Match Info

NRL - Round 11

Date: 15 May 2026, Friday

Location: Suncorp Stadium (Brisbane)

Referee: Sutton G. (Aus)

Where to Watch on TV:


Australia	Foxtel Now, Kayo Sports, NRL
New-zealand	SKY Go NZ


	Cronulla-Sutherland Sharks		Canterbury-Bankstown Bulldogs

	1	X	2
	1.52	26	2.6
	1.62	20	2.5
	1.49	22.96	2.78	Watch
	1.53	23	2.6
	1.51	18	2.73
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.53 ↑ (1.38)	21.99 ↓ (25.67)	2.64 ↓ (3.1)

The most likely Over/Under: 50.50

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-5)

The best margin for this event is 6.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Cronulla-Sutherland Sharks
60.6%

Draw
4.2%

Canterbury-Bankstown Bulldogs
35.2%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

66.7%

3.6%

29.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

69.9%

3.4%

28.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Cronulla-Sutherland Sharks has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Cronulla-Sutherland Sharks's form might have worsened.

Canterbury-Bankstown Bulldogs has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Canterbury-Bankstown Bulldogs's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cronulla-Sutherland Sharks than the current prediction. (+9.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Cronulla-Sutherland Sharks, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Canterbury-Bankstown Bulldogs than the current prediction. (-6.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Canterbury-Bankstown Bulldogs, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
83.3%	0%	16.7%

Cronulla Sutherland Sharks - Canterbury Bankstown Bulldogs Predictions

Users Predictions: Cronulla-Sutherland Sharks will win (5 of 6 users predict this - 83.33%).
Confidence interval (95%): 53.51% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 28:23

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Kennedy W.	1. Tracey C.
2. Stonestreet S.	2. Sua J.
3. Ramien J.	3. Xerri B.
4. Iro K.	4. Crichton S.
5. Mulitalo R.	5. Tuala E.
6. Trindall B.	6. Burton M.
7. Hynes N.	7. Galvin L.
8. Fonua-Blake A.	8. King M.
10. Rudolf T.	9. Hayward B.
11. Nikora B.	10. Thompson L.
12. Wilton T.	11. Tupouniua S.
13. Colquhoun J.	12. Preston J.
18. Puru H.	13. Salmon J.
Substitutes
9. Berrell J.	14. Mann K.
14. Talakai S.	16. Hayes H.
15. Burns B.	17. Alekolasimi J.
17. Hazelton T.	19. Rinakama J.
19. Hiroti M.	20. Hopoi L.
20. Hamlin-Uele B.	25. Underhill J.
Coaches
. Fitzgibbon C.	. Ciraldo C.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (30 - 6)
5', Trindall B. (Try),
6', Hynes N. (Conversion Goal),
11', Mulitalo R. (Try),
12', Hynes N. (Missed Conversion),
13', Hynes N. (Penalty Goal),
17', Kennedy W. (Try),
18', Hynes N. (Conversion Goal),
24', Puru H. (Try),
26', Hynes N. (Conversion Goal),
30', Preston J. (Try),
30', Crichton S. (Conversion Goal),
33', Hynes N. (Try),
34', Hynes N. (Conversion Goal),
2nd Half (8 - 10)
47', Hynes N. (Penalty Goal),
60', Crichton S. (Try),
61', Burton M. (Conversion Goal),
72', Mulitalo R. (Try),
73', Hynes N. (Conversion Goal),
78', Xerri B. (Try),

Preview

This match features a clash between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 10 and 13).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Cronulla-Sutherland won 3.

Recent performances by Cronulla-Sutherland have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Canterbury-Bankstown is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Cronulla-Sutherland may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Cronulla-Sutherland will hold a modest advantage in this match.

We predict that Cronulla-Sutherland will win today's game, with odds of 1.54.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Cronulla-Sutherland won 16 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 454:247. (average 22.7:12.4).

Including home matches between the teams, Cronulla-Sutherland won 9 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 223:110. (average 20.3:10).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Cronulla-Sutherland Sharks
Australian NRL
09.05.26	South Sydney Rabbitohs - Cronulla-Sutherland Sharks	36:12 ✺
03.05.26	Cronulla-Sutherland Sharks - Wests Tigers	52:10 ✺
24.04.26	North Queensland Cowboys - Cronulla-Sutherland Sharks	46:34 ✺
11.04.26	Cronulla-Sutherland Sharks - Sydney Roosters	22:34 ✺
05.04.26	Cronulla-Sutherland Sharks - New Zealand Warriors	36:22 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.8 LWLLW
- Canterbury-Bankstown Bulldogs
Australian NRL
07.05.26	Dolphins - Canterbury-Bankstown Bulldogs	44:12 ✺
01.05.26	Canterbury-Bankstown Bulldogs - North Queensland Cowboys	12:28 ✺
24.04.26	Brisbane Broncos - Canterbury-Bankstown Bulldogs	32:12 ✺
19.04.26	Parramatta Eels - Canterbury-Bankstown Bulldogs	38:20 ✺
09.04.26	Canterbury-Bankstown Bulldogs - Penrith Panthers	32:16 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.5 LLLLW

Latest Head to Head

Australian NRL
06.09.25	Canterbury-Bankstown Bulldogs - Cronulla-Sutherland Sharks	6:24
29.03.25	Cronulla-Sutherland Sharks - Canterbury-Bankstown Bulldogs	6:20
28.06.24	Canterbury-Bankstown Bulldogs - Cronulla-Sutherland Sharks	15:14 OT
15.03.24	Cronulla-Sutherland Sharks - Canterbury-Bankstown Bulldogs	25:6
23.02.24	Cronulla-Sutherland Sharks - Canterbury-Bankstown Bulldogs	12:6
18.06.23	Cronulla-Sutherland Sharks - Canterbury-Bankstown Bulldogs	48:10
22.04.23	Canterbury-Bankstown Bulldogs - Cronulla-Sutherland Sharks	20:33

Cronulla-Sutherland Sharks - Canterbury-Bankstown Bulldogs: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide