Match Info

NRL - Round 15

Date: 11 June 2026, Thursday

Location: Accor Stadium (Sydney)

Where to Watch on TV:


Australia	9 HD, Foxtel Now, Kayo Sports, Nine, NRL TV
France	beIN Connect, beIN Sports MAX 5
New-zealand	SKY Go NZ
Usa	Fox Soccer Plus, FOX Sports 2


	South Sydney Rabbitohs		Brisbane Broncos

	1	X	2
	1.42	29	2.9
	1.5	18	2.9
	1.43	24.93	2.96	Watch
	1.4	26	2.9
	1.40		2.88
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.43 ↓ (1.59)	19.59 ↓ (23.75)	2.91 ↑ (2.42)

The most likely Over/Under: 49.50

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-7)

The best margin for this event is 6.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

South Sydney Rabbitohs
63.9%

Draw
4.7%

Brisbane Broncos
31.4%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

58%

3.9%

38.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

60%

3.8%

36.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

South Sydney Rabbitohs has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in South Sydney Rabbitohs's performance.

Brisbane Broncos has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Brisbane Broncos might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for South Sydney Rabbitohs than the current prediction. (-3.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Brisbane Broncos than the current prediction. (+5.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Brisbane Broncos could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

South Sydney Rabbitohs - Brisbane Broncos Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 29:22

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Gray J.	1. Walsh R.
2. Johnston A.	2. Karapani J.
3. Siegwalt L.	3. Verhoeven A.
4. Duncan T.	4. Anderson G.
5. Kosi E.	5. Arthars J.
6. Walker C.	6. Duffy T.
7. Ward A.	7. Reynolds A.
8. Tatola T.	8. Riki P.
9. Smith B.	9. Paix C.
10. Koloamatangi K.	11. Piakura B.
11. Fifita D.	12. Riki J.
12. Aitken E.	13. Willison X.
13. Hubner L.	19. Rogers J.
Substitutes
14. Garlick B.	10. Gosiewski J.
15. Humphreys J.	14. Hunt J.
16. Sullivan J.	15. Talty B.
17. Radel J.	17. Tawha A.
18. Jennings D.	18. Mam E.
19. Le Blanc L.	20. Coates P.
Coaches
. Bennett W.	. Maguire M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (30 - 0)
13', Kosi E. (Try),
14', Siegwalt L. (Conversion Goal),
15', Johnston A. (Try),
16', Siegwalt L. (Conversion Goal),
23', Fifita D. (Try),
24', Siegwalt L. (Conversion Goal),
29', Johnston A. (Try),
30', Siegwalt L. (Conversion Goal),
40', Humphreys J. (Try),
40+1', Siegwalt L. (Conversion Goal),
2nd Half (18 - 6)
53', Karapani J. (Try),
54', Reynolds A. (Conversion Goal),
66', Johnston A. (Try),
67', Siegwalt L. (Conversion Goal),
72', Radel J. (Try),
73', Siegwalt L. (Conversion Goal),
74', Johnston A. (Try),
74', Siegwalt L. (Conversion Goal),

Preview

Enjoy a game between evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 8 in the zone Promotion ~ NRL (Play Offs: ) and 12).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, South Sydney won 2.

South Sydney has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Brisbane is going through a series of losses (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

South Sydney may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

South Sydney will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, South Sydney won 8 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 12 matches, and goals 429:434. (average 21.5:21.7).

Including home matches between the teams, South Sydney won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 231:195. (average 23.1:19.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- South Sydney Rabbitohs
Australian NRL
04.06.26	Manly-Warringah Sea Eagles - South Sydney Rabbitohs	28:14 ✺
24.05.26	North Queensland Cowboys - South Sydney Rabbitohs	30:18 ✺
15.05.26	South Sydney Rabbitohs - Dolphins	10:32 ✺
09.05.26	South Sydney Rabbitohs - Cronulla-Sutherland Sharks	36:12 ✺
03.05.26	Newcastle Knights - South Sydney Rabbitohs	42:38 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.3 LLLWL
- Brisbane Broncos
Australian NRL
06.06.26	Brisbane Broncos - Gold Coast Titans	23:28 ✺
31.05.26	Brisbane Broncos - St. George Illawarra Dragons	26:30 ✺
17.05.26	New Zealand Warriors - Brisbane Broncos	42:12 ✺
09.05.26	Manly-Warringah Sea Eagles - Brisbane Broncos	32:4 ✺
02.05.26	Sydney Roosters - Brisbane Broncos	38:24 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL

Latest Head to Head

Australian NRL
01.08.25	Brisbane Broncos - South Sydney Rabbitohs	60:14
09.05.25	South Sydney Rabbitohs - Brisbane Broncos	22:14
14.06.24	South Sydney Rabbitohs - Brisbane Broncos	22:12
14.03.24	Brisbane Broncos - South Sydney Rabbitohs	28:18
21.07.23	South Sydney Rabbitohs - Brisbane Broncos	20:36
28.04.23	Brisbane Broncos - South Sydney Rabbitohs	6:32
05.05.22	South Sydney Rabbitohs - Brisbane Broncos	12:32

South Sydney Rabbitohs - Brisbane Broncos: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide