Match Info
NRL - Round 11Date: 15 May 2026, FridayLocation: Suncorp Stadium (Brisbane)Referee: Sutton G. (Aus)Where to Watch on TV: | |
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 Australia | Foxtel Now, Kayo Sports, NRL |
 New-zealand | SKY Go NZ |
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Cronulla-Sutherland Sharks |
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Canterbury-Bankstown Bulldogs |
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1 |
X |
2 |
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 |
1.52 |
26 |
2.6 |
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 |
1.62 |
20 |
2.5 |
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 |
1.49 |
22.96 |
2.78 |
 Watch |
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1.53 |
23 |
2.6 |
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1.51 |
18 |
2.73 |
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Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.53 ↑
(1.38) |
21.99 ↓
(25.67) |
2.64 ↓
(3.1) |
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- The most likely Over/Under: 50.50
- The most likely Handicap: 1 (-5)
- The best margin for this event is 6.7%, offered by
#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Cronulla-Sutherland Sharks
60.6% | Draw
4.2% | Canterbury-Bankstown Bulldogs
35.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Cronulla-Sutherland Sharks has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.1%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Cronulla-Sutherland Sharks's form might have worsened.Canterbury-Bankstown Bulldogs has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.5%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Canterbury-Bankstown Bulldogs's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cronulla-Sutherland Sharks than the current prediction. (+9.3%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Cronulla-Sutherland Sharks, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Canterbury-Bankstown Bulldogs than the current prediction. (-6.9%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Canterbury-Bankstown Bulldogs, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.Predictions
Users Predictions:
6 users predict this event. Cronulla-Sutherland will win (votes: 5 - 83.3%). Canterbury-Bankstown will win (votes: 1 - 16.7%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 28:23 
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Lineups
| Starting Lineups |
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1.  Kennedy W.
| 1.  Tracey C.
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2. Stonestreet S.
| 2. Sua J.
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3. Ramien J.
| 3. Xerri B.
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4.  Iro K.
| 4.  Crichton S.
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5.  Mulitalo R.
| 5. Tuala E.
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6. Trindall B.
| 6. Burton M.
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7. Hynes N.
| 7. Galvin L.
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8.  Fonua-Blake A.
| 8. King M.
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10. Rudolf T.
| 9.  Hayward B.
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11. Nikora B.
| 10. Thompson L.
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12. Wilton T.
| 11. Tupouniua S.
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13. Colquhoun J.
| 12. Preston J.
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18. Puru H.
| 13. Salmon J.
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| Substitutes |
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9. Berrell J.
| 14. Mann K.
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14. Talakai S.
| 16. Hayes H.
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15. Burns B.
| 17. Alekolasimi J.
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17. Hazelton T.
| 19.  Rinakama J.
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19. Hiroti M.
| 20. Hopoi L.
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20. Hamlin-Uele B.
| 25. Underhill J.
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| Coaches |
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. Fitzgibbon C.
| .  Ciraldo C.
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Key Events of the Match
- 1st Half (30 - 6)
- 5', Trindall B. (Try),
- 6', Hynes N. (Conversion Goal),
- 11', Mulitalo R. (Try),
- 12', Hynes N. (Missed Conversion),
- 13', Hynes N. (Penalty Goal),
- 17', Kennedy W. (Try),
- 18', Hynes N. (Conversion Goal),
- 24', Puru H. (Try),
- 26', Hynes N. (Conversion Goal),
- 30', Preston J. (Try),
- 30', Crichton S. (Conversion Goal),
- 33', Hynes N. (Try),
- 34', Hynes N. (Conversion Goal),
- 2nd Half (8 - 10)
- 47', Hynes N. (Penalty Goal),
- 60', Crichton S. (Try),
- 61', Burton M. (Conversion Goal),
- 72', Mulitalo R. (Try),
- 73', Hynes N. (Conversion Goal),
- 78', Xerri B. (Try),
Preview
This match features a clash between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 10 and 13).In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Cronulla-Sutherland won 3.Recent performances by Cronulla-Sutherland have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).Canterbury-Bankstown is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).Cronulla-Sutherland may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days. Cronulla-Sutherland will hold a modest advantage in this match.We predict that Cronulla-Sutherland will win today's game, with odds of 1.54.In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Cronulla-Sutherland won 16 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 454:247. (average 22.7:12.4).Including home matches between the teams, Cronulla-Sutherland won 9 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 223:110. (average 20.3:10).
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Standings
Main | | Pl | W | L | | Pts |
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| 4 | Cronulla Sharks | 17 | 11 | 6 | 488:363 | 28 |
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| 10 | Canterbury Bulldogs | 17 | 8 | 9 | 324:394 | 22 |
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Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
Latest Head to Head
| Australian NRL | | | 06.09.25 | Canterbury-Bankstown Bulldogs - Cronulla-Sutherland Sharks | 6:24 | | 29.03.25 | Cronulla-Sutherland Sharks - Canterbury-Bankstown Bulldogs | 6:20 | | 28.06.24 | Canterbury-Bankstown Bulldogs - Cronulla-Sutherland Sharks | 15:14 OT | | 15.03.24 | Cronulla-Sutherland Sharks - Canterbury-Bankstown Bulldogs | 25:6 | | 23.02.24 | Cronulla-Sutherland Sharks - Canterbury-Bankstown Bulldogs | 12:6 | | 18.06.23 | Cronulla-Sutherland Sharks - Canterbury-Bankstown Bulldogs | 48:10 | | 22.04.23 | Canterbury-Bankstown Bulldogs - Cronulla-Sutherland Sharks | 20:33 |
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Upcoming Matches
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
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