cronulla-Sutherland Sharks - Canterbury-Bankstown Bulldogs	38:16 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.5 LWWWW

Latest Head to Head

Australian NRL
22.06.25	Brisbane Broncos - Cronulla-Sutherland Sharks	34:28
08.06.24	Brisbane Broncos - Cronulla-Sutherland Sharks	12:22
03.06.23	Cronulla-Sutherland Sharks - Brisbane Broncos	12:20
28.04.22	Brisbane Broncos - Cronulla-Sutherland Sharks	16:7
28.08.21	Cronulla-Sutherland Sharks - Brisbane Broncos	24:16
04.07.21	Brisbane Broncos - Cronulla-Sutherland Sharks	26:18
31.07.20	Brisbane Broncos - Cronulla-Sutherland Sharks	26:36

Brisbane Broncos - Cronulla-Sutherland Sharks: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide