The best margin for this event is 6.1%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Brisbane Broncos 31.8%
Draw 4.2%
Sydney Roosters 64%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
41.9%
3.9%
54.2%
Our Initial ML Estimation
43.6%
4.1%
52.1%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Brisbane Broncos has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.1%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Brisbane Broncos's form might have worsened.
Sydney Roosters has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.8%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Sydney Roosters's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Brisbane Broncos than the current prediction. (+11.8%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Brisbane Broncos, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sydney Roosters than the current prediction. (-11.9%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Sydney Roosters, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Brisbane Broncos - Sydney Roosters Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 22:28
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Walsh R.
1. Tedesco J. (C)
2. Karapani J.
2. Smith B.
3. Staggs K.
3. Savala H.
4. Anderson G.
4. Toia R.
5. Arthars J.
5. Nawaqanitawase M.
6. Duffy T.
6. Cherry-Evans D.
7. Hunt B.
7. Walker S.
8. Riki P.
8. Whyte N.
9. Paix C.
9. Robson R.
10. Haas P. (C)
10. Collins L.
11. Piakura B.
11. Butcher N.
12. Riki J.
12. Wong S.
13. Willison X.
13. Radley V.
Substitutes
14. Mozer B.
14. Watson C.
15. Talty B.
15. Leniu S.
16. Tawha A.
16. Butcher E.
17. Gosiewski J.
17. Foketi S.
18. Perham H.
18. Bassingthwaighte R.
19. Rogers J.
19. Talau T.
Coaches
. Maguire M.
. Robinson T.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (16 - 12)
6', Smith B. (Try),
9', Walker S. (Conversion Goal),
18', Duffy T. (Try),
20', Duffy T. (Conversion Goal),
23', Piakura B. (Try),
24', Duffy T. (Conversion Goal),
27', Toia R. (Try),
28', Walker S. (Conversion Goal),
37', Walsh R. (Missed Drop Goal),
38', Anderson G. (Try),
39', Duffy T. (Missed Conversion),
2nd Half (2 - 12)
43', Smith B. (Try),
44', Walker S. (Missed Conversion),
61', Walker S. (Try),
61', Walker S. (Conversion Goal),
70', Walker S. (Penalty Goal),
74', Duffy T. (Penalty Goal),
Preview
This match will feature an outsider and one of the leaders (ranked 13 and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ NRL (Play Offs: )).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Brisbane won 1.
Brisbane is going through a poor run of results (last 5 games: 0 wins).
Sydney has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
Brisbane may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
In this match, Sydney is a strong favorite.
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Brisbane won 8 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 12 matches, and goals 415:500. (average 20.8:25).
Including home matches between the teams, Brisbane won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 205:234. (average 20.5:23.4).
Last Results with these Odds
Brisbane Broncos - the odds 2.21 are the expected chance of winning is 41.89%, but this team recently wins 71% of matches with these odds.