The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
New Zealand Warriors 66.1%
Draw 4%
Cronulla-Sutherland Sharks 29.8%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
66.9%
3.8%
29.3%
Our Initial ML Estimation
67.6%
3.8%
29%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
New Zealand Warriors has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)
Cronulla-Sutherland Sharks has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for New Zealand Warriors than the current prediction. (+1.5%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cronulla-Sutherland Sharks than the current prediction. (-0.8%)
New Zealand Warriors - Cronulla Sutherland Sharks Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 29:20
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Tuaupiki T.
1. Kennedy W.
2. Watene-Zelezniak D.
3. Ramien J.
3. Leiataua A.
4. Iro K.
4. Pompey A.
5. Mulitalo R.
5. Khan-Pereira A.
6. Trindall B.
6. Harris-Tavita C.
7. Puru N.
7. Martin T.
8. Colquhoun J.
8. Stowers-Smith T.
10. Rudolf T.
9. Egan W. (C)
11. Burns B.
10. Ford J.
12. Wilton T.
11. Niukore M.
13. McInnes C. (C)
12. Laban J.
18. Puru H.
13. Clark E.
20. Katoa S.
Substitutes
14. Tafua M.
9. Berrell J.
15. Ieremia-Toeava E.
14. Hiroti M.
16. Vaimauga D.
15. Kaufusi O.
17. Fatialofa K.
16. Talakai S.
18. Seu Salalilo J.
17. Hazelton T.
22. Nicoll-Klokstad C.
19. Tapuha T. H.
Coaches
. Webster A.
. Fitzgibbon C.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (6 - 8)
18', Trindall B. (Penalty Goal),
25', Ramien J. (Try),
27', Trindall B. (Conversion Goal),
29', Martin T. (Try),
31', Pompey A. (Conversion Goal),
2nd Half (2 - 2)
63', Pompey A. (Penalty Goal),
79', Trindall B. (Penalty Goal),
80', Pompey A. (Missed Penalty),
Preview
One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ NRL (Play Offs: ) and 7 in the zone Promotion ~ NRL (Play Offs: )).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, New Zealand won 2.
Now, both teams are in good form.
Cronulla-Sutherland may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
Recently, Cronulla-Sutherland has had a series of home games.
In this match, New Zealand is seen as the favorite.
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, New Zealand won 7 matches, drew 1 match, lost 12 matches, and goals 386:472. (average 19.3:23.6).
Including home matches between the teams, New Zealand won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 160:208. (average 17.8:23.1).
Australia
France
New-zealand
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Tuaupiki T. 
Kennedy W. 
Watene-Zelezniak D. 
Iro K. 
Harris-Tavita C. 
Talakai S. 
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